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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 21, 2021
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat
107
17Spurs
87
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 31.6
34
17
18
7
11
1
1
0
3
2
5
6-6
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.7
34
29
9
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
1-5
20%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 23.8
31
23
23
8
5
3
1
1
1
1
7
7-8
88%
8-12
5-9
67%
57%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 35.8
30
29
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
28
29
10
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
64%
2-7
29%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 21.3
25
18
22
6
4
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
50%
5-6
83%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.0
19
25
9
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
2-4
50%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.0
19
13
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
15
12
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
56%
0-0
-
Precious Achiuwa
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
2
15
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
2
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
63%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 37.2
21
1
1-1
59%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.0
4
0
0-1
54%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 40.9
3
0
0-1
44%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
32
27
15
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
6-12
6-12
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
31
30
13
5
7
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
2-8
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.5
29
22
8
9
1
1
1
5
2
2
7
2-2
100%
3-3
4-6
100%
63%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.6
28
30
11
5
4
0
2
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
50%
3-8
38%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.5
27
26
9
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
55%
2-4
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.7
23
19
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
19
21
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
0-4
0%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
18
19
7
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.2
13
18
6
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.7
4
9
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.3
4
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.3
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.3
4
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.2
4
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.5
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.