Final Win Prob. pScore
1071%117
112
2729%109
90
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
114.398101.5
CLE logo Cavaliers
91.89894.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASCLE
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.112
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0CavaliersCavaliers turnover (shot clock violation)112
90
Q4 - 0:27.0CavaliersDavid Nwaba defensive rebound112
90
Q4 - 0:31.0SpursDante Cunningham misses two point turnaround jump shot112
90
Q4 - 0:43.0CavaliersCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
90
Q4 - 0:43.0CavaliersCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
89
Q4 - 0:43.0SpursDonatas Motiejunas shooting foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)112
88
Q4 - 0:59.0SpursQuincy Pondexter turnover (bad pass) (Cedi Osman steals)112
88
Q4 - 1:09SpursDonatas Motiejunas defensive rebound112
88
Q4 - 1:09CavaliersCollin Sexton misses two point driving layup112
88
Q4 - 1:18SpursQuincy Pondexter makes two point floating jump shot (Donatas Motiejunas assists)112
88
Q4 - 1:34CavaliersDeng Adel makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
88
Q4 - 1:34Cavaliers lineup change (Deng Adel, David Nwaba, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr.)110
87
Q4 - 1:34CavaliersDeng Adel makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
87
Q4 - 1:34SpursDonatas Motiejunas shooting foul (Deng Adel draws the foul)110
86
Q4 - 1:34CavaliersDeng Adel offensive rebound110
86
Q4 - 1:35CavaliersChanning Frye misses three point jump shot110
86
Q4 - 1:51CavaliersChanning Frye defensive rebound110
86
Q4 - 1:53SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot110
86
Q4 - 2:11CavaliersDeng Adel makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)110
86
Q4 - 2:23SpursQuincy Pondexter makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
83
Q4 - 2:23SpursQuincy Pondexter makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
83
Q4 - 2:23CavaliersDeng Adel personal foul (Quincy Pondexter draws the foul)108
83
Q4 - 2:23CavaliersDeng Adel turnover (lost ball) (Quincy Pondexter steals)108
83
Q4 - 2:31SpursQuincy Pondexter makes two point layup108
83
Q4 - 2:34CavaliersChanning Frye turnover (lost ball) (Quincy Pondexter steals)106
83
Q4 - 2:48CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound106
83
Q4 - 2:52SpursDonatas Motiejunas misses regular free throw 2 of 2106
83
Q4 - 2:52SpursDonatas Motiejunas misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
83
Q4 - 2:52CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. personal foul (Donatas Motiejunas draws the foul)106
83
Q4 - 2:58SpursQuincy Pondexter defensive rebound106
83
Q4 - 3:00CavaliersChanning Frye misses three point jump shot106
83
Q4 - 3:04CavaliersDeng Adel defensive rebound106
83
Q4 - 3:08SpursDante Cunningham misses three point jump shot106
83
Q4 - 3:19CavaliersCedi Osman makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
83
Q4 - 3:19CavaliersCedi Osman makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
82
Q4 - 3:19SpursDonatas Motiejunas shooting foul (Cedi Osman draws the foul)106
81
Q4 - 3:32SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
81
Q4 - 3:32Cavaliers lineup change (Deng Adel, Channing Frye, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr.)105
81
Q4 - 3:32SpursLonnie Walker IV misses regular free throw 1 of 2105
81
Q4 - 3:32CavaliersCollin Sexton personal foul (Take) (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)105
81
Q4 - 3:39CavaliersBrandon Knight makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
81
Q4 - 3:39SpursDonatas Motiejunas shooting foul (Brandon Knight draws the foul)105
80
Q4 - 3:39CavaliersBrandon Knight makes two point driving layup105
80
Q4 - 3:48SpursDonatas Motiejunas makes two point jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)105
78
Q4 - 4:01CavaliersChanning Frye makes two point jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)103
78
Q4 - 4:20SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point driving layup103
76
Q4 - 4:34CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes two point layup101
76
Q4 - 4:37CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound101
74
Q4 - 4:39CavaliersLonnie Walker IV blocks Cedi Osman's two point driving layup101
74
Q4 - 4:42CavaliersCedi Osman defensive rebound101
74
Q4 - 4:45SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point jump shot101
74
Q4 - 4:58CavaliersBrandon Knight personal foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)101
74
Q4 - 4:59SpursDante Cunningham defensive rebound101
74
Q4 - 5:02CavaliersCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot101
74
Q4 - 5:16Spurs lineup change (Dante Cunningham, Donatas Motiejunas, Quincy Pondexter, Marco Belinelli, Lonnie Walker IV)101
74
Q4 - 5:16SpursDerrick White personal foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)101
74
Q4 - 5:32SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point floating jump shot101
74
Q4 - 5:44CavaliersBrandon Knight makes regular free throw 2 of 299
74
Q4 - 5:44Cavaliers lineup change (Brandon Knight, Channing Frye, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr.)99
73
Q4 - 5:44Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Donatas Motiejunas, Derrick White, Marco Belinelli, Lonnie Walker IV)99
73
Q4 - 5:44CavaliersBrandon Knight misses regular free throw 1 of 299
73
Q4 - 5:44SpursMarco Belinelli shooting foul (Brandon Knight draws the foul)99
73
Q4 - 5:50SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 299
73
Q4 - 5:50Cavaliers lineup change (Brandon Knight, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr., Marquese Chriss)98
73
Q4 - 5:50Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, DeMar DeRozan, Donatas Motiejunas, Derrick White, Marco Belinelli)98
73
Q4 - 5:50SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 298
73
Q4 - 5:50CavaliersMarquese Chriss shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)97
73
Q4 - 6:03SpursDavis Bertans defensive rebound97
73
Q4 - 6:06CavaliersBrandon Knight misses two point step back jump shot97
73
Q4 - 6:22SpursDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)97
73
Q4 - 6:28CavaliersJordan Clarkson turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)94
73
Q4 - 6:52SpursDavis Bertans makes two point jump shot (Marco Belinelli assists)94
73
Q4 - 7:08Spurs 60 second timeout92
73
Q4 - 7:08CavaliersBrandon Knight makes two point floating jump shot92
73
Q4 - 7:15SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Marquese Chriss steals)92
71
Q4 - 7:33CavaliersBrandon Knight makes two point step back jump shot92
71
Q4 - 7:54SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 292
69
Q4 - 7:54SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 291
69
Q4 - 7:54SpursDeMar DeRozan misses technical free throw 1 of 190
69
Q4 - 7:54CavaliersMarquese Chriss technical foul90
69
Q4 - 7:54CavaliersMarquese Chriss shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)90
69
Q4 - 8:05SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound90
69
Q4 - 8:09CavaliersMarquese Chriss misses regular free throw 2 of 290
69
Q4 - 8:09CavaliersMarquese Chriss makes regular free throw 1 of 290
69
Q4 - 8:09SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Marquese Chriss draws the foul)90
68
Q4 - 8:20CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound90
68
Q4 - 8:25SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot90
68
Q4 - 8:32SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound90
68
Q4 - 8:36CavaliersMarquese Chriss misses regular free throw 2 of 290
68
Q4 - 8:36Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Derrick White, Marco Belinelli)90
68
Q4 - 8:36CavaliersMarquese Chriss makes regular free throw 1 of 290
68
Q4 - 8:36SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Marquese Chriss draws the foul)90
67
Q4 - 8:49Cavaliers lineup change (Brandon Knight, David Nwaba, Jordan Clarkson, Larry Nance Jr., Marquese Chriss)90
67
Q4 - 8:49Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan, Patty Mills, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli)90
67
Q4 - 8:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)90
67
Q4 - 8:49CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound90
67
Q4 - 8:51SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot90
67
Q4 - 9:12CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes two point driving layup90
67
Q4 - 9:28SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)90
65
Q4 - 9:48CavaliersDavid Nwaba makes two point layup87
65
Q4 - 10:18SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)87
63
Q4 - 10:31CavaliersCollin Sexton turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)84
63
Q4 - 10:47Cavaliers 60 second timeout84
63
Q4 - 10:47SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot84
63
Q4 - 11:00SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound82
63
Q4 - 11:02CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses three point jump shot82
63
Q4 - 11:28SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)82
63
Q4 - 11:38CavaliersMarquese Chriss personal foul (Loose ball) (Davis Bertans draws the foul)79
63
Q4 - 11:41SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound79
63
Q4 - 11:43CavaliersMarquese Chriss misses two point reverse layup79
63
Q4 - 12:00Cavaliers lineup change (David Nwaba, Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, Larry Nance Jr., Marquese Chriss)79
63
Q4 - 12:00Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan, Patty Mills, Davis Bertans, Bryn Forbes)79
63
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
63
Q3 - 0:00.0CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound79
63
Q3 - 0:00.0CavaliersCedi Osman misses three point jump shot79
63
Q3 - 0:00.0CavaliersAnte Zizic defensive rebound79
63
Q3 - 0:03.0SpursBryn Forbes misses two point floating jump shot79
63
Q3 - 0:13.0CavaliersCollin Sexton personal foul (Take) (Patty Mills draws the foul)79
63
Q3 - 0:15.0CavaliersAnte Zizic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
63
Q3 - 0:20.0SpursDavis Bertans turnover (bad pass) (David Nwaba steals)79
63
Q3 - 0:30.0SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound79
63
Q3 - 0:32.0CavaliersJakob Poeltl blocks David Nwaba's two point jump shot79
63
Q3 - 0:50.0SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot79
63
Q3 - 0:51.0CavaliersCedi Osman turnover (lost ball) (Patty Mills steals)76
63
Q3 - 0:51.0CavaliersCedi Osman defensive rebound76
63
Q3 - 0:53.0SpursBryn Forbes misses two point jump shot76
63
Q3 - 1:02SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound76
63
Q3 - 1:04CavaliersDavid Nwaba misses three point jump shot76
63
Q3 - 1:25SpursBryn Forbes makes two point jump shot76
63
Q3 - 1:34CavaliersAnte Zizic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Collin Sexton assists)74
63
Q3 - 1:52SpursPatty Mills turnover (bad pass) (Collin Sexton steals)74
61
Q3 - 2:09CavaliersAnte Zizic turnover (3-second violation)74
61
Q3 - 2:13CavaliersAnte Zizic offensive rebound74
61
Q3 - 2:17CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot74
61
Q3 - 2:32Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Patty Mills, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Bryn Forbes)74
61
Q3 - 2:32Cavaliers 60 second timeout74
61
Q3 - 2:39SpursDavis Bertans makes two point alley-oop dunk (Patty Mills assists)74
61
Q3 - 2:43SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound72
61
Q3 - 2:45CavaliersCedi Osman misses two point driving layup72
61
Q3 - 2:54SpursRudy Gay turnover (bad pass) (Cedi Osman steals)72
61
Q3 - 3:12CavaliersJordan Clarkson turnover (traveling)72
61
Q3 - 3:27Cavaliers lineup change (Ante Zizic, David Nwaba, Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman)72
61
Q3 - 3:27Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Jakob Poeltl, Patty Mills, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli)72
61
Q3 - 3:27SpursRudy Gay turnover (offensive foul)72
61
Q3 - 3:27SpursRudy Gay offensive foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)72
61
Q3 - 3:27SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound72
61
Q3 - 3:28CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses two point putback layup72
61
Q3 - 3:28CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound72
61
Q3 - 3:35CavaliersCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot72
61
Q3 - 3:49SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)72
61
Q3 - 4:03CavaliersAnte Zizic makes regular free throw 2 of 270
61
Q3 - 4:03CavaliersAnte Zizic makes regular free throw 1 of 270
60
Q3 - 4:03CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses technical free throw 1 of 170
59
Q3 - 4:03SpursRudy Gay technical foul70
59
Q3 - 4:03SpursRudy Gay shooting foul (Ante Zizic draws the foul)70
59
Q3 - 4:17CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound70
59
Q3 - 4:20SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point jump shot70
59
Q3 - 4:32SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound70
59
Q3 - 4:34CavaliersAnte Zizic misses two point floating jump shot70
59
Q3 - 4:49SpursRudy Gay turnover (lost ball) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)70
59
Q3 - 5:09Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan, Patty Mills, Marco Belinelli)70
59
Q3 - 5:09CavaliersAnte Zizic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
59
Q3 - 5:32Cavaliers lineup change (Ante Zizic, Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr.)70
59
Q3 - 5:32SpursRudy Gay turnover (traveling)70
59
Q3 - 5:41SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound70
59
Q3 - 5:46CavaliersDerrick White blocks Brandon Knight's two point layup70
59
Q3 - 5:51SpursRudy Gay turnover (bad pass) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)70
59
Q3 - 5:56SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound70
59
Q3 - 5:58CavaliersCedi Osman misses two point jump shot70
59
Q3 - 6:16SpursDerrick White makes two point jump shot70
59
Q3 - 6:25CavaliersAnte Zizic makes two point turnaround hook shot68
59
Q3 - 6:28CavaliersAnte Zizic offensive rebound68
57
Q3 - 6:30CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses two point floating jump shot68
57
Q3 - 6:45SpursDerrick White makes two point jump shot68
57
Q3 - 6:58CavaliersCedi Osman makes two point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)66
57
Q3 - 7:04CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound66
55
Q3 - 7:07SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot66
55
Q3 - 7:25Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan, Derrick White, Bryn Forbes)66
55
Q3 - 7:25Spurs 60 second timeout66
55
Q3 - 7:26CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes two point turnaround jump shot (Ante Zizic assists)66
55
Q3 - 7:36Cavaliers lineup change (Ante Zizic, Brandon Knight, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr.)66
53
Q3 - 7:36SpursBryn Forbes personal foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)66
53
Q3 - 7:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
53
Q3 - 7:50CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound66
53
Q3 - 7:50SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point putback layup66
53
Q3 - 7:51SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound66
53
Q3 - 7:52SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point layup66
53
Q3 - 8:02SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound66
53
Q3 - 8:03SpursDerrick White misses two point jump shot66
53
Q3 - 8:10SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound66
53
Q3 - 8:15CavaliersBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot66
53
Q3 - 8:27SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Knight steals)66
53
Q3 - 8:40CavaliersCollin Sexton makes two point driving layup (Larry Nance Jr. assists)66
53
Q3 - 9:02SpursDerrick White makes two point jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)66
51
Q3 - 9:25CavaliersCedi Osman makes two point layup (Larry Nance Jr. assists)64
51
Q3 - 9:47SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point jump shot (Derrick White assists)64
49
Q3 - 9:59SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound62
49
Q3 - 10:03CavaliersBrandon Knight misses two point driving hook shot62
49
Q3 - 10:23CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound62
49
Q3 - 10:26SpursDerrick White misses three point step back jump shot62
49
Q3 - 10:38CavaliersChanning Frye personal foul (Loose ball) (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)62
49
Q3 - 10:38SpursSpurs offensive rebound62
49
Q3 - 10:38SpursDerrick White misses two point floating jump shot62
49
Q3 - 11:03CavaliersCollin Sexton makes three point jump shot (Channing Frye assists)62
49
Q3 - 11:08SpursBryn Forbes turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Knight steals)62
46
Q3 - 11:09SpursBryn Forbes offensive rebound62
46
Q3 - 11:14SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot62
46
Q3 - 11:21CavaliersChanning Frye turnover (bad pass) (LaMarcus Aldridge steals)62
46
Q3 - 11:37CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound62
46
Q3 - 11:40SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot62
46
Q3 - 11:45SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound62
46
Q3 - 11:49SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot62
46
Q3 - 12:00Cavaliers lineup change (Brandon Knight, Channing Frye, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr.)62
46
Q3 - 12:00Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan, Derrick White, Bryn Forbes)62
46
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.62
46
Q2 - 0:00.0SpursSpurs offensive rebound62
46
Q2 - 0:00.0SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
46
Q2 - 0:11.0SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound62
46
Q2 - 0:13.0CavaliersCollin Sexton misses two point step back jump shot62
46
Q2 - 0:33.0SpursRudy Gay makes two point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)62
46
Q2 - 0:46.0SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound60
46
Q2 - 0:48.0CavaliersKevin Love misses three point jump shot60
46
Q2 - 1:00SpursRudy Gay makes two point putback dunk60
46
Q2 - 1:00SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound58
46
Q2 - 1:02SpursPatty Mills misses two point jump shot58
46
Q2 - 1:08CavaliersCollin Sexton turnover (bad pass) (Rudy Gay steals)58
46
Q2 - 1:28SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)58
46
Q2 - 1:33SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound55
46
Q2 - 1:35CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses two point floating jump shot55
46
Q2 - 1:50SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)55
46
Q2 - 2:05CavaliersCedi Osman makes regular free throw 2 of 253
46
Q2 - 2:05CavaliersCedi Osman misses regular free throw 1 of 253
45
Q2 - 2:05SpursRudy Gay shooting foul (Cedi Osman draws the foul)53
45
Q2 - 2:07CavaliersCedi Osman offensive rebound53
45
Q2 - 2:08CavaliersCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot53
45
Q2 - 2:27SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point dunk (Rudy Gay assists)53
45
Q2 - 2:42CavaliersCedi Osman makes three point jump shot51
45
Q2 - 2:56Cavaliers lineup change (Ante Zizic, Kevin Love, Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman)51
42
Q2 - 2:56SpursPatty Mills personal foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)51
42
Q2 - 3:06SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point hook shot (Bryn Forbes assists)51
42
Q2 - 3:21CavaliersCedi Osman makes two point putback layup49
42
Q2 - 3:22CavaliersCedi Osman offensive rebound49
40
Q2 - 3:24CavaliersCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot49
40
Q2 - 3:41SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 249
40
Q2 - 3:41SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 248
40
Q2 - 3:41CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)47
40
Q2 - 3:59CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes three point jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)47
40
Q2 - 4:12SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot47
37
Q2 - 4:22CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 245
37
Q2 - 4:22Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan, Patty Mills, Bryn Forbes)45
36
Q2 - 4:22CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 245
36
Q2 - 4:22SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)45
35
Q2 - 4:22CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound45
35
Q2 - 4:22CavaliersDerrick White blocks Collin Sexton's two point jump shot45
35
Q2 - 4:37SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 245
35
Q2 - 4:37Cavaliers lineup change (Kevin Love, Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr.)44
35
Q2 - 4:37SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 244
35
Q2 - 4:37CavaliersMarquese Chriss shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)43
35
Q2 - 4:48SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound43
35
Q2 - 4:50CavaliersMarquese Chriss misses two point alley-oop layup43
35
Q2 - 5:06SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 243
35
Q2 - 5:06SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 242
35
Q2 - 5:06CavaliersMarquese Chriss shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)41
35
Q2 - 5:06SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound41
35
Q2 - 5:11SpursBrandon Knight blocks Bryn Forbes's two point floating jump shot41
35
Q2 - 5:28CavaliersBrandon Knight makes three point jump shot41
35
Q2 - 5:48Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan, Derrick White, Bryn Forbes)41
32
Q2 - 5:48Cavaliers 60 second timeout41
32
Q2 - 5:48SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point layup (Derrick White assists)41
32
Q2 - 5:58SpursDerrick White defensive rebound39
32
Q2 - 6:00CavaliersCedi Osman misses three point jump shot39
32
Q2 - 6:13SpursDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)39
32
Q2 - 6:20SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound36
32
Q2 - 6:22CavaliersCollin Sexton misses two point step back jump shot36
32
Q2 - 6:39CavaliersMarquese Chriss defensive rebound36
32
Q2 - 6:42SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point step back jump shot36
32
Q2 - 6:57CavaliersBrandon Knight turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
32
Q2 - 6:59CavaliersBrandon Knight defensive rebound36
32
Q2 - 7:03SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot36
32
Q2 - 7:16CavaliersBrandon Knight makes regular free throw 2 of 236
32
Q2 - 7:16CavaliersBrandon Knight misses regular free throw 1 of 236
31
Q2 - 7:16SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Brandon Knight draws the foul)36
31
Q2 - 7:34Cavaliers lineup change (Brandon Knight, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr., Marquese Chriss)36
31
Q2 - 7:34SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
31
Q2 - 7:39SpursDerrick White defensive rebound36
31
Q2 - 7:42CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot36
31
Q2 - 7:57SpursBryn Forbes makes two point floating jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)36
31
Q2 - 8:01SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound34
31
Q2 - 8:03SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot34
31
Q2 - 8:13SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound34
31
Q2 - 8:16CavaliersBrandon Knight misses two point floating jump shot34
31
Q2 - 8:33SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 234
31
Q2 - 8:33SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 233
31
Q2 - 8:33CavaliersCedi Osman shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)32
31
Q2 - 8:59CavaliersBrandon Knight makes two point step back jump shot32
31
Q2 - 9:19Cavaliers lineup change (Brandon Knight, Jordan Clarkson, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr., Marquese Chriss)32
29
Q2 - 9:19Spurs lineup change (LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Derrick White, Bryn Forbes)32
29
Q2 - 9:19Cavaliers 60 second timeout32
29
Q2 - 9:21SpursPatty Mills makes two point driving layup32
29
Q2 - 9:27SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound30
29
Q2 - 9:29CavaliersDavid Nwaba misses two point turnaround jump shot30
29
Q2 - 9:31CavaliersAnte Zizic offensive rebound30
29
Q2 - 9:35CavaliersJakob Poeltl blocks David Nwaba's two point floating jump shot30
29
Q2 - 9:59SpursDavis Bertans makes two point layup30
29
Q2 - 10:04CavaliersJordan Clarkson turnover (bad pass) (Davis Bertans steals)28
29
Q2 - 10:15CavaliersDavid Nwaba defensive rebound28
29
Q2 - 10:17SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot28
29
Q2 - 10:30CavaliersAnte Zizic makes two point layup (Kevin Love assists)28
29
Q2 - 10:48SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point layup (Patty Mills assists)28
27
Q2 - 10:51SpursDavis Bertans defensive rebound26
27
Q2 - 10:54CavaliersKevin Love misses three point jump shot26
27
Q2 - 11:09SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot26
27
Q2 - 11:13SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound24
27
Q2 - 11:15SpursDavis Bertans misses two point jump shot24
27
Q2 - 11:36CavaliersAnte Zizic makes regular free throw 1 of 124
27
Q2 - 11:36SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Ante Zizic draws the foul)24
26
Q2 - 11:36CavaliersAnte Zizic makes two point layup (David Nwaba assists)24
26
Q2 - 11:37Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, LaMarcus Aldridge, Patty Mills, Davis Bertans, Lonnie Walker IV)24
24
Q2 - 11:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
24
Q2 - 11:37CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound24
24
Q2 - 11:39CavaliersDavid Nwaba misses two point layup24
24
Q2 - 11:43SpursDavis Bertans turnover (lost ball) (David Nwaba steals)24
24
Q2 - 12:00Cavaliers lineup change (Ante Zizic, Kevin Love, Brandon Knight, David Nwaba, Jordan Clarkson)24
24
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
24
Q1 - 0:00.0CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound24
24
Q1 - 0:00.0CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot24
24
Q1 - 0:00.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
24
Q1 - 0:03.0CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound24
24
Q1 - 0:04.0SpursRudy Gay misses two point driving dunk24
24
Q1 - 0:15.0CavaliersKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Ante Zizic assists)24
24
Q1 - 0:17.0CavaliersAnte Zizic offensive rebound24
21
Q1 - 0:19.0CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot24
21
Q1 - 0:30.0CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound24
21
Q1 - 0:33.0SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot24
21
Q1 - 0:42.0SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound24
21
Q1 - 0:45.0CavaliersAnte Zizic misses regular free throw 2 of 224
21
Q1 - 0:45.0CavaliersAnte Zizic makes regular free throw 1 of 224
21
Q1 - 0:45.0SpursRudy Gay shooting foul (Ante Zizic draws the foul)24
20
Q1 - 0:58.0SpursDavis Bertans makes two point finger roll layup (Patty Mills assists)24
20
Q1 - 1:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)22
20
Q1 - 1:11CavaliersDavid Nwaba turnover (lost ball) (Lonnie Walker IV steals)22
20
Q1 - 1:17CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound22
20
Q1 - 1:19SpursRudy Gay misses regular free throw 1 of 122
20
Q1 - 1:19CavaliersDavid Nwaba shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)22
20
Q1 - 1:19SpursRudy Gay makes two point turnaround jump shot22
20
Q1 - 1:39CavaliersCollin Sexton makes two point layup20
20
Q1 - 1:42CavaliersAnte Zizic defensive rebound20
18
Q1 - 1:46SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot20
18
Q1 - 1:59CavaliersDavid Nwaba turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
18
Q1 - 2:17SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point layup (Lonnie Walker IV assists)20
18
Q1 - 2:34Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Jakob Poeltl, Patty Mills, Davis Bertans, Lonnie Walker IV)18
18
Q1 - 2:34Spurs 60 second timeout18
18
Q1 - 2:34CavaliersAnte Zizic makes two point layup (Collin Sexton assists)18
18
Q1 - 2:39SpursRudy Gay turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)18
16
Q1 - 2:52SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound18
16
Q1 - 2:55CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses two point floating jump shot18
16
Q1 - 3:21SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving layup18
16
Q1 - 3:33CavaliersKevin Love makes two point jump shot16
16
Q1 - 3:45Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge, Patty Mills, Davis Bertans, Lonnie Walker IV)16
14
Q1 - 3:45Cavaliers lineup change (Ante Zizic, Kevin Love, David Nwaba, Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton)16
14
Q1 - 3:45Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
14
Q1 - 3:50CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound16
14
Q1 - 3:53SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot16
14
Q1 - 4:10SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound16
14
Q1 - 4:12CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses two point turnaround jump shot16
14
Q1 - 4:18Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge, Patty Mills, Davis Bertans, Bryn Forbes)16
14
Q1 - 4:18Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
14
Q1 - 4:33Cavaliers lineup change (Kevin Love, David Nwaba, Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman)16
14
Q1 - 4:33SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (out of bounds bad pass)16
14
Q1 - 4:52CavaliersCollin Sexton makes two point driving layup (Kevin Love assists)16
14
Q1 - 5:04CavaliersKevin Love defensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 5:07SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot16
12
Q1 - 5:08SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 5:10SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point floating jump shot16
12
Q1 - 5:27CavaliersBrandon Knight makes regular free throw 2 of 216
12
Q1 - 5:27Cavaliers lineup change (Kevin Love, Brandon Knight, Channing Frye, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman)16
11
Q1 - 5:27Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan, Patty Mills, Bryn Forbes)16
11
Q1 - 5:27CavaliersBrandon Knight makes regular free throw 1 of 216
11
Q1 - 5:27SpursBryn Forbes shooting foul (Brandon Knight draws the foul)16
10
Q1 - 5:29SpursDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)16
10
Q1 - 5:38SpursDerrick White defensive rebound16
10
Q1 - 5:41CavaliersChanning Frye misses three point jump shot16
10
Q1 - 6:07SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)16
10
Q1 - 6:15SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound13
10
Q1 - 6:17CavaliersCedi Osman misses three point jump shot13
10
Q1 - 6:40SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 113
10
Q1 - 6:40SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes technical free throw 1 of 112
10
Q1 - 6:40CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. technical foul11
10
Q1 - 6:40Cavaliers 60 second timeout11
10
Q1 - 6:40CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)11
10
Q1 - 6:40SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot11
10
Q1 - 6:49CavaliersBrandon Knight turnover (bad pass) (Jakob Poeltl steals)9
10
Q1 - 7:04SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)9
10
Q1 - 7:09SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound6
10
Q1 - 7:11CavaliersCedi Osman misses two point floating jump shot6
10
Q1 - 7:33SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)6
10
Q1 - 7:42SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound4
10
Q1 - 7:47CavaliersBrandon Knight misses two point driving layup4
10
Q1 - 7:54CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound4
10
Q1 - 7:57SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point floating jump shot4
10
Q1 - 8:05SpursBryn Forbes defensive rebound4
10
Q1 - 8:08CavaliersCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot4
10
Q1 - 8:18CavaliersChanning Frye defensive rebound4
10
Q1 - 8:20SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot4
10
Q1 - 8:34CavaliersCollin Sexton makes two point layup4
10
Q1 - 8:38CavaliersChanning Frye defensive rebound4
8
Q1 - 8:40SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot4
8
Q1 - 8:42SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound4
8
Q1 - 8:46SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot4
8
Q1 - 8:52CavaliersCedi Osman personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)4
8
Q1 - 8:56SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound4
8
Q1 - 8:58CavaliersChanning Frye misses two point jump shot4
8
Q1 - 9:07CavaliersChanning Frye defensive rebound4
8
Q1 - 9:09SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses three point jump shot4
8
Q1 - 9:27CavaliersCollin Sexton makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)4
8
Q1 - 9:44SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point dunk (DeMar DeRozan assists)4
5
Q1 - 9:49SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound2
5
Q1 - 9:52CavaliersBrandon Knight misses three point jump shot2
5
Q1 - 10:13SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point floating jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)2
5
Q1 - 10:35CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes two point floating jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:39SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (bad pass) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)0
3
Q1 - 10:52CavaliersCollin Sexton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
3
Q1 - 11:03CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound0
3
Q1 - 11:06SpursBryn Forbes misses two point jump shot0
3
Q1 - 11:21CavaliersChanning Frye makes three point jump shot (Brandon Knight assists)0
3
Q1 - 11:31SpursDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Knight steals)0
0
Q1 - 11:31SpursDerrick White offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:37SpursDerrick White misses two point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:45SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:47CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Jakob Poeltl vs. Larry Nance Jr. (Channing Frye gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Cavaliers lineup change (Brandon Knight, Channing Frye, Collin Sexton, Cedi Osman, Larry Nance Jr.)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan, Derrick White, Bryn Forbes)0
0
ClockTeamEventSASCLE
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 60.2%
CLE
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
18
83%
CLE
13
23
57%
Midrange
SAS
19
42
45%
CLE
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
CLE
8
12.0
29
28%
41%
Free Throws
SAS
17
22
77%
CLE
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge1856%9.0 / 16
D. DeRozan1458%7.0 / 12
P. Mills1478%7.0 / 9
D. Bertans1478%7.0 / 9
B. Forbes1359%6.5 / 11
J. Poeltl880%4.0 / 5
D. White844%4.0 / 9
R. Gay867%4.0 / 6
L. Walker IV788%3.5 / 4
Q. Pondexter6100%3.0 / 3
D. Motiejunas250%1.0 / 2
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 3
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Sexton1650%8.0 / 16
B. Knight1653%8.0 / 15
A. Zizic1488%7.0 / 8
C. Osman1246%6.0 / 13
L. Nance1161%5.5 / 9
C. Frye542%2.5 / 6
K. Love563%2.5 / 4
D. Adel5125%2.5 / 2
J. Clarkson213%1.0 / 8
D. Nwaba217%1.0 / 6
M. Chriss225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+13
-18
93
CLE
81
+13
-17
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 60.2%
CLE
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
7
112.6
26
107.4
SAS 114.3 +22.4
CLE 91.8
Pace
22
98.6
29
96.9
SAS 101.5 +6.7
CLE 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time
6
15.0
3
15.1
SAS 14.2 −1.0
CLE 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
6
53.4%
29
50.3%
SAS 57.9% +13.6%
CLE 44.3%
TO %
2
11.9%
9
13.0%
SAS 16.4% −0.1%
CLE 16.5%
ORB %
26
20.9%
11
23.7%
SAS 30.6% +9.8%
CLE 20.8%
FTrt
24
23.7
25
23.6
SAS 26.8
CLE 34.2 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
22
58.0%
29
53.2%
SAS 62.8% +11.2%
CLE 51.6%
STL %
30
6.2%
25
6.7%
SAS 10.2%
CLE 14.3% +4.1%
BLK %
21
8.3%
30
4.3%
SAS 10.0% +8.3%
CLE 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
7
56.0%
29
52.5%
SAS 60.2% +12.3%
CLE 47.9%
Rim FG%
5
62.7%
26
57.5%
SAS 83.3% +26.8%
CLE 56.5%
Mid FG%
2
44.0%
19
39.5%
SAS 45.2% +8.2%
CLE 37.0%
3P %
1
39.2%
13
35.5%
SAS 40.9% +13.3%
CLE 27.6%
FT %
1
81.8%
7
79.2%
SAS 77.3% +3.2%
CLE 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30
27.8%
24
34.5%
SAS 22.0%
CLE 29.1% +7.2%
Mid Att. %
30
43.7%
28
32.2%
SAS 51.2%
CLE 34.2% −17.0%
3P Att. %
30
28.6%
23
33.2%
SAS 26.8%
CLE 36.7% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASCLE
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points11290
Rebounds4935
Assists2716
Steals1014
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)17 (1)
Fouls1816
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)25 (3)
Field Goals43-8231-79
At-the-Rim FG15-1813-23
Midrange FG19-4210-27
2-Point FG34-6023-50
3-Point FG9-228-29
Free Throws17-2220-27
Fast Break Pts1910
2nd Chance Pts817
Points in Paint3430
Pts off Turnovers2222
Bench Points5130
Biggest Lead276

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 30
31.8
14
58%
3
9
1
0
3
2
0
3
6-7
86%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26
30.1
13
59%
6
4
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
3-5
60%
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 34
29.6
18
56%
13
2
1
0
1
1
5
8
6-6
100%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
#25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 23
26.0
8
80%
10
0
2
2
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
21.7
8
44%
4
3
0
2
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 31
21.1
14
78%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
20.1
14
78%
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33
17.1
8
67%
6
1
1
0
6
4
1
5
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
14.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
12.2
7
88%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#28 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 29
5.8
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
5.3
6
100%
1
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right Anterior Cruciate Ligament
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | NWT
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
49
27
10
5
18
18
11
38
17-22
77%
34-60
57%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.