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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 28, 2021
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Hornets32%105111
12Celtics68%112120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 22.7
39.4
30.9
19
56%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
2-6
33%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.2
38.7
31.3
25
54%
5
7
1
1
2
4
0
5
6-9
67%
2-7
1-4
29%
41%
5-12
42%
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
38.6
35.3
19
59%
4
4
2
1
1
2
1
3
5-5
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
56%
2-4
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
35.8
34.1
15
36%
3
7
1
1
0
0
2
1
6-6
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
1-8
13%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
24.1
26.9
5
50%
9
3
1
1
0
2
5
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.8
21.3
21.2
2
33%
2
3
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.6
17.0
7.6
16
74%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
5-8
1-2
63%
57%
1-1
100%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 23.2
13.4
21.3
7
117%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
6.7
9.0
3
85%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 28.7
5.1
20.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Vernon Carey Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 20.2
4.8
0
1-1
52%
Nate Darling
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
3.2
0
0-0
47%
Grant Riller
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.4
2.1
0
0-0
52%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 31.1
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 19.7
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.2
40.7
33.8
35
66%
8
8
1
1
0
3
1
7
7-8
88%
8-13
6-12
62%
51%
4-10
40%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
36.8
35.3
38
74%
7
4
0
1
1
1
2
5
5-6
83%
6-10
7-12
60%
56%
7-13
54%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.5
31.6
27.1
2
14%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
52%
0-3
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 30.1
28.9
22.8
12
56%
13
3
0
0
2
2
7
6
2-4
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
55%
0-0
-
Tremont Waters
G · 5'11" 172 · 23.3
24.6
3.0
6
43%
1
6
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.5
31.4
10.8
15
58%
9
0
3
0
3
1
3
6
1-2
50%
4-7
0-1
57%
52%
2-5
40%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.2
28.6
24.2
8
45%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
2-6
33%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 23.5
16.8
24.2
4
67%
9
0
2
1
2
2
5
4
0-0
-
2-3
5-7
67%
70%
0-0
-
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
0.6
15.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.1
32.8
2
2-5
49%
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 21.5
17.2
0
1-2
48%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 25.8
11.7
0
1-1
58%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.1
9.7
0
2-3
56%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.4
9.5
0
0-1
48%
Carsen Edwards
G · 6'0" 199 · 23.1
3.7
0
0-1
51%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 31.0
Tacko Fall
C · 7'6" 289 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.