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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 28, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets39%11085
2Rockets61%114112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
28.7
28.3
2
17%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
28.6
29.5
11
50%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
53%
3-5
60%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
26.4
31.7
20
59%
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
6-7
86%
7-12
5-9
58%
49%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
24.9
30.6
16
54%
8
6
0
1
2
2
3
5
2-2
100%
7-14
7-12
50%
56%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
22.3
32.2
8
57%
2
0
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
26.7
22.3
16
71%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
5-5
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
23.4
18.1
4
20%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-7
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
23.1
21.1
4
41%
8
2
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
59%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
14.6
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
12.0
5.4
2
20%
5
0
0
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
5.1
4.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
4.4
16.3
2
35%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
4.2
0
1-1
49%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 29.6
32.3
33.8
38
67%
6
6
1
2
1
4
2
4
13-14
93%
5-11
7-13
45%
53%
5-11
45%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 33.9
30.3
29.3
9
40%
4
8
2
2
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-3
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
29.4
30.9
17
61%
15
1
1
1
1
1
5
10
1-2
50%
8-13
6-9
62%
64%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.3
26.6
24.3
18
82%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
4-6
67%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 33.9
25.5
31.0
3
75%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
28.7
18.3
15
72%
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
3-7
43%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 28.8
25.2
17.6
7
70%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Danuel House Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
20.0
26.7
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-5
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.5
15.3
6.1
2
25%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Clark
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
3.4
6.9
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
1-4
25%
Chris Chiozza
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.3
3.4
3.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 29.4
14.9
0
3-5
56%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 33.2
8.9
0
1-1
52%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 20.9
Trevon Duval
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.6
Vincent Edwards
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.