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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 28, 2021
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Spurs36%105111
6Heat64%110116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.6
36.4
32.8
22
57%
10
11
1
2
0
3
3
7
5-5
100%
7-13
6-11
54%
49%
1-4
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
35.5
30.4
20
62%
4
8
1
1
0
2
0
4
6-7
86%
7-12
7-13
58%
52%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.5
28.7
27.1
6
60%
7
2
2
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-6
60%
62%
0-0
-
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.5
27.5
30.4
14
69%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
4-5
80%
5-6
4-8
83%
54%
0-2
0%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.7
25.1
6.9
11
49%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-3
33%
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
29.4
19.1
18
58%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
3-6
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
22.4
19.9
13
57%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.7
15.8
23.3
3
21%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-6
17%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.2
13.1
15.5
2
50%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.3
6.2
5.5
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.3
5.6
0
1-1
54%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.3
4.9
0
1-1
47%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.3
4.2
0
0-1
49%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 31.6
39.2
31.6
29
56%
8
6
1
2
0
1
2
6
7-7
100%
11-22
6-11
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.7
37.6
22.2
18
64%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
54%
2-6
33%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
32.2
29.1
8
50%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
66%
2-4
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 23.8
32.1
32.8
21
72%
11
2
1
1
0
2
4
7
7-8
88%
7-11
7-12
64%
58%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 35.8
25.3
29.8
4
25%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.0
28.4
22.7
18
70%
0
7
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
4-7
57%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 37.2
24.2
13.0
0
0%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
60%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
15.9
11.8
18
88%
9
0
0
0
1
2
2
7
4-5
80%
7-8
1-2
88%
59%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
5.0
17.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-1
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 21.3
11.5
0
1-3
51%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
10.7
0
1-1
65%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.0
6.9
0
0-1
54%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.0
6.0
0
1-1
55%
Precious Achiuwa
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
4.8
0
1-1
55%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 40.9
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.