Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 29, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Celtics | 63% | 114 | 107 |
 | 22 | Nets | 37% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Hornets | 30% | 110 | 110 |
 | 17 | Pistons | 70% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Raptors | 65% | 110 | 90 |
 | 23 | Magic | 35% | 104 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Bucks | 83% | 124 | 119 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Knicks | 28% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Heat | 76% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Pelicans | 42% | 115 | 104 |
 | 15 | Thunder | 58% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 61% | 121 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bulls | 36% | 114 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Lakers | 78% | 125 | 125 |
Wednesday, November 27, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 27% | 106 | 110 |
| 9 | Celtics | 73% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 63% | 116 | 101 |
| 28 | Hornets | 37% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 59% | 111 | 116 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 41% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 48% | 108 | 102 |
| 12 | Pacers | 52% | 109 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | 76ers | 76% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 16% | 102 | 98 |
| 5 | Raptors | 84% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 38% | 115 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 72% | 121 | 121 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 28% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 13% | 111 | 102 |
| 2 | Bucks | 87% | 126 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Timberwolves | 44% | 118 | 113 |
| 14 | Spurs | 56% | 120 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 36% | 120 | 140 |
| 20 | Suns | 64% | 125 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 65% | 120 | 114 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 35% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 49% | 115 | 119 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 116 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 52% | 114 | 90 |
| 26 | Warriors | 48% | 113 | 104 |
Tuesday, November 26, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 49% | 118 | 114 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 51% | 119 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 26% | 114 | 104 |
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Monday, November 25, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 51% | 116 | 108 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 49% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 42% | 108 | 88 |
| 18 | Pistons | 58% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 26% | 107 | 114 |
| 10 | Pacers | 74% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 61% | 121 | 125 |
| 29 | Hawks | 39% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 29% | 103 | 102 |
| 13 | Celtics | 71% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 22% | 107 | 100 |
| 9 | Heat | 78% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 43% | 109 | 96 |
| 7 | Raptors | 57% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 117 | 117 |
| 22 | Bulls | 51% | 118 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 33% | 111 | 118 |
| 3 | Bucks | 67% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 61% | 117 | 114 |
| 14 | Spurs | 39% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 66% | 116 | 100 |
| 28 | Warriors | 34% | 111 | 97 |
Sunday, November 24, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 37% | 117 | 137 |
| 3 | Rockets | 63% | 122 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 61% | 115 | 103 |
| 27 | Knicks | 39% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 41% | 119 | 113 |
| 16 | Wizards | 59% | 122 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 23% | 108 | 104 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 77% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 17% | 113 | 109 |
| 1 | Clippers | 83% | 126 | 134 |
Saturday, November 23, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 43% | 119 | 100 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 57% | 122 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 51% | 114 | 116 |
| 26 | Hornets | 49% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 38% | 103 | 106 |
| 14 | Pacers | 62% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 80% | 120 | 119 |
| 29 | Hawks | 20% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 56% | 115 | 111 |
| 27 | Knicks | 44% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 36% | 108 | 86 |
| 3 | 76ers | 64% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 120 | 104 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 38% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 70% | 118 | 109 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 30% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 17% | 109 | 90 |
| 4 | Bucks | 83% | 122 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 31% | 110 | 120 |
| 8 | Jazz | 69% | 117 | 128 |
Friday, November 22, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 33% | 113 | 103 |
| 17 | Pistons | 67% | 119 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 32% | 118 | 118 |
| 19 | Wizards | 68% | 125 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 51% | 115 | 97 |
| 24 | Nets | 49% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 32% | 111 | 104 |
| 9 | 76ers | 68% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 63% | 114 | 116 |
| 21 | Bulls | 37% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 62% | 111 | 130 |
| 14 | Thunder | 38% | 107 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 21% | 110 | 101 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 79% | 121 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 46% | 108 | 92 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 54% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Warriors | 17% | 104 | 109 |
| 5 | Jazz | 83% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 38% | 116 | 119 |
| 1 | Clippers | 62% | 120 | 122 |
Thursday, November 21, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 111 | 129 |
| 2 | Bucks | 81% | 123 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 41% | 118 | 124 |
| 15 | Suns | 59% | 121 | 121 |
Wednesday, November 20, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 17% | 104 | 104 |
| 6 | 76ers | 83% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 47% | 123 | 132 |
| 20 | Wizards | 53% | 124 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 81% | 122 | 135 |
| 28 | Hawks | 19% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 40% | 114 | 91 |
| 23 | Nets | 60% | 117 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 17% | 104 | 100 |
| 7 | Heat | 83% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 37% | 105 | 97 |
| 9 | Raptors | 63% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 20% | 110 | 94 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 80% | 122 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 49% | 115 | 89 |
| 22 | Bulls | 51% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 58% | 115 | 103 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 42% | 113 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 47% | 115 | 95 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 53% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 39% | 111 | 104 |
| 3 | Clippers | 61% | 114 | 107 |
Tuesday, November 19, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 43% | 115 | 114 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 57% | 118 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 120 | 104 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 56% | 122 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 41% | 113 | 116 |
| 18 | Kings | 59% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 24% | 104 | 107 |
| 2 | Lakers | 76% | 114 | 112 |
Monday, November 18, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 39% | 110 | 105 |
| 29 | Knicks | 61% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 53% | 112 | 115 |
| 25 | Nets | 47% | 111 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 22% | 105 | 96 |
| 8 | Raptors | 78% | 116 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 70% | 120 | 115 |
| 23 | Bulls | 30% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 117 | 108 |
| 5 | Rockets | 69% | 124 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 35% | 114 | 110 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 65% | 120 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 44% | 114 | 99 |
| 12 | Suns | 56% | 116 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 26% | 108 | 112 |
| 3 | Jazz | 74% | 117 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 37% | 111 | 88 |
| 11 | Clippers | 63% | 116 | 90 |
Sunday, November 17, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 69% | 117 | 114 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 31% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 60% | 114 | 99 |
| 18 | Kings | 40% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 36% | 114 | 121 |
| 13 | Magic | 64% | 119 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 65% | 115 | 131 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 35% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 47% | 119 | 100 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 53% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 10% | 103 | 101 |
| 1 | Lakers | 90% | 121 | 122 |
Saturday, November 16, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 49% | 118 | 117 |
| 24 | Bulls | 51% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 69% | 115 | 102 |
| 18 | Pacers | 31% | 108 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 44% | 110 | 103 |
| 30 | Knicks | 56% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 28% | 114 | 94 |
| 7 | Heat | 72% | 122 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 57% | 123 | 125 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 43% | 120 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 47% | 113 | 102 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 53% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 118 | 121 |
| 16 | Spurs | 51% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 27% | 111 | 101 |
| 13 | Clippers | 73% | 120 | 150 |