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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 10, 2020
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Spurs49%116121
24Grizzlies51%117134
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
38
33
36
9
9
1
1
0
1
2
7
13-14
93%
10-17
8-15
59%
52%
1-1
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.5
34
31
21
9
3
0
1
1
3
1
8
2-2
100%
2-3
6-11
67%
52%
5-9
56%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
29
25
21
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
4-8
50%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.3
24
26
6
3
5
0
2
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
16
18
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.4
26
21
13
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
3-7
43%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.4
23
22
8
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
20
21
3
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
1-4
25%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
15
19
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.2
12
14
6
2
2
0
0
3
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
63%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.8
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 33.5
2
0
0-0
45%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.3
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 20.0
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.8
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.4
34
29
22
7
14
2
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
11-18
5-10
61%
52%
0-2
0%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
31
29
22
4
6
1
1
2
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
5-12
42%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.7
30
23
21
9
3
0
0
1
1
2
7
6-6
100%
6-8
5-8
75%
59%
1-3
33%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 20.3
25
30
24
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
3-4
4-7
75%
56%
5-7
71%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.5
23
28
5
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 23.3
23
19
10
9
4
1
0
2
0
2
7
4-4
100%
3-5
4-6
60%
60%
0-0
-
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.3
20
10
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-3
0%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.6
17
18
13
4
6
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
1-2
50%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.7
14
17
3
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.3
12
12
7
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
1-2
50%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 28.8
12
17
5
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Marko Guduric
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.8
3
0
0-1
50%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
1
0
0-0
52%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 25.2
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.9
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 36.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.