Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, April 7, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Thunder | 62% | 116 | 132 |
 | 18 | Timberwolves | 38% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Hornets | 36% | 110 | 104 |
 | 11 | Pistons | 64% | 114 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Nets | 33% | 107 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Mavericks | 49% | 107 | 129 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Bucks | 78% | 121 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Magic | 33% | 105 | 116 |
 | 4 | Celtics | 67% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Knicks | 34% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pelicans | 31% | 112 | 133 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Lakers | 31% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Heat | 25% | 104 | 109 |
 | 2 | Raptors | 75% | 113 | 117 |
Saturday, April 6, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 30% | 109 | 133 |
| 5 | Bucks | 70% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Bulls | 18% | 103 | 96 |
Friday, April 5, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 70% | 118 | 111 |
| 20 | Hornets | 30% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 31% | 110 | 113 |
| 12 | Magic | 69% | 117 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 58% | 116 | 129 |
| 21 | Wizards | 42% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 54% | 108 | 117 |
| 11 | Pacers | 46% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 8% | 102 | 96 |
| 1 | Rockets | 92% | 122 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 49% | 109 | 109 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 51% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 33% | 107 | 110 |
| 6 | Thunder | 67% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 44% | 103 | 122 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 56% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 26% | 106 | 98 |
| 7 | Jazz | 74% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 56% | 114 | 126 |
| 28 | Suns | 44% | 112 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 111 | 110 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 65% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 11% | 107 | 114 |
| 3 | Warriors | 89% | 124 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 24% | 109 | 122 |
| 16 | Clippers | 76% | 119 | 117 |
Thursday, April 4, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 53% | 114 | 128 |
| 9 | 76ers | 47% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 26% | 110 | 104 |
| 18 | Kings | 74% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 79% | 121 | 108 |
| 25 | Lakers | 21% | 109 | 90 |
Wednesday, April 3, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 53% | 105 | 108 |
| 18 | Pistons | 47% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 19% | 102 | 100 |
| 13 | Magic | 81% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 21% | 106 | 115 |
| 20 | Wizards | 79% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 65% | 120 | 122 |
| 24 | Hawks | 35% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 63% | 116 | 115 |
| 16 | Nets | 37% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 58% | 108 | 112 |
| 11 | Heat | 42% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 55% | 115 | 115 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 45% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 41% | 112 | 110 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 59% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 37% | 110 | 85 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 63% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 81% | 115 | 118 |
| 28 | Suns | 19% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 31% | 105 | 89 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 55% | 116 | 135 |
| 15 | Clippers | 45% | 114 | 103 |
Tuesday, April 2, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 23% | 108 | 103 |
| 7 | Thunder | 77% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 22% | 111 | 111 |
| 9 | Spurs | 78% | 121 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 62% | 115 | 130 |
| 14 | Kings | 38% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 33% | 110 | 102 |
| 1 | Warriors | 67% | 117 | 116 |
Monday, April 1, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 35% | 102 | 102 |
| 10 | Pacers | 65% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 30% | 103 | 105 |
| 5 | Celtics | 70% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 49% | 112 | 131 |
| 15 | Nets | 51% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 43% | 106 | 105 |
| 29 | Knicks | 57% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 30% | 106 | 109 |
| 3 | Raptors | 70% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 114 | 132 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 46% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 56% | 114 | 102 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 44% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 20% | 103 | 102 |
| 4 | Jazz | 80% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 52% | 114 | 113 |
| 28 | Suns | 48% | 113 | 122 |
Sunday, March 31, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 25% | 107 | 106 |
| 8 | Thunder | 75% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 47% | 114 | 130 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 53% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 32% | 111 | 113 |
| 9 | Spurs | 68% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 25% | 111 | 95 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 75% | 120 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 17% | 108 | 90 |
| 1 | Warriors | 83% | 122 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 39% | 109 | 96 |
| 13 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 75% | 121 | 135 |
| 24 | Hawks | 25% | 111 | 136 |
Saturday, March 30, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 30% | 110 | 108 |
| 19 | Clippers | 70% | 118 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 43% | 107 | 96 |
| 16 | Nets | 57% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 25% | 108 | 108 |
| 2 | Rockets | 75% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 110 | 90 |
| 10 | Pistons | 63% | 114 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 44% | 104 | 121 |
| 9 | Pacers | 56% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 73% | 111 | 100 |
| 29 | Knicks | 27% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 87% | 116 | 124 |
| 30 | Bulls | 13% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 55% | 114 | 118 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 45% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 67% | 110 | 120 |
| 28 | Suns | 33% | 104 | 115 |
Friday, March 29, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 37% | 105 | 112 |
| 6 | Celtics | 63% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 118 | 118 |
| 23 | Hawks | 44% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 118 | 130 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 31% | 111 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 38% | 110 | 115 |
| 7 | Thunder | 62% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 21% | 106 | 124 |
| 3 | Jazz | 79% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 44% | 113 | 115 |
| 20 | Lakers | 56% | 115 | 129 |
Thursday, March 28, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 43% | 106 | 98 |
| 12 | Pistons | 57% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 30% | 110 | 110 |
| 6 | 76ers | 70% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 40% | 106 | 99 |
| 15 | Heat | 60% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 81% | 117 | 117 |
| 29 | Knicks | 19% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 39% | 110 | 85 |
| 2 | Rockets | 61% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 23% | 108 | 118 |
| 4 | Bucks | 77% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 62% | 118 | 118 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 38% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 21% | 107 | 110 |
| 10 | Spurs | 79% | 119 | 116 |
Wednesday, March 27, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 82% | 116 | 118 |
| 30 | Bulls | 18% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 113 | 118 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 29% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 39% | 107 | 99 |
| 9 | Thunder | 61% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 53% | 115 | 124 |
| 28 | Suns | 47% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 15% | 101 | 100 |
| 3 | Jazz | 85% | 116 | 115 |
Tuesday, March 26, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 57% | 114 | 116 |
| 23 | Hornets | 43% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 70% | 113 | 116 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 30% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 39% | 103 | 104 |
| 15 | Heat | 61% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 10% | 101 | 103 |
| 2 | Raptors | 90% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 40% | 110 | 94 |
| 3 | Bucks | 60% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 53% | 116 | 122 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 47% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 47% | 116 | 130 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 53% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 51% | 114 | 125 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 49% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 33% | 108 | 92 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 67% | 114 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 39% | 115 | 106 |
| 18 | Lakers | 61% | 119 | 124 |
Monday, March 25, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 57% | 111 | 98 |
| 17 | Magic | 43% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 62% | 110 | 103 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 38% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 16% | 101 | 92 |
| 5 | Jazz | 84% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 35% | 110 | 144 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 115 | 148 |