Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, March 26, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Hornets | 43% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Celtics | 70% | 113 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | 39% | 103 | 104 |
 | 15 | Heat | 61% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bulls | 10% | 101 | 103 |
 | 2 | Raptors | 90% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Bucks | 60% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Timberwolves | 47% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Pelicans | 53% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Mavericks | 49% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | 33% | 108 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Lakers | 61% | 119 | 124 |
Monday, March 25, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Magic | 43% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Thunder | 62% | 110 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Nets | 35% | 110 | 144 |
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Sunday, March 24, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 16% | 105 | 105 |
| 7 | Bucks | 84% | 119 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 58% | 110 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 17% | 106 | 115 |
| 1 | Raptors | 83% | 120 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 75% | 119 | 113 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 25% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 44% | 110 | 115 |
| 10 | Celtics | 56% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 27% | 109 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 40% | 113 | 106 |
| 17 | Lakers | 60% | 117 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 77% | 118 | 124 |
 | 30 | Knicks | 23% | 108 | 113 |
Saturday, March 23, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 63% | 114 | 117 |
| 23 | Hornets | 37% | 109 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 45% | 110 | 113 |
| 22 | Wizards | 55% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 71% | 121 | 127 |
| 25 | Hawks | 29% | 113 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 80% | 113 | 114 |
| 29 | Bulls | 20% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 51% | 108 | 112 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 49% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 22% | 107 | 126 |
| 3 | Warriors | 78% | 117 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 38% | 108 | 112 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 24% | 109 | 103 |
| 13 | Kings | 76% | 119 | 112 |
Friday, March 22, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 43% | 101 | 119 |
| 17 | Magic | 57% | 104 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 70% | 118 | 110 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 30% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 80% | 117 | 111 |
| 30 | Knicks | 20% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 38% | 109 | 116 |
| 6 | Raptors | 62% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 31% | 110 | 105 |
| 1 | Rockets | 69% | 117 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 33% | 105 | 87 |
| 8 | Bucks | 67% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 47% | 113 | 111 |
| 20 | Lakers | 53% | 114 | 106 |
Thursday, March 21, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 49% | 113 | 106 |
| 24 | Hornets | 51% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 69% | 119 | 113 |
| 22 | Wizards | 31% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 66% | 115 | 114 |
| 25 | Hawks | 34% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 66% | 113 | 118 |
| 28 | Suns | 34% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 33% | 110 | 100 |
| 16 | Kings | 67% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 27% | 105 | 89 |
| 1 | Warriors | 73% | 114 | 112 |
Wednesday, March 20, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 76% | 118 | 102 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 24% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 36% | 108 | 96 |
| 16 | Magic | 64% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 49% | 111 | 115 |
| 5 | 76ers | 51% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 84% | 114 | 137 |
| 30 | Knicks | 16% | 100 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 62% | 116 | 120 |
| 29 | Bulls | 38% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 60% | 109 | 125 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 40% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 39% | 107 | 110 |
| 10 | Spurs | 61% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 46% | 110 | 123 |
| 11 | Thunder | 54% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 33% | 109 | 118 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 116 | 126 |
Tuesday, March 19, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 118 |
| 21 | Hornets | 45% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 74% | 120 | 121 |
| 25 | Hawks | 26% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 15% | 106 | 101 |
| 3 | Bucks | 85% | 120 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 65% | 118 | 117 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 35% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 45% | 112 | 123 |
| 17 | Kings | 55% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 41% | 109 | 109 |
| 13 | Clippers | 59% | 112 | 115 |
Monday, March 18, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 57% | 111 | 119 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 43% | 108 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 65% | 114 | 116 |
| 19 | Wizards | 35% | 109 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 42% | 110 | 114 |
| 4 | Celtics | 58% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 14% | 101 | 92 |
| 7 | Raptors | 86% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 31% | 104 | 116 |
| 8 | Thunder | 69% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 59% | 117 | 105 |
| 12 | Spurs | 41% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 34% | 112 | 129 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 66% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 36% | 107 | 116 |
| 27 | Suns | 64% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 43% | 107 | 98 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 110 | 106 |
Sunday, March 17, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 39% | 106 | 75 |
| 15 | Heat | 61% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 32% | 111 | 130 |
| 1 | Bucks | 68% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 54% | 109 | 107 |
| 16 | Pistons | 46% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 29% | 109 | 91 |
| 14 | Magic | 71% | 116 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 30% | 108 | 102 |
| 17 | Kings | 70% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 23% | 108 | 102 |
| 3 | Rockets | 77% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 33% | 111 | 116 |
| 13 | Clippers | 67% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 69% | 114 | 123 |
| 30 | Knicks | 31% | 108 | 124 |
Saturday, March 16, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 51% | 111 | 128 |
| 22 | Wizards | 49% | 110 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 39% | 112 | 138 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 61% | 116 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 106 | 116 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 73% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 49% | 113 | 110 |
| 8 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 113 | 103 |
| 12 | Spurs | 52% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 37% | 108 | 100 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 63% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 27% | 104 | 98 |
| 4 | Jazz | 73% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 20% | 108 | 120 |
| 5 | Celtics | 80% | 120 | 129 |
Friday, March 15, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 28% | 105 | 97 |
| 17 | Pistons | 72% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 27% | 109 | 114 |
| 7 | 76ers | 73% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 41% | 114 | 116 |
| 19 | Wizards | 59% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 64% | 112 | 113 |
| 13 | Heat | 36% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 15% | 105 | 102 |
| 1 | Rockets | 85% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 119 | 122 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 33% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 18% | 105 | 83 |
| 11 | Spurs | 82% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 30% | 109 | 121 |
| 15 | Clippers | 70% | 116 | 128 |
Thursday, March 14, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 42% | 108 | 106 |
| 12 | Pacers | 58% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 28% | 104 | 91 |
| 14 | Magic | 72% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 29% | 107 | 120 |
| 4 | Celtics | 71% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 33% | 109 | 98 |
| 10 | Raptors | 67% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 31% | 105 | 100 |
| 5 | Jazz | 69% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 28% | 108 | 99 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 72% | 117 | 100 |
Wednesday, March 13, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 48% | 112 | 90 |
| 21 | Wizards | 52% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 34% | 110 | 96 |
| 9 | Thunder | 66% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 43% | 105 | 74 |
| 13 | Heat | 57% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 59% | 112 | 111 |
| 26 | Hawks | 41% | 108 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 42% | 112 | 106 |
| 2 | Rockets | 58% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 73% | 113 | 114 |
| 28 | Suns | 27% | 104 | 97 |