Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 22, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	76ers	36%	110	117	117.0	100	96.8
	2	Bucks	64%	115	124	121.6	102	105.5

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

-8

MIL

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.17 58.5%

MIL

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 29	29.9	18	53%	2	6	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	26.8	24	50%	3	3	0	1	1	3	0	3	6-7	86%	9-17	53%	0-4	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 31	25.7	11	92%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-3	100%
George Hill #33 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 35	21.1	6	75%	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Danny Green #14 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	14.8	0	0%	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	26.3	20	67%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	3-5	60%
Matisse Thybulle #22 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 24	24.8	5	83%	2	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Mike Scott #1 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 33	22.0	11	92%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 20	19.3	11	50%	0	5	1	0	2	4	0	0	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Dwight Howard #39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	14.1	4	100%	7	2	0	0	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Tolliver #43 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	4.4	0	0%	2	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	3.5	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Isaiah Joe #7 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 22	3.5	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-3	33%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rayjon Tucker #9 · SG · 6'3" 209 · 24	3.5	2	50%	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mason Jones #5 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	33	27	7	3	8	17	7	26	13-18	72%	34-64	53%	12-27	44%

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4 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 29	29.9	18	53%	2	6	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	26.8	24	50%	3	3	0	1	1	3	0	3	6-7	86%	9-17	53%	0-4	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 31	25.7	11	92%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-3	100%
George Hill #33 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 35	21.1	6	75%	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Danny Green #14 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	14.8	0	0%	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	26.3	20	67%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	3-5	60%
Matisse Thybulle #22 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 24	24.8	5	83%	2	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Mike Scott #1 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 33	22.0	11	92%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 20	19.3	11	50%	0	5	1	0	2	4	0	0	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Dwight Howard #39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	14.1	4	100%	7	2	0	0	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Tolliver #43 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	4.4	0	0%	2	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	3.5	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Isaiah Joe #7 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 22	3.5	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-3	33%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rayjon Tucker #9 · SG · 6'3" 209 · 24	3.5	2	50%	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mason Jones #5 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	59%	33	27	7	3	8	17	7	26	13-18	72%	34-64	53%	12-27	44%

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2 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	35.4	27	59%	16	6	2	1	3	2	2	14	10-18	56%	7-13	54%	1-2	50%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	34.5	12	46%	4	11	1	1	2	1	0	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 30	33.5	24	75%	1	5	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	6-9	67%	4-7	57%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	25.9	3	30%	5	6	0	0	3	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	23.2	16	80%	4	1	0	2	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-7	57%

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	22.8	10	83%	5	1	0	1	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 36	22.8	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	22.6	23	105%	5	1	1	3	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	5-5	100%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 28	16.0	9	90%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	3-3	100%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 29	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #15 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeff Teague #5 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rodions Kurucs #00 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Axel Toupane #66 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	INACTIVE
Justin Jackson #44 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 26	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	65%	45	32	6	8	16	16	6	39	14-23	61%	25-41	61%	20-40	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.17 58.5%

MIL

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

62%

MIL

74%

Midrange

PHI

49%

MIL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

18.0

44%

67%

MIL

30.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

PHI

72%

MIL

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	24	50%	12.0 / 24
S. Milton	20	67%	10.0 / 15
T. Harris	18	53%	9.0 / 17
S. Curry	11	92%	5.5 / 6
M. Scott	11	92%	5.5 / 6
T. Maxey	11	50%	5.5 / 11
G. Hill	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Thybulle	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Howard	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Reed	4	67%	2.0 / 3
R. Tucker	2	50%	1.0 / 2
I. Joe	1	50%	0.5 / 1
D. Green	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Tolliver	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	27	59%	13.5 / 23
K. Middleton	24	75%	12.0 / 16
B. Portis	23	105%	11.5 / 11
B. Lopez	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Holiday	12	46%	6.0 / 13
P. Connaughton	10	83%	5.0 / 6
B. Forbes	9	90%	4.5 / 5
D. DiVincenzo	3	30%	1.5 / 5
P. Tucker	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 113.2 5 116.9	PHI 117.0 MIL 121.6 +4.6
Pace	12 99.6 2 102.5	PHI 96.8 MIL 105.5 +8.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.7 29 13.6	PHI 14.9 MIL 13.7 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.1% 2 56.6%	PHI 57.1% MIL 67.9% +10.8%
TO %	20 13.6% 15 13.0%	PHI 8.3% −6.6% MIL 14.9%
ORB %	10 23.2% 9 23.3%	PHI 15.2% MIL 18.8% +3.6%
FTrt	1 29.3 24 23.3	PHI 19.8 MIL 28.4 +8.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 57.2% 25 56.9%	PHI 58.7% MIL 71.1% +12.4%
STL %	1 9.1% 10 7.9%	PHI 7.0% +1.1% MIL 5.9%
BLK %	1 11.5% 20 8.6%	PHI 7.3% MIL 12.5% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 56.5% 3 58.2%	PHI 58.5% MIL 65.3% +6.8%
Rim FG%	18 60.5% 1 65.0%	PHI 61.9% MIL 73.7% +11.8%
Mid FG%	3 45.4% 11 43.5%	PHI 48.8% MIL 50.0% +1.2%
3P %	11 37.4% 5 38.9%	PHI 44.4% MIL 50.0% +5.6%
FT %	20 76.7% 23 76.0%	PHI 72.2% +11.3% MIL 60.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 33.3% 23 32.9%	PHI 23.1% MIL 23.5% +0.4%
Mid Att. %	25 32.0% 18 26.7%	PHI 47.3% MIL 27.2% −20.1%
3P Att. %	26 34.7% 12 40.4%	PHI 29.7% MIL 49.4% +19.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	MIL
Possessions	100	102
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	117	124
Rebounds	33	45
Assists	27	32
Steals	7	6
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	17	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (0)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (5)	39 (2)
Field Goals	46-91	45-81
At-the-Rim FG	13-21	14-19
Midrange FG	21-43	11-22
2-Point FG	34-64	25-41
3-Point FG	12-27	20-40
Free Throws	13-18	14-23
Fast Break Pts	4	9
2nd Chance Pts	7	2
Points in Paint	48	34
Pts off Turnovers	27	13
Bench Points	58	42
Biggest Lead	0	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg