Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 10, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pelicans | 69% | 118 | 123 |
 | 30 | Knicks | 31% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Heat | 57% | 113 | 113 |
 | 20 | Nets | 43% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bulls | 48% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 47% | 111 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Hornets | 23% | 105 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Lakers | 41% | 112 | 129 |
 | 3 | Mavericks | 59% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Bucks | 73% | 116 | 127 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, January 9, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Pistons | 67% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Celtics | 43% | 107 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Timberwolves | 51% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Thunder | 52% | 116 | 113 |
Wednesday, January 8, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 28% | 107 | 129 |
| 3 | Celtics | 72% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Raptors | 57% | 110 | 112 |
| 27 | Hornets | 43% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 46% | 108 | 122 |
| 12 | Pacers | 54% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 36% | 110 | 89 |
| 15 | Magic | 64% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 75% | 124 | 122 |
| 26 | Hawks | 25% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Mavericks | 59% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 41% | 111 | 108 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 59% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 13% | 102 | 104 |
| 6 | Jazz | 87% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 85% | 118 | 107 |
| 28 | Warriors | 15% | 104 | 98 |
Tuesday, January 7, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 59% | 113 | 115 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 41% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Blazers | 41% | 111 | 101 |
| 16 | Raptors | 59% | 114 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 53% | 111 | 111 |
| 23 | Nets | 47% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 42% | 113 | 112 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 58% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 34% | 110 | 114 |
| 13 | Suns | 66% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 15% | 103 | 87 |
| 2 | Lakers | 85% | 118 | 117 |
Monday, January 6, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 65% | 112 | 115 |
| 26 | Hornets | 35% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 39% | 107 | 89 |
| 15 | Magic | 61% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 33% | 106 | 113 |
| 3 | 76ers | 67% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 71% | 117 | 94 |
| 25 | Wizards | 29% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 72% | 118 | 123 |
| 27 | Hawks | 28% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 53% | 113 | 128 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 47% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 28% | 108 | 110 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 72% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 72% | 119 | 104 |
| 18 | Spurs | 28% | 110 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Warriors | 27% | 105 | 98 |
| 19 | Kings | 73% | 114 | 111 |
Sunday, January 5, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 26% | 109 | 132 |
| 10 | Clippers | 74% | 118 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Blazers | 38% | 111 | 111 |
| 9 | Heat | 62% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 75% | 116 | 118 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 25% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 34% | 115 | 121 |
| 15 | Suns | 66% | 121 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 13% | 103 | 99 |
| 2 | Lakers | 87% | 119 | 106 |
Saturday, January 4, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 26% | 112 | 140 |
| 7 | Clippers | 74% | 121 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 58% | 113 | 121 |
| 23 | Nets | 42% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 59% | 108 | 109 |
| 17 | Magic | 41% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 72% | 117 | 111 |
| 27 | Hawks | 28% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 70% | 115 | 121 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 30% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 79% | 118 | 114 |
| 29 | Wizards | 21% | 107 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 56% | 107 | 111 |
| 20 | Bulls | 44% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 18% | 107 | 123 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 82% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 22% | 110 | 118 |
| 1 | Bucks | 78% | 121 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 55% | 110 | 111 |
| 28 | Warriors | 45% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 42% | 112 | 117 |
| 19 | Kings | 58% | 115 | 115 |
Friday, January 3, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 19% | 104 | 106 |
| 8 | Celtics | 81% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 51% | 109 | 85 |
| 19 | Magic | 49% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Blazers | 60% | 121 | 122 |
| 25 | Wizards | 40% | 117 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 46% | 113 | 108 |
| 5 | Rockets | 54% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 30% | 111 | 112 |
| 15 | Suns | 70% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 24% | 109 | 113 |
| 2 | Lakers | 76% | 119 | 123 |
Thursday, January 2, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 52% | 112 | 109 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 48% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 51% | 109 | 124 |
| 11 | Pacers | 49% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 39% | 109 | 76 |
| 8 | Heat | 61% | 113 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 60% | 110 | 102 |
| 21 | Bulls | 40% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 46% | 109 | 84 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 54% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 28% | 111 | 111 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 72% | 120 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 49% | 111 | 109 |
| 17 | Spurs | 51% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 41% | 111 | 123 |
| 18 | Kings | 59% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 18% | 107 | 112 |
| 2 | Clippers | 82% | 120 | 126 |
Wednesday, January 1, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 58% | 114 | 122 |
| 24 | Wizards | 42% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Blazers | 68% | 118 | 93 |
| 28 | Knicks | 32% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 12% | 105 | 104 |
| 1 | Bucks | 88% | 121 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 27% | 109 | 107 |
| 3 | Lakers | 73% | 118 | 117 |
Tuesday, December 31, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 77% | 116 | 109 |
| 27 | Hornets | 23% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 51% | 110 | 97 |
| 12 | Pacers | 49% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 67% | 115 | 105 |
| 19 | Kings | 33% | 109 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 22% | 105 | 97 |
| 13 | Raptors | 78% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 47% | 114 | 104 |
| 10 | Rockets | 53% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 34% | 110 | 113 |
| 18 | Spurs | 66% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 59% | 114 | 101 |
| 17 | Thunder | 41% | 110 | 106 |
Monday, December 30, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 23% | 103 | 101 |
| 14 | Magic | 77% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 77% | 118 | 105 |
| 28 | Wizards | 23% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 74% | 116 | 123 |
| 22 | Bulls | 26% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 54% | 113 | 115 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 46% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 30% | 108 | 81 |
| 9 | Jazz | 70% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 43% | 117 | 122 |
| 13 | Blazers | 57% | 120 | 116 |
Sunday, December 29, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 42% | 106 | 98 |
| 12 | Raptors | 58% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 42% | 113 | 104 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 58% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 57% | 121 | 112 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 43% | 118 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 31% | 105 | 115 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 69% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 39% | 112 | 95 |
| 3 | Lakers | 61% | 116 | 108 |
Saturday, December 28, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 27% | 108 | 110 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 73% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 35% | 107 | 113 |
| 6 | Celtics | 65% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 45% | 111 | 98 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 55% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 51% | 111 | 116 |
| 7 | Heat | 49% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 49% | 114 | 107 |
| 28 | Wizards | 51% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 24% | 105 | 81 |
| 20 | Bulls | 76% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 24% | 114 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 76% | 124 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 25% | 108 | 94 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 75% | 118 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 34% | 106 | 100 |
| 9 | Bucks | 66% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 45% | 112 | 109 |
| 18 | Spurs | 55% | 114 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 74% | 117 | 141 |
| 25 | Warriors | 26% | 107 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 41% | 111 | 112 |
| 17 | Kings | 59% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 61% | 117 | 128 |
| 13 | Blazers | 39% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 31% | 109 | 120 |
| 1 | Clippers | 69% | 116 | 107 |