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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 3, 2021
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Knicks
118
15Grizzlies
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
38
32
28
6
6
1
1
0
1
0
6
5-5
100%
4-15
6-12
27%
51%
5-8
63%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'7" 202 · 20.8
34
38
15
7
3
0
1
0
0
2
5
4-6
67%
4-11
5-10
36%
47%
1-1
100%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 30.1
34
29
13
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
2-6
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.9
33
25
6
12
2
0
1
5
1
5
7
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
59%
0-1
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 27.2
18
16
10
5
2
2
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.6
27
29
25
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
8-10
5-10
80%
49%
3-5
60%
Immanuel Quickley
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
16
21
8
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 29.8
16
22
9
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Norvel Pelle
C · 6'11" 216 · 28.2
15
4
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.2
10
14
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 21.7
4
0
0-1
41%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
4
0
0-0
41%
Jared Harper
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.6
2
0
0-0
45%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 25.5
2
0
0-0
46%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 27.1
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 23.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.7
38
30
8
5
6
0
1
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
52%
0-4
0%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
35
29
25
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
4-6
67%
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
5-9
56%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
35
27
11
16
1
0
0
3
2
7
9
3-3
100%
4-8
6-10
50%
60%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
32
25
13
6
7
1
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
3-9
33%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.6
26
24
2
5
5
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-4
0%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
26
22
22
8
2
3
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
51%
4-7
57%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.6
20
23
15
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
2-4
50%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 25.0
9
12
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
1-1
100%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.3
9
15
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
9
20
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
14
0
2-4
46%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.6
13
0
2-4
60%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
5
0
0-1
53%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.2
3
0
0-0
51%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.5
2
0
0-0
52%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 30.5
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.