Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, January 5, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Knicks | 26% | 109 | 132 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Heat | 62% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Timberwolves | 75% | 116 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pistons | 13% | 103 | 99 |
 | 2 | Lakers | 87% | 119 | 106 |
Saturday, January 4, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 26% | 112 | 140 |
| 7 | Clippers | 74% | 121 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Raptors | 58% | 113 | 121 |
 | 23 | Nets | 42% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Magic | 41% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Thunder | 70% | 115 | 121 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 30% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Celtics | 56% | 107 | 111 |
 | 20 | Bulls | 44% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | 18% | 107 | 123 |
 | 5 | Mavericks | 82% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Bucks | 78% | 121 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 55% | 110 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Pelicans | 42% | 112 | 117 |
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Friday, January 3, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 121 | 122 |
| 25 | Wizards | 40% | 117 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 51% | 109 | 85 |
| 19 | Magic | 49% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 19% | 104 | 106 |
| 8 | Celtics | 81% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 30% | 111 | 112 |
| 15 | Suns | 70% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 24% | 109 | 113 |
| 2 | Lakers | 76% | 119 | 123 |
Thursday, January 2, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 52% | 112 | 109 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 48% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 51% | 109 | 124 |
| 11 | Pacers | 49% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 39% | 109 | 76 |
| 8 | Heat | 61% | 113 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 60% | 110 | 102 |
| 21 | Bulls | 40% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 46% | 109 | 84 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 54% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 28% | 111 | 111 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 72% | 120 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Thunder | 49% | 111 | 109 |
| 17 | Spurs | 51% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 41% | 111 | 123 |
| 18 | Kings | 59% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 18% | 107 | 112 |
| 2 | Clippers | 82% | 120 | 126 |
Wednesday, January 1, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 58% | 114 | 122 |
| 24 | Wizards | 42% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 118 | 93 |
| 28 | Knicks | 32% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 12% | 105 | 104 |
| 1 | Bucks | 88% | 121 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 27% | 109 | 107 |
| 3 | Lakers | 73% | 118 | 117 |
Tuesday, December 31, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 77% | 116 | 109 |
| 27 | Hornets | 23% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 51% | 110 | 97 |
| 12 | Pacers | 49% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 67% | 115 | 105 |
| 19 | Kings | 33% | 109 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 34% | 110 | 113 |
| 18 | Spurs | 66% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 22% | 105 | 97 |
| 13 | Raptors | 78% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 47% | 114 | 104 |
| 10 | Rockets | 53% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 59% | 114 | 101 |
| 17 | Thunder | 41% | 110 | 106 |
Monday, December 30, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 23% | 103 | 101 |
| 14 | Magic | 77% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 77% | 118 | 105 |
| 28 | Wizards | 23% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 54% | 113 | 115 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 46% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 74% | 116 | 123 |
| 22 | Bulls | 26% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 30% | 108 | 81 |
| 9 | Jazz | 70% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 43% | 117 | 122 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 120 | 116 |
Sunday, December 29, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 42% | 106 | 98 |
| 12 | Raptors | 58% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 31% | 105 | 115 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 69% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 57% | 121 | 112 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 43% | 118 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 42% | 113 | 104 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 58% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 39% | 112 | 95 |
| 3 | Lakers | 61% | 116 | 108 |
Saturday, December 28, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 27% | 108 | 110 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 73% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 35% | 107 | 113 |
| 6 | Celtics | 65% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 45% | 111 | 98 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 55% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 51% | 111 | 116 |
| 7 | Heat | 49% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 49% | 114 | 107 |
| 28 | Wizards | 51% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 24% | 105 | 81 |
| 20 | Bulls | 76% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 24% | 114 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 76% | 124 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 25% | 108 | 94 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 75% | 118 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 34% | 106 | 100 |
| 9 | Bucks | 66% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 45% | 112 | 109 |
| 18 | Spurs | 55% | 114 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 74% | 117 | 141 |
| 25 | Warriors | 26% | 107 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 41% | 111 | 112 |
| 17 | Kings | 59% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 61% | 117 | 128 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 31% | 109 | 120 |
| 1 | Clippers | 69% | 116 | 107 |
Friday, December 27, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 14% | 103 | 117 |
| 6 | Celtics | 86% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 59% | 109 | 97 |
| 11 | Magic | 41% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 54% | 109 | 104 |
| 26 | Hornets | 46% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 74% | 122 | 112 |
| 27 | Hawks | 26% | 112 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 37% | 106 | 112 |
| 9 | Heat | 63% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 57% | 114 | 96 |
| 25 | Warriors | 43% | 112 | 105 |
Thursday, December 26, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 39% | 115 | 102 |
| 23 | Pistons | 61% | 118 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 28% | 111 | 94 |
| 19 | Nets | 72% | 119 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 38% | 110 | 110 |
| 16 | Thunder | 62% | 114 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 27% | 110 | 98 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 73% | 119 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 36% | 109 | 105 |
| 17 | Kings | 64% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 111 | 115 |
| 10 | Jazz | 61% | 115 | 121 |
Wednesday, December 25, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 51% | 111 | 118 |
| 12 | Raptors | 49% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 48% | 112 | 109 |
| 2 | 76ers | 52% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 76% | 121 | 104 |
| 27 | Warriors | 24% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 47% | 113 | 111 |
| 6 | Lakers | 53% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 27% | 108 | 112 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 73% | 117 | 100 |
Monday, December 23, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 70% | 114 | 125 |
| 23 | Pistons | 30% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 45% | 108 | 115 |
| 14 | Pacers | 55% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 55% | 117 | 121 |
| 30 | Knicks | 45% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 39% | 105 | 95 |
| 11 | Magic | 61% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 49% | 118 | 118 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 51% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 42% | 108 | 104 |
| 8 | Heat | 58% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 46% | 115 | 145 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 54% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 54% | 114 | 113 |
| 15 | Suns | 46% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 37% | 116 | 102 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 120 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 62% | 118 | 113 |
| 17 | Kings | 38% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 48% | 112 | 104 |
| 25 | Warriors | 52% | 113 | 113 |