Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Heat	44%	106	107	118.9	90	99.9
	15	Spurs	56%	109	87	97.8	89	81.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	34.2	18	56%	7	11	1	0	3	2	2	5	6-6	100%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	33.7	9	45%	5	3	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	31.4	23	77%	8	5	3	1	1	1	1	7	7-8	88%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	29.7	3	30%	4	0	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	27.6	10	56%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-7	29%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	25.5	22	79%	6	4	0	0	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	5-6	83%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	19.1	9	50%	5	2	1	0	1	2	2	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	18.7	3	25%	2	2	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32	14.7	6	60%	3	0	1	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	2.0	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	2.0	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	44	28	8	1	7	20	9	35	16-20	80%	26-52	50%	13-31	42%

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17 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	34.2	18	56%	7	11	1	0	3	2	2	5	6-6	100%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	33.7	9	45%	5	3	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	31.4	23	77%	8	5	3	1	1	1	1	7	7-8	88%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	29.7	3	30%	4	0	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	27.6	10	56%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-7	29%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	25.5	22	79%	6	4	0	0	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	5-6	83%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	19.1	9	50%	5	2	1	0	1	2	2	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	18.7	3	25%	2	2	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32	14.7	6	60%	3	0	1	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	2.0	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	2.0	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	44	28	8	1	7	20	9	35	16-20	80%	26-52	50%	13-31	42%

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15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	31.8	15	50%	5	4	0	0	2	2	1	4	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	31.4	13	50%	5	7	0	0	1	0	0	5	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 26	28.6	8	100%	9	1	1	5	2	2	2	7	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	28.2	11	39%	5	4	0	0	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-6	17%	3-8	38%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 22	26.9	9	50%	6	1	0	0	1	2	1	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	22.6	6	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	18.6	6	30%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	18.1	7	58%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	13.2	6	100%	5	1	0	2	0	3	3	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	4.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	4.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	4.1	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	INACTIVE
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	49%	38	21	1	7	10	15	7	31	15-20	75%	21-42	50%	10-35	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.11 55.7%

SAS

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

14

26

54%

SAS

12

18

67%

Midrange

MIA

12

26

46%

SAS

9

24

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

13

19.5

31

42%

63%

SAS

10

15.0

35

29%

43%

Free Throws

MIA

16

20

80%

SAS

15

20

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	23	77%	11.5 / 15
T. Herro	22	79%	11.0 / 14
J. Butler	18	56%	9.0 / 16
D. Robinson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Nunn	9	45%	4.5 / 10
G. Dragic	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Dedmon	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Ariza	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Okpala	3	25%	1.5 / 6
G. Vincent	3	150%	1.5 / 1
P. Achiuwa	1	50%	0.5 / 1
M. Strus	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. White	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Murray	11	39%	5.5 / 14
K. Johnson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Poeltl	8	100%	4.0 / 4
L. Walker IV	7	58%	3.5 / 6
P. Mills	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Gay	6	30%	3.0 / 10
D. Eubanks	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Bates-Diop	4	100%	2.0 / 2
T. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Vassell	0	-	0.0 / 2
L. Samanic	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 111.1 18 111.1	MIA 118.9 +21.1 SAS 97.8
Pace	29 96.7 16 98.9	MIA 99.9 +18.9 SAS 81.0
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 16 14.7	MIA 14.4 −3.4 SAS 17.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 54.6% 27 51.7%	MIA 54.8% +8.0% SAS 46.8%
TO %	21 13.7% 2 11.0%	MIA 8.0% −3.4% SAS 11.4%
ORB %	29 19.4% 27 20.1%	MIA 22.5% +5.8% SAS 16.7%
FTrt	11 25.2 14 24.3	MIA 24.1 SAS 26.0 +1.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.1% 20 58.4%	MIA 71.8% +4.1% SAS 67.7%
STL %	7 8.2% 22 7.0%	MIA 8.9% +7.8% SAS 1.1%
BLK %	22 8.5% 15 8.9%	MIA 2.4% SAS 13.5% +11.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.5% 24 54.4%	MIA 55.7% +6.8% SAS 48.9%
Rim FG%	2 64.8% 19 60.1%	MIA 53.8% SAS 66.7% +12.9%
Mid FG%	16 41.8% 14 43.2%	MIA 46.2% +8.7% SAS 37.5%
3P %	19 35.8% 24 35.0%	MIA 41.9% +13.3% SAS 28.6%
FT %	12 79.0% 10 79.2%	MIA 80.0% +5.0% SAS 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 33.3% 21 33.1%	MIA 31.3% +7.9% SAS 23.4%
Mid Att. %	11 23.5% 30 35.5%	MIA 31.3% SAS 31.2% −0.2%
3P Att. %	7 43.2% 30 31.4%	MIA 37.3% SAS 45.5% +8.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	SAS
Possessions	90	89
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	107	87
Rebounds	44	38
Assists	28	21
Steals	8	1
Blocks	1	7
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	20	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	31 (1)
Field Goals	39-83	31-77
At-the-Rim FG	14-26	12-18
Midrange FG	12-26	9-24
2-Point FG	26-52	21-42
3-Point FG	13-31	10-35
Free Throws	16-20	15-20
Fast Break Pts	11	4
2nd Chance Pts	11	10
Points in Paint	40	36
Pts off Turnovers	14	4
Bench Points	44	31
Biggest Lead	22	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg