Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 29, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Raptors	36%	106	111	113.3	98	107.9
	5	Nuggets	64%	111	121	122.2	99	90.7

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+10

-15

DEN

+18

-11

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.19 59.7%

DEN

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khem Birch #24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 29	36.1	20	83%	9	4	2	1	2	3	3	6	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	2-2	100%
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 24	34.1	25	54%	3	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	5-5	100%	4-13	31%	4-8	50%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 35	33.5	20	59%	5	7	1	1	1	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	5-10	50%
Malachi Flynn #8 · SG · 6'2" 175 · 23	32.2	16	80%	6	4	1	0	6	3	0	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 27	31.8	11	50%	5	2	1	0	2	0	1	4	0-0	-	4-10	40%	1-1	100%

Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 27	18.6	5	50%	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
DeAndre' Bembry #95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	13.6	4	50%	1	2	1	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #32 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 29	12.1	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Freddie Gillespie #55 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	12.0	4	100%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Stanley Johnson #5 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 25	10.9	6	75%	0	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Jalen Harris #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	5.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Aron Baynes #46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 34	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Leg; Contusion - lower
Paul Watson #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain - MCL
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Flexor; strain - injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	60%	36	27	10	6	15	19	7	29	15-18	83%	24-51	47%	16-32	50%

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16 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khem Birch #24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 29	36.1	20	83%	9	4	2	1	2	3	3	6	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	2-2	100%
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 24	34.1	25	54%	3	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	5-5	100%	4-13	31%	4-8	50%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 35	33.5	20	59%	5	7	1	1	1	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	5-10	50%
Malachi Flynn #8 · SG · 6'2" 175 · 23	32.2	16	80%	6	4	1	0	6	3	0	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 27	31.8	11	50%	5	2	1	0	2	0	1	4	0-0	-	4-10	40%	1-1	100%

Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 27	18.6	5	50%	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
DeAndre' Bembry #95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	13.6	4	50%	1	2	1	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #32 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 29	12.1	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Freddie Gillespie #55 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	12.0	4	100%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Stanley Johnson #5 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 25	10.9	6	75%	0	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Jalen Harris #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	5.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Aron Baynes #46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 34	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Leg; Contusion - lower
Paul Watson #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain - MCL
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Flexor; strain - injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	60%	36	27	10	6	15	19	7	29	15-18	83%	24-51	47%	16-32	50%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	35.4	23	55%	7	1	0	3	3	2	0	7	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	3-8	38%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	29.4	12	75%	2	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	6-7	86%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	28.4	19	73%	11	2	1	0	1	1	4	7	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	2-3	67%
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	27.7	10	45%	1	3	0	1	0	3	1	0	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	23.9	9	45%	7	4	0	1	2	1	4	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%

Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 29	26.7	11	61%	1	2	2	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	21.1	15	75%	5	2	0	1	2	2	1	4	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	18.1	11	61%	5	1	1	1	0	1	0	5	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	16.5	8	57%	7	3	1	0	0	0	3	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	3.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	3.0	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Surgery
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	57%	47	22	6	7	11	16	14	33	21-26	81%	32-58	55%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.19 59.7%

DEN

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

57%

DEN

79%

Midrange

TOR

35%

DEN

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

24.0

50%

75%

DEN

18.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

TOR

83%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Anunoby	25	54%	12.5 / 23
K. Birch	20	83%	10.0 / 12
K. Lowry	20	59%	10.0 / 17
M. Flynn	16	80%	8.0 / 10
P. Siakam	11	50%	5.5 / 11
S. Johnson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
Y. Watanabe	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Bembry	4	50%	2.0 / 4
F. Gillespie	4	100%	2.0 / 2
R. Hood	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	23	55%	11.5 / 21
N. Jokić	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Green	15	75%	7.5 / 10
F. Campazzo	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Rivers	11	61%	5.5 / 9
S. Harrison	11	61%	5.5 / 9
P. Dozier	10	45%	5.0 / 11
A. Gordon	9	45%	4.5 / 10
P. Millsap	8	57%	4.0 / 7
V. Cancar	3	150%	1.5 / 1
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Howard	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 112.0 7 116.8	TOR 113.3 DEN 122.2 +9.0
Pace	14 99.2 28 97.4	TOR 107.9 +17.2 DEN 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 4 15.1	TOR 13.3 −2.5 DEN 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.0% 6 55.7%	TOR 57.8% +4.0% DEN 53.8%
TO %	6 12.5% 13 13.0%	TOR 15.0% DEN 9.5% −5.5%
ORB %	24 20.8% 2 24.8%	TOR 17.5% DEN 32.6% +15.1%
FTrt	18 24.1 28 21.9	TOR 21.7 DEN 28.0 +6.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.7% 11 62.1%	TOR 67.5% +17.5% DEN 50.0%
STL %	3 8.7% 6 8.2%	TOR 10.2% +4.1% DEN 6.1%
BLK %	2 11.3% 14 9.0%	TOR 10.3% DEN 13.7% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 55.5% 6 57.5%	TOR 59.7% +2.6% DEN 57.1%
Rim FG%	24 59.0% 6 63.9%	TOR 57.1% DEN 78.6% +21.5%
Mid FG%	27 38.2% 5 44.9%	TOR 34.8% +1.5% DEN 33.3%
3P %	15 36.8% 8 37.7%	TOR 50.0% +15.7% DEN 34.3%
FT %	4 81.5% 7 80.3%	TOR 83.3% +2.5% DEN 80.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.8% 18 33.5%	TOR 33.7% +3.6% DEN 30.1%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 22 28.2%	TOR 27.7% −4.5% DEN 32.3%
3P Att. %	4 44.4% 18 38.3%	TOR 38.6% +0.9% DEN 37.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	DEN
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	21.8	26.2
Points	111	121
Rebounds	36	47
Assists	27	22
Steals	10	6
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	19	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (5)	33 (2)
Field Goals	40-83	44-93
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	22-28
Midrange FG	8-23	10-30
2-Point FG	24-51	32-58
3-Point FG	16-32	12-35
Free Throws	15-18	21-26
Fast Break Pts	17	15
2nd Chance Pts	18	21
Points in Paint	38	56
Pts off Turnovers	16	19
Bench Points	19	48
Biggest Lead	5	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg