Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, April 24, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Rockets	22%	105	116	111.5	104	114.0
	4	Nuggets	78%	116	129	122.9	105	96.5

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

-15

DEN

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.20 59.8%

DEN

1.36 67.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Armoni Brooks #7 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	42.8	12	46%	7	5	0	0	5	4	0	7	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	3-11	27%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	41.9	18	56%	4	2	3	0	2	2	2	2	3-8	38%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
D.J. Wilson #00 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	39.9	25	69%	8	4	3	0	3	1	1	7	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	3-7	43%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	34.5	21	66%	8	11	0	0	2	1	1	7	11-11	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · PG · 6'4" 230 · 25	21.3	14	58%	3	4	4	0	0	2	0	3	1-4	25%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%

Anthony Lamb #33 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 23	30.6	21	75%	1	1	0	0	3	4	1	0	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	4-9	44%
DaQuan Jeffries #55 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 24	29.1	5	42%	4	0	0	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
John Wall #1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Left Achilles; Injury Recovery
Avery Bradley #9 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Illness; Illness
Danuel House Jr. #4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
D.J. Augustin #14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 21	INACTIVE
David Nwaba #2 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Sterling Brown #0 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Danté Exum #5 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	60%	35	27	10	1	15	16	6	29	19-28	68%	26-42	62%	15-40	38%

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23 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Armoni Brooks #7 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	42.8	12	46%	7	5	0	0	5	4	0	7	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	3-11	27%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	41.9	18	56%	4	2	3	0	2	2	2	2	3-8	38%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
D.J. Wilson #00 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	39.9	25	69%	8	4	3	0	3	1	1	7	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	3-7	43%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	34.5	21	66%	8	11	0	0	2	1	1	7	11-11	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · PG · 6'4" 230 · 25	21.3	14	58%	3	4	4	0	0	2	0	3	1-4	25%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%

Anthony Lamb #33 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 23	30.6	21	75%	1	1	0	0	3	4	1	0	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	4-9	44%
DaQuan Jeffries #55 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 24	29.1	5	42%	4	0	0	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
John Wall #1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Left Achilles; Injury Recovery
Avery Bradley #9 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Illness; Illness
Danuel House Jr. #4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
D.J. Augustin #14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 21	INACTIVE
David Nwaba #2 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Sterling Brown #0 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Danté Exum #5 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	60%	35	27	10	1	15	16	6	29	19-28	68%	26-42	62%	15-40	38%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	35.8	39	85%	6	2	0	3	1	1	0	6	5-5	100%	5-9	56%	8-12	67%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	33.5	5	42%	2	13	3	0	1	1	0	2	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	29.0	24	71%	8	12	1	1	4	4	0	8	4-6	67%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	27.8	23	88%	7	3	2	2	0	3	0	7	0-0	-	7-8	88%	3-5	60%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	19.6	7	50%	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%

Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 29	29.1	9	56%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	21.0	10	100%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	15.1	6	60%	2	0	0	1	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	14.3	2	100%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	3.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	3.9	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	3.5	2	50%	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Surgery
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	68%	36	36	8	8	14	22	1	35	13-16	81%	34-47	72%	16-37	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.20 59.8%

DEN

1.36 67.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

71%

DEN

88%

Midrange

HOU

36%

DEN

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

22.5

38%

56%

DEN

24.0

43%

65%

Free Throws

HOU

68%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wilson	25	69%	12.5 / 18
K. Olynyk	21	66%	10.5 / 16
A. Lamb	21	75%	10.5 / 14
K. Martin	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Tate	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Brooks	12	46%	6.0 / 13
D. Jeffries	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	39	85%	19.5 / 23
N. Jokić	24	71%	12.0 / 17
P. Dozier	23	88%	11.5 / 13
J. Green	10	100%	5.0 / 5
A. Rivers	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Gordon	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. McGee	6	60%	3.0 / 5
F. Campazzo	5	42%	2.5 / 6
S. Harrison	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Bol	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Howard	2	33%	1.0 / 3
V. Cancar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 107.4 7 116.8	HOU 111.5 DEN 122.9 +11.3
Pace	7 101.1 28 97.4	HOU 114.0 +17.5 DEN 96.5
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 4 15.1	HOU 12.6 −2.3 DEN 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.1% 6 55.7%	HOU 59.1% DEN 69.0% +9.9%
TO %	23 14.1% 13 13.0%	HOU 14.5% DEN 14.1% −0.4%
ORB %	28 19.9% 2 24.8%	HOU 14.6% +11.3% DEN 3.3%
FTrt	10 25.2 28 21.9	HOU 34.1 +15.1 DEN 19.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.1% 11 62.1%	HOU 65.9% DEN 72.0% +6.1%
STL %	16 7.5% 6 8.2%	HOU 9.6% +2.0% DEN 7.6%
BLK %	12 9.3% 14 9.0%	HOU 2.1% DEN 19.0% +16.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 54.4% 6 57.5%	HOU 59.8% DEN 67.9% +8.1%
Rim FG%	15 61.2% 6 63.9%	HOU 71.0% DEN 88.0% +17.0%
Mid FG%	30 34.6% 5 44.9%	HOU 36.4% DEN 54.5% +18.1%
3P %	28 33.9% 8 37.7%	HOU 37.5% DEN 43.2% +5.7%
FT %	27 74.0% 7 80.3%	HOU 67.9% DEN 81.3% +13.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.8% 18 33.5%	HOU 37.8% +8.0% DEN 29.8%
Mid Att. %	1 16.4% 22 28.2%	HOU 13.4% −12.8% DEN 26.2%
3P Att. %	2 45.9% 18 38.3%	HOU 48.8% +4.7% DEN 44.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.37 and 2.37.

Game Totals	HOU	DEN
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	116	129
Rebounds	35	36
Assists	27	36
Steals	10	8
Blocks	1	8
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	16	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	1 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	35 (3)
Field Goals	41-82	50-84
At-the-Rim FG	22-31	22-25
Midrange FG	4-11	12-22
2-Point FG	26-42	34-47
3-Point FG	15-40	16-37
Free Throws	19-28	13-16
Fast Break Pts	11	17
2nd Chance Pts	12	0
Points in Paint	46	58
Pts off Turnovers	19	16
Bench Points	26	31
Biggest Lead	3	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg