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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 26, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons33%10892
9Nuggets67%11495
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 30.0
38
31
29
15
5
1
1
0
2
6
9
3-4
75%
10-22
4-8
45%
51%
2-10
20%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.9
31
24
17
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
2-9
22%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.3
29
22
12
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
4-8
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.6
29
34
13
17
3
2
2
2
1
7
10
3-5
60%
5-15
7-12
33%
54%
0-0
-
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.6
14
17
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
31
26
8
7
2
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
2-5
40%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.3
22
25
4
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-5
0%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 22.1
20
20
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.7
17
23
5
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
47%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 35.1
5
9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.9
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
5
0
0-1
49%
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.9
3
0
0-0
46%
Isaiah Whitehead
G · 6'4" 213 · 24.0
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.8
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.5
Kalin Lucas
G · 6'1" 195 · 29.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
40
29
10
13
5
1
1
1
3
2
11
5-6
83%
1-7
4-7
14%
53%
1-3
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
38
28
33
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
6-7
86%
9-12
4-8
75%
50%
3-7
43%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
36
26
3
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
33
30
23
15
2
0
1
0
3
3
12
3-5
60%
10-19
6-11
53%
58%
0-5
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
33
26
10
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-1
0%
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
2-6
33%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
23
22
6
1
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
23
20
10
12
3
0
1
1
1
4
8
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
60%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
14
18
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-2
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
8
0
0-1
56%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
7
0
1-2
54%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
6
0
1-1
53%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
4
0
1-1
50%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.5
2
0
0-1
48%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.