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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 22, 2021
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pistons30%10391
18Spurs70%111106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.0
32
29
9
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.2
31
28
29
4
2
0
1
1
2
2
2
5-9
56%
9-13
4-9
69%
49%
2-7
29%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 19.7
31
26
12
0
5
1
1
1
4
0
0
1-1
100%
4-11
3-5
36%
47%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 19.9
28
22
8
13
0
0
1
2
3
5
8
2-2
100%
3-6
4-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Sekou Doumbouya
F · 6'9" 209 · 20.3
14
12
3
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
33
21
14
3
1
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
20
8
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
56%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 22.7
18
16
5
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-4
25%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Saben Lee
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
17
14
2
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Cook
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.6
16
14
2
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.4
13
0
0-1
51%
Deividas Sirvydis
G · 6'8" 190 · 20.9
2
0
0-0
47%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.4
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29.7
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
33
19
18
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
4-5
80%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.5
30
26
10
7
2
3
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-9
4-6
22%
56%
2-3
67%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.5
30
25
17
11
4
0
1
4
2
4
7
5-6
83%
6-8
4-6
75%
64%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
29
30
26
7
8
1
1
3
1
2
5
8-8
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
53%
2-8
25%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.3
15
6
2
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
24
20
14
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
3-5
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.7
24
8
2
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.3
19
5
5
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.2
18
16
8
4
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
4-6
67%
2-2
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.2
16
4
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
2-4
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
29
1
7-12
54%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.3
7
0
0-1
53%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.6
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.5
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.