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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 29, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pelicans42%115104
15Thunder58%118109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.5
41.4
36.9
14
47%
4
6
2
2
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
7-13
40%
52%
2-5
40%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 22.2
36.3
34.5
26
68%
8
4
1
1
1
2
1
7
4-5
80%
11-14
6-13
79%
50%
0-3
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 35.4
34.3
30.5
16
47%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
4-13
31%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.5
20.9
23.4
11
56%
7
0
2
1
0
1
5
2
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
54%
0-0
-
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.0
7.0
29.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
30.7
15.9
10
47%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
2-7
29%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.0
27.1
13.0
14
80%
7
3
0
0
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
1-1
100%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 30.8
24.0
18.0
13
60%
7
0
1
1
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 28.8
11.4
14.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-4
0%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.6
7.1
11.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
14.2
1
1-2
46%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 28.4
10.2
0
2-3
59%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 21.2
5.6
0
1-1
43%
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 19.4
Zylan Cheatham
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.0
Josh Gray
G · 6'1" 182 · 26.2
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 21.4
33.3
30.5
10
36%
1
3
2
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
5-10
43%
52%
1-6
17%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.6
28.9
28.2
7
39%
6
5
2
2
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
1-6
17%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 31.3
27.2
28.8
17
67%
7
5
1
1
1
2
1
6
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
24.2
25.8
14
64%
12
2
1
1
2
0
3
9
0-0
-
7-11
4-7
64%
61%
0-0
-
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 21.5
23.3
26.8
3
31%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 26.2
32.3
27.4
25
52%
2
7
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
8-15
4-8
53%
50%
3-9
33%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
23.8
16.6
8
69%
7
2
0
1
2
0
1
6
2-4
50%
3-4
3-4
75%
58%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 26.2
22.4
13.2
19
80%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
49%
4-5
80%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 19.5
14.9
16.9
5
83%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 25.8
9.7
10.4
1
57%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 28.4
5.9
0
0-1
54%
Devon Hall
G · 6'6" 206 · 24.4
4.7
0
0-1
52%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 21.3
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 22.5
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 20.6
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.