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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 7, 2019
4:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hornets36%110104
11Pistons64%11491
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 28.9
40.9
33.1
31
48%
8
7
1
1
0
1
1
7
6-7
86%
8-18
6-12
44%
48%
3-11
27%
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.0
35.6
28.9
10
56%
5
5
1
1
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
2-4
50%
Dwayne Bacon
F · 6'7" 221 · 23.6
27.9
26.2
14
56%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
1-3
33%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 30.3
26.1
14.9
0
0%
5
3
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-2
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 26.6
21.8
11.5
6
39%
9
2
0
0
0
1
3
6
2-4
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 26.0
27.5
26.3
24
66%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
3-3
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
3-7
43%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.9
27.5
26.0
17
74%
6
3
2
1
0
0
1
5
6-8
75%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
17.2
16.4
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
15.4
16.7
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-1
0%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.9
12.2
0
2-4
54%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.9
6.6
0
1-3
49%
J.P. Macura
G · 6'5" 203 · 23.8
4.7
0
0-1
48%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 29.0
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 25.5
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 32.8
Joe Chealey
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.7
42.3
32.4
15
55%
23
1
0
2
3
0
9
14
3-4
75%
6-12
6-12
50%
56%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 30.1
33.5
26.3
16
40%
4
4
0
1
0
4
1
3
4-5
80%
3-7
4-8
43%
53%
2-11
18%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.4
32.5
30.2
14
68%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
3-8
38%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.6
23.7
18.2
6
61%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 29.0
21.9
25.8
9
39%
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
50%
2-5
40%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.8
29.0
21.6
20
63%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
7-13
3-7
54%
50%
2-3
67%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
20.3
20.8
7
44%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
1-5
20%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 22.1
20.2
24.2
2
14%
6
0
0
1
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
0-4
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.3
16.5
23.9
2
14%
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-5
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 35.2
11.9
0
1-2
52%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
6.2
0
1-1
52%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.9
5.3
0
1-1
56%
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.9
2.9
0
0-0
51%
Kalin Lucas
G · 6'1" 195 · 29.9
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.8
Isaiah Whitehead
G · 6'4" 213 · 24.1
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.