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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 10, 2020
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pacers52%109116
23Bulls48%108105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.8
33.4
30.1
27
65%
14
3
1
1
2
2
3
11
6-6
100%
9-14
3-6
64%
53%
1-4
25%
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
29.6
28.2
17
54%
5
2
2
1
0
3
3
2
0-2
0%
7-12
5-9
58%
53%
1-3
33%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
25.6
20.4
4
52%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.8
20.2
4.6
8
100%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.6
15.4
27.6
2
20%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 23.3
30.1
27.1
19
96%
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
6-6
3-7
100%
44%
2-3
67%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 30.8
26.7
22.1
9
45%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
3-7
43%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 24.0
22.4
16.0
10
85%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 28.0
21.9
19.4
16
73%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-5
2-3
100%
52%
2-6
33%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
14.6
3.5
4
50%
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Alize Johnson
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.7
2.0
0
0-0
48%
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
1.6
0
0-0
52%
Naz Mitrou-Long
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.4
Brian Bowen II
F · 6'7" 190 · 21.3
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.7
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 23.7
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.8
37.8
35.8
43
82%
6
1
1
1
0
3
1
5
7-7
100%
6-10
6-13
60%
49%
8-13
62%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.2
37.2
29.4
13
55%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
1-6
17%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 22.6
34.0
29.9
11
61%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
3-6
50%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.8
29.4
28.7
5
42%
4
2
0
2
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 21.3
27.4
16.7
2
27%
2
1
2
0
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 19.9
28.8
25.5
23
63%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
5-9
56%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.6
24.8
27.7
6
38%
9
1
1
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Chandler Hutchison
F · 6'7" 197 · 23.7
10.8
10.0
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 24.5
9.8
1.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.8
8.2
0
0-1
48%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 27.5
5.9
0
1-1
54%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.3
5.0
0
1-1
48%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 26.1
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Adam Mokoka
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.5
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.7
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.