Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Nuggets	57%	108	89	93.7	95	92.3
	14	Lakers	43%	105	93	97.9	95	97.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	39.5	19	59%	6	0	1	0	2	2	0	6	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	2-7	29%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	36.7	8	57%	4	8	5	0	2	3	0	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	35.6	32	50%	9	5	2	1	2	4	3	6	7-8	88%	11-24	46%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	24.6	5	31%	6	1	0	4	2	4	2	4	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	21.6	3	25%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%

Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 29	33.1	3	38%	3	6	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	23.4	6	43%	7	0	1	0	1	1	0	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	13.0	3	50%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	12.4	10	71%	3	1	0	1	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	DNP - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Surgery
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	48%	41	22	10	7	12	24	6	35	11-16	69%	30-58	52%	6-24	25%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	39.5	19	59%	6	0	1	0	2	2	0	6	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	2-7	29%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	36.7	8	57%	4	8	5	0	2	3	0	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	35.6	32	50%	9	5	2	1	2	4	3	6	7-8	88%	11-24	46%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	24.6	5	31%	6	1	0	4	2	4	2	4	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	21.6	3	25%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%

Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 29	33.1	3	38%	3	6	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	23.4	6	43%	7	0	1	0	1	1	0	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	13.0	3	50%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	12.4	10	71%	3	1	0	1	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	DNP - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Surgery
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	48%	41	22	10	7	12	24	6	35	11-16	69%	30-58	52%	6-24	25%

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14 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	33.1	25	57%	7	1	0	3	4	1	1	6	6-7	86%	8-17	47%	1-2	50%
Kyle Kuzma #0 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 26	31.0	6	75%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	30.9	10	45%	7	2	1	1	2	3	0	7	4-6	67%	0-2	0%	2-6	33%
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	27.6	11	55%	5	3	1	1	3	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Andre Drummond #2 · C · 6'11" 279 · 28	21.5	4	40%	0	1	2	0	3	5	0	0	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	20.5	10	63%	1	3	0	0	5	3	1	0	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Ben McLemore #7 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	17.0	3	21%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	17.0	10	100%	7	2	0	1	0	4	0	7	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 35	17.0	8	133%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32	14.9	1	13%	6	3	0	0	0	0	1	5	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	9.5	5	63%	5	0	0	2	1	1	2	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 28	INACTIVE
Jared Dudley #10 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; Tear
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	55%	43	18	5	8	20	20	7	36	16-23	70%	19-43	44%	13-30	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.96 47.8%

LAL

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

20

36

56%

LAL

13

25

52%

Midrange

DEN

10

22

45%

LAL

6

18

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

6

9.0

24

25%

38%

LAL

13

19.5

30

43%

65%

Free Throws

DEN

11

16

69%

LAL

16

23

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	50%	16.0 / 32
M. Porter	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. McGee	10	71%	5.0 / 7
F. Campazzo	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Green	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Gordon	5	31%	2.5 / 8
P. Dozier	3	25%	1.5 / 6
A. Rivers	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Harrison	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	25	57%	12.5 / 22
A. Caruso	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Horton-Tucker	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Gasol	10	100%	5.0 / 5
W. Matthews	8	133%	4.0 / 3
K. Kuzma	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Harrell	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Drummond	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. McLemore	3	21%	1.5 / 7
M. Morris	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 24 110.4	DEN 93.7 LAL 97.9 +4.2
Pace	28 97.4 22 98.2	DEN 92.3 LAL 97.8 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 7 14.9	DEN 15.6 LAL 14.7 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 18 53.7%	DEN 47.6% LAL 52.7% +5.1%
TO %	13 13.0% 29 14.9%	DEN 12.7% −6.7% LAL 19.4%
ORB %	2 24.8% 14 22.5%	DEN 14.3% LAL 16.7% +2.4%
FTrt	28 21.9 6 27.1	DEN 19.5 LAL 31.5 +12.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 15 60.7%	DEN 61.1% +4.8% LAL 56.3%
STL %	6 8.2% 12 7.8%	DEN 10.5% +5.2% LAL 5.3%
BLK %	14 9.0% 8 9.9%	DEN 16.3% +2.5% LAL 13.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 18 55.8%	DEN 47.8% LAL 54.7% +6.9%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 8 63.6%	DEN 55.6% +3.6% LAL 52.0%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 23 40.0%	DEN 45.5% +12.2% LAL 33.3%
3P %	8 37.7% 21 35.4%	DEN 25.0% LAL 43.3% +18.3%
FT %	7 80.3% 28 73.9%	DEN 68.8% LAL 69.6% +0.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 8 37.6%	DEN 43.9% +9.7% LAL 34.2%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 16 26.1%	DEN 26.8% LAL 24.7% −2.2%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 22 36.3%	DEN 29.3% LAL 41.1% +11.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	89	93
Rebounds	41	43
Assists	22	18
Steals	10	5
Blocks	7	8
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	20 (0)
Fouls	24	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	36 (2)
Field Goals	36-82	32-73
At-the-Rim FG	20-36	13-25
Midrange FG	10-22	6-18
2-Point FG	30-58	19-43
3-Point FG	6-24	13-30
Free Throws	11-16	16-23
Fast Break Pts	11	7
2nd Chance Pts	6	14
Points in Paint	48	34
Pts off Turnovers	20	14
Bench Points	22	37
Biggest Lead	6	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg