Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Spurs	36%	105	111	112.1	99	100.1
	6	Heat	64%	110	116	118.4	98	96.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	36.4	22	58%	10	11	1	0	3	3	3	7	5-5	100%	7-13	54%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 32	35.5	20	63%	4	8	1	0	2	3	0	4	6-7	86%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 26	28.7	6	60%	7	2	2	2	1	4	2	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	27.5	14	70%	6	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	4-5	80%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 21	25.1	11	50%	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%

Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	29.4	18	60%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	22.4	13	59%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	15.8	3	21%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	13.1	2	50%	3	0	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	6.2	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	INACTIVE
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	40	26	6	3	9	20	7	33	19-24	79%	31-56	55%	10-32	31%

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19 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	36.4	22	58%	10	11	1	0	3	3	3	7	5-5	100%	7-13	54%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 32	35.5	20	63%	4	8	1	0	2	3	0	4	6-7	86%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 26	28.7	6	60%	7	2	2	2	1	4	2	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	27.5	14	70%	6	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	4-5	80%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 21	25.1	11	50%	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%

Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	29.4	18	60%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	22.4	13	59%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	15.8	3	21%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	13.1	2	50%	3	0	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	6.2	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	INACTIVE
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	40	26	6	3	9	20	7	33	19-24	79%	31-56	55%	10-32	31%

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6 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	39.2	29	58%	8	6	1	0	1	1	2	6	7-7	100%	11-22	50%	0-1	0%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	37.6	18	64%	4	1	0	0	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	32.2	8	50%	5	2	0	0	0	5	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	32.1	21	75%	11	2	1	0	2	4	4	7	7-8	88%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	25.3	4	25%	6	3	1	0	2	2	1	5	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%

Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	28.4	18	69%	0	7	1	0	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	4-7	57%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	24.2	0	0%	4	4	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32	15.9	18	90%	9	0	0	1	2	4	2	7	4-5	80%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	5.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	60%	48	26	4	1	12	23	10	38	21-24	88%	34-60	57%	9-25	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.11 55.5%

MIA

1.21 60.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

17

25

68%

MIA

24

36

67%

Midrange

SAS

14

31

45%

MIA

10

24

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

10

15.0

32

31%

47%

MIA

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

Free Throws

SAS

19

24

79%

MIA

21

24

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Murray	22	58%	11.0 / 19
D. DeRozan	20	63%	10.0 / 16
L. Walker IV	18	60%	9.0 / 15
K. Johnson	14	70%	7.0 / 10
R. Gay	13	59%	6.5 / 11
D. Vassell	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Poeltl	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Mills	3	21%	1.5 / 7
D. Eubanks	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Dieng	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	29	58%	14.5 / 25
B. Adebayo	21	75%	10.5 / 14
K. Nunn	18	64%	9.0 / 14
G. Dragic	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Dedmon	18	90%	9.0 / 10
D. Robinson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Ariza	4	25%	2.0 / 8
A. Iguodala	0	-	0.0 / 1
G. Vincent	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 19 111.1	SAS 112.1 MIA 118.4 +6.2
Pace	16 98.9 29 96.7	SAS 100.1 +3.2 MIA 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 12 14.7	SAS 14.4 −0.5 MIA 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 11 54.6%	SAS 52.3% MIA 55.9% +3.6%
TO %	2 11.0% 21 13.7%	SAS 8.4% −3.6% MIA 12.0%
ORB %	27 20.1% 29 19.4%	SAS 15.6% MIA 23.3% +7.7%
FTrt	14 24.3 11 25.2	SAS 27.3 MIA 28.2 +0.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 2 67.1%	SAS 63.4% +2.9% MIA 60.5%
STL %	22 7.0% 7 8.2%	SAS 6.1% +2.0% MIA 4.1%
BLK %	15 8.9% 22 8.5%	SAS 5.0% +3.2% MIA 1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 13 56.5%	SAS 55.5% MIA 60.4% +4.9%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 2 64.8%	SAS 68.0% +1.3% MIA 66.7%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 16 41.8%	SAS 45.2% +3.5% MIA 41.7%
3P %	24 35.0% 19 35.8%	SAS 31.3% MIA 36.0% +4.7%
FT %	10 79.2% 12 79.0%	SAS 79.2% MIA 87.5% +8.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 20 33.3%	SAS 28.4% MIA 42.4% +13.9%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 11 23.5%	SAS 35.2% MIA 28.2% −7.0%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 7 43.2%	SAS 36.4% +7.0% MIA 29.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIA
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	111	116
Rebounds	40	48
Assists	26	26
Steals	6	4
Blocks	3	1
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	38 (2)
Field Goals	41-88	43-85
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	24-36
Midrange FG	14-31	10-24
2-Point FG	31-56	34-60
3-Point FG	10-32	9-25
Free Throws	19-24	21-24
Fast Break Pts	6	10
2nd Chance Pts	8	12
Points in Paint	44	60
Pts off Turnovers	20	10
Bench Points	38	36
Biggest Lead	7	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg