Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, April 26, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Grizzlies	34%	108	96	91.4	105	111.0
	5	Nuggets	66%	114	120	114.3	105	99.6

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

-16

DEN

+11

-11

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.99 49.5%

DEN

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22	29.9	27	71%	6	6	1	0	3	2	0	6	7-9	78%	10-11	91%	0-4	0%
Grayson Allen #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 26	25.1	8	57%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	23.2	13	65%	3	0	1	0	3	3	1	2	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	22.8	9	64%	1	2	1	1	4	5	1	0	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	19.0	6	60%	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

De'Anthony Melton #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	24.1	3	15%	6	2	1	0	1	3	0	6	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Justise Winslow #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	20.8	6	43%	4	4	0	2	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22	20.7	10	38%	7	1	0	0	2	5	0	7	3-6	50%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	19.2	3	50%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	15.3	2	20%	5	3	2	3	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25	5.3	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	5.3	2	50%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Killian Tillie #35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23	5.3	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jontay Porter #4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21	4.1	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-3	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tim Frazier #10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 30	INACTIVE
Sean McDermott #30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	50%	45	20	8	6	16	22	6	39	24-31	77%	30-49	61%	4-32	13%

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11 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22	29.9	27	71%	6	6	1	0	3	2	0	6	7-9	78%	10-11	91%	0-4	0%
Grayson Allen #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 26	25.1	8	57%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	23.2	13	65%	3	0	1	0	3	3	1	2	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	22.8	9	64%	1	2	1	1	4	5	1	0	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	19.0	6	60%	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

De'Anthony Melton #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	24.1	3	15%	6	2	1	0	1	3	0	6	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Justise Winslow #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	20.8	6	43%	4	4	0	2	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22	20.7	10	38%	7	1	0	0	2	5	0	7	3-6	50%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	19.2	3	50%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	15.3	2	20%	5	3	2	3	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25	5.3	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	5.3	2	50%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Killian Tillie #35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23	5.3	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jontay Porter #4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21	4.1	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-3	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Xavier Tillman #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tim Frazier #10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 30	INACTIVE
Sean McDermott #30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	50%	45	20	8	6	16	22	6	39	24-31	77%	30-49	61%	4-32	13%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	35.8	31	74%	7	2	1	1	2	0	2	5	4-5	80%	9-13	69%	3-6	50%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	30.3	7	44%	2	7	2	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	29.7	24	71%	15	5	2	0	6	3	1	14	10-10	100%	4-9	44%	2-3	67%
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	26.5	9	38%	3	3	0	1	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	22.1	15	68%	5	2	1	0	0	3	3	2	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%

Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 29	28.9	6	38%	1	3	1	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	19.4	5	50%	5	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	19.1	3	38%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	14.2	12	55%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	4.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	3.3	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	3.3	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.3	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Surgery
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	57%	48	25	8	3	11	20	8	40	19-22	86%	34-61	56%	11-33	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.99 49.5%

DEN

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

64%

DEN

67%

Midrange

MEM

57%

DEN

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

6.0

13%

19%

DEN

16.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

MEM

77%

DEN

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	27	71%	13.5 / 19
J. Valančiūnas	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Jackson	10	38%	5.0 / 13
D. Brooks	9	64%	4.5 / 7
G. Allen	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Anderson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Winslow	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Melton	3	15%	1.5 / 10
D. Bane	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Porter	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Clarke	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Konchar	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Tillie	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	31	74%	15.5 / 21
N. Jokić	24	71%	12.0 / 17
A. Gordon	15	68%	7.5 / 11
P. Millsap	12	55%	6.0 / 11
P. Dozier	9	38%	4.5 / 12
F. Campazzo	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Rivers	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Green	5	50%	2.5 / 5
B. Bol	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Harrison	3	38%	1.5 / 4
V. Cancar	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 112.1 7 116.8	MEM 91.4 DEN 114.3 +22.9
Pace	9 100.3 28 97.4	MEM 111.0 +11.4 DEN 99.6
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 4 15.1	MEM 13.0 −1.5 DEN 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 52.8% 6 55.7%	MEM 44.4% DEN 53.7% +9.3%
TO %	8 12.6% 13 13.0%	MEM 14.5% DEN 9.6% −4.9%
ORB %	6 24.2% 2 24.8%	MEM 13.0% DEN 17.0% +4.0%
FTrt	25 23.3 28 21.9	MEM 38.3 +14.9 DEN 23.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 62.8% 11 62.1%	MEM 58.8% +3.2% DEN 55.6%
STL %	2 9.0% 6 8.2%	MEM 7.6% DEN 7.6%
BLK %	11 9.4% 14 9.0%	MEM 9.8% +3.7% DEN 6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.7% 6 57.5%	MEM 49.5% DEN 57.1% +7.6%
Rim FG%	17 60.7% 6 63.9%	MEM 64.3% DEN 66.7% +2.4%
Mid FG%	8 44.0% 5 44.9%	MEM 57.1% +17.1% DEN 40.0%
3P %	20 35.6% 8 37.7%	MEM 12.5% DEN 33.3% +20.8%
FT %	18 77.1% 7 80.3%	MEM 77.4% DEN 86.4% +9.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 33.5% 18 33.5%	MEM 34.6% DEN 38.3% +3.7%
Mid Att. %	26 32.3% 22 28.2%	MEM 25.9% −0.7% DEN 26.6%
3P Att. %	27 34.2% 18 38.3%	MEM 39.5% +4.4% DEN 35.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	DEN
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	96	120
Rebounds	45	48
Assists	20	25
Steals	8	8
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	22	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (1)	40 (1)
Field Goals	34-81	45-94
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	24-36
Midrange FG	12-21	10-25
2-Point FG	30-49	34-61
3-Point FG	4-32	11-33
Free Throws	24-31	19-22
Fast Break Pts	16	15
2nd Chance Pts	6	13
Points in Paint	58	56
Pts off Turnovers	13	20
Bench Points	33	34
Biggest Lead	2	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg