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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 7, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pelicans31%112133
17Kings69%119129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 25.1
39.3
31.4
26
61%
6
14
1
1
3
6
0
6
4-5
80%
8-12
4-7
67%
51%
2-7
29%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 28.1
35.5
31.2
31
69%
4
3
2
1
2
1
2
2
2-3
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
7-15
47%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
35.2
21.2
23
77%
14
3
0
0
2
1
6
8
2-2
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
55%
1-1
100%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
28.6
28.5
12
75%
5
5
0
1
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
2-4
50%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 23.5
23.8
18.2
14
47%
7
0
0
1
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
3-11
3-5
27%
55%
2-3
67%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 22.6
29.4
18.5
8
80%
11
2
1
1
0
3
3
8
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
59%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 28.1
26.9
22.6
13
54%
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
3-7
43%
Dairis Bertans
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.6
21.3
14.6
6
38%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
30.7
1
8-14
56%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.9
12.8
1
1-3
46%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 20.9
9.5
0
1-3
51%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 29.0
8.2
0
0-1
50%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 26.1
7.0
0
2-3
55%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 30.1
Trevon Bluiett
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.9
37.0
28.7
29
70%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
5-6
83%
6-11
3-6
55%
50%
4-7
57%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.3
35.5
23.1
24
62%
6
11
3
1
1
2
2
4
3-3
100%
9-15
4-8
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 25.3
31.6
28.4
12
40%
5
6
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
2-10
20%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.9
20.8
23.1
15
94%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
55%
3-4
75%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
19.2
26.4
9
51%
7
2
1
1
1
0
3
4
3-4
75%
3-7
4-7
43%
56%
0-0
-
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.1
31.6
25.6
19
48%
14
0
0
1
1
0
5
9
2-4
50%
7-15
7-12
47%
56%
1-3
33%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
28.9
25.7
16
53%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
4-9
44%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.9
19.3
21.6
5
42%
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 33.1
13.3
15.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 24.3
2.9
12.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.0
6.5
0
1-2
50%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 25.0
6.3
0
1-2
47%
BJ Johnson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.0
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 27.7
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.