Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, March 28, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Magic | 98 | |||
16 | Pistons | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Nets | 30% | 110 | 110 | |
7 | 76ers | 70% | 117 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Mavericks | 99 | |||
14 | Heat | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Raptors | 81% | 117 | 117 | |
30 | Knicks | 19% | 104 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | 85 | |||
3 | Rockets | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Clippers | 23% | 108 | 118 | |
2 | Bucks | 77% | 118 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 118 | |||
25 | Pelicans | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Cavaliers | 21% | 107 | 110 | |
12 | Spurs | 79% | 119 | 116 |
Wednesday, March 27, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Trail Blazers | 82% | 116 | 118 | |
29 | Bulls | 18% | 103 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 118 | |||
18 | Grizzlies | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 39% | 107 | 99 | |
10 | Thunder | 61% | 111 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Wizards | 124 | |||
27 | Suns | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Lakers | 15% | 101 | 100 | |
5 | Jazz | 85% | 116 | 115 |
Tuesday, March 26, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Spurs | 57% | 114 | 116 | |
22 | Hornets | 43% | 112 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 116 | |||
28 | Cavaliers | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Magic | 39% | 103 | 104 | |
15 | Heat | 61% | 107 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bulls | 103 | |||
2 | Raptors | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Rockets | 40% | 110 | 94 | |
3 | Bucks | 60% | 114 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Clippers | 122 | |||
13 | Timberwolves | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hawks | 47% | 116 | 130 | |
25 | Pelicans | 53% | 117 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 125 | |||
14 | Mavericks | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 33% | 108 | 92 | |
9 | Nuggets | 67% | 114 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Wizards | 106 | |||
20 | Lakers | 124 |
Monday, March 25, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 76ers | 57% | 111 | 98 | |
24 | Magic | 43% | 109 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Thunder | 103 | |||
18 | Grizzlies | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Suns | 16% | 101 | 92 | |
5 | Jazz | 84% | 115 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Nets | 144 | |||
9 | Trail Blazers | 148 |
Sunday, March 24, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Clippers | 77% | 118 | 124 | |
30 | Knicks | 23% | 108 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Cavaliers | 105 | |||
3 | Bucks | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 58% | 110 | 88 | |
11 | Pacers | 42% | 107 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 115 | |||
2 | Raptors | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Rockets | 75% | 119 | 113 | |
25 | Pelicans | 25% | 109 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Spurs | 115 | |||
6 | Celtics | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 27% | 109 | 114 | |
1 | Warriors | 73% | 118 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 106 | |||
21 | Lakers | 111 |
Saturday, March 23, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Celtics | 63% | 114 | 117 | |
24 | Hornets | 37% | 109 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 76ers | 127 | |||
26 | Hawks | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 45% | 110 | 113 | |
22 | Wizards | 55% | 112 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Jazz | 114 | |||
27 | Bulls | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Timberwolves | 51% | 108 | 112 | |
17 | Grizzlies | 49% | 107 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Mavericks | 126 | |||
1 | Warriors | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 38% | 108 | 112 | |
9 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 113 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 103 | |||
19 | Kings | 112 |
Friday, March 22, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Grizzlies | 119 | |||
24 | Magic | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Clippers | 70% | 118 | 110 | |
29 | Cavaliers | 30% | 111 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | 111 | |||
30 | Knicks | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Thunder | 38% | 109 | 116 | |
2 | Raptors | 62% | 113 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Spurs | 105 | |||
3 | Rockets | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 33% | 105 | 87 | |
4 | Bucks | 67% | 111 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Nets | 111 | |||
22 | Lakers | 106 |
Thursday, March 21, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Timberwolves | 106 | |||
24 | Hornets | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | 69% | 119 | 113 | |
22 | Wizards | 31% | 112 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Jazz | 114 | |||
26 | Hawks | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 66% | 113 | 118 | |
27 | Suns | 34% | 107 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Mavericks | 100 | |||
19 | Kings | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 27% | 105 | 89 | |
1 | Warriors | 73% | 114 | 112 |
Wednesday, March 20, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Bucks | 76% | 118 | 102 | |
29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 108 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pelicans | 96 | |||
23 | Magic | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 49% | 111 | 115 | |
8 | 76ers | 51% | 112 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Jazz | 137 | |||
30 | Knicks | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Wizards | 62% | 116 | 120 | |
28 | Bulls | 38% | 111 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | 125 | |||
18 | Grizzlies | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 39% | 107 | 110 | |
12 | Spurs | 61% | 110 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Raptors | 123 | |||
10 | Thunder | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 33% | 109 | 118 | |
9 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 116 | 126 |
Tuesday, March 19, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 118 | |
22 | Hornets | 45% | 112 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Rockets | 121 | |||
26 | Hawks | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Lakers | 15% | 106 | 101 | |
3 | Bucks | 85% | 120 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 117 | |||
15 | Timberwolves | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Nets | 45% | 112 | 123 | |
20 | Kings | 55% | 114 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 109 | |||
16 | Clippers | 115 |
Monday, March 18, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 119 | |||
29 | Cavaliers | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Jazz | 65% | 114 | 116 | |
20 | Wizards | 35% | 109 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 114 | |||
6 | Celtics | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 14% | 101 | 92 | |
3 | Raptors | 86% | 116 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 116 | |||
10 | Thunder | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 59% | 117 | 105 | |
12 | Spurs | 41% | 114 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pelicans | 129 | |||
13 | Mavericks | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Bulls | 36% | 107 | 116 | |
27 | Suns | 64% | 112 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 98 | |||
9 | Trail Blazers | 106 |
Sunday, March 17, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Lakers | 123 | |||
30 | Knicks | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 76ers | 32% | 111 | 130 | |
3 | Bucks | 68% | 117 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Raptors | 107 | |||
18 | Pistons | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 39% | 106 | 75 | |
14 | Heat | 61% | 110 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hawks | 91 | |||
24 | Magic | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 30% | 108 | 102 | |
22 | Kings | 70% | 116 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Timberwolves | 102 | |||
2 | Rockets | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nets | 33% | 111 | 116 | |
16 | Clippers | 67% | 117 | 119 |
Saturday, March 16, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hawks | 120 | |||
6 | Celtics | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Grizzlies | 51% | 111 | 128 | |
19 | Wizards | 49% | 110 | 135 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 138 | |||
23 | Pelicans | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 106 | 116 | |
12 | Mavericks | 73% | 114 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 110 | |||
9 | Thunder | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 113 | 103 | |
13 | Spurs | 52% | 114 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 100 | |||
7 | Nuggets | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Nets | 27% | 104 | 98 | |
5 | Jazz | 73% | 112 | 114 |
Friday, March 15, 2019
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Lakers | 97 | |||
19 | Pistons | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 27% | 109 | 114 | |
7 | 76ers | 73% | 118 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 116 | |||
17 | Wizards | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 64% | 112 | 113 | |
15 | Heat | 36% | 107 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 102 | |||
2 | Rockets | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 119 | 122 | |
25 | Pelicans | 33% | 113 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Knicks | 83 | |||
12 | Spurs | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 30% | 109 | 121 | |
16 | Clippers | 70% | 116 | 128 |