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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 24, 2021
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Spurs43%111110
16Pelicans57%114108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
37.5
29.5
22
65%
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
4-8
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
37.1
21.2
32
61%
7
8
1
1
0
5
2
5
12-12
100%
10-18
5-9
56%
53%
0-3
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.5
36.7
26.2
8
51%
7
3
1
1
5
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
63%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.6
35.2
29.3
11
40%
7
5
3
2
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
50%
1-3
33%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.5
34.1
27.0
14
51%
9
2
0
1
0
1
1
8
2-4
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
55%
2-7
29%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.7
20.1
20.4
5
50%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
14.1
23.3
4
29%
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-4
0%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.2
11.3
16.9
8
81%
4
0
0
0
2
3
1
3
6-9
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.7
5.9
13.0
3
75%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-2
50%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.3
5.8
9.0
3
104%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.3
2.1
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.3
9.7
0
1-3
49%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.3
5.0
0
0-1
52%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
2.7
0
0-0
48%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.5
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 20.8
38.0
28.5
33
57%
14
2
0
1
0
2
5
9
7-13
54%
13-23
9-15
57%
62%
0-0
-
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 23.6
35.0
30.6
24
51%
6
6
0
1
0
4
0
6
5-6
83%
8-16
6-11
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.5
34.3
24.2
24
75%
2
4
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
6-10
60%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
31.9
23.1
4
52%
10
1
3
1
0
3
4
6
0-2
0%
2-3
3-4
67%
62%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.4
22.7
23.4
6
37%
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
3
2-5
40%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
32.4
23.5
6
44%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
1-4
25%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 20.0
16.6
19.4
5
42%
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.9
13.9
16.1
6
38%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-4
29%
66%
0-0
-
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 26.3
10.5
14.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
4.9
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
57%
0-0
-
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
9.1
0
1-1
53%
James Nunnally
F · 6'7" 208 · 30.8
5.5
0
0-1
56%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 22.6
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.