Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	72%	117	125	123.8	101	105.9
	20	Suns	28%	108	112	109.8	102	97.5

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+11

-10

102

PHX

+11

-13

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.23 61.3%

PHX

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	35.8	33	63%	7	5	3	0	2	3	1	6	5-6	83%	11-17	65%	2-6	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	33.0	17	53%	5	3	1	0	3	2	2	3	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Joe #11 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 26	30.0	5	31%	5	3	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	29.9	22	61%	10	4	0	0	0	1	1	9	12-13	92%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SF · 6'5" 186 · 31	26.8	19	86%	5	3	5	0	0	3	0	5	5-6	83%	4-4	100%	2-4	50%

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	30.6	13	72%	4	4	0	1	1	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	24.3	12	86%	4	2	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-5	80%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	19.6	2	50%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	8.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder Strain
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Injury Management
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shin; Contusion
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	44	24	11	2	10	18	8	36	23-27	85%	33-56	59%	12-30	40%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	35.8	33	63%	7	5	3	0	2	3	1	6	5-6	83%	11-17	65%	2-6	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	33.0	17	53%	5	3	1	0	3	2	2	3	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Joe #11 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 26	30.0	5	31%	5	3	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	29.9	22	61%	10	4	0	0	0	1	1	9	12-13	92%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SF · 6'5" 186 · 31	26.8	19	86%	5	3	5	0	0	3	0	5	5-6	83%	4-4	100%	2-4	50%

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	30.6	13	72%	4	4	0	1	1	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	24.3	12	86%	4	2	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-5	80%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	19.6	2	50%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	8.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder Strain
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Injury Management
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shin; Contusion
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	44	24	11	2	10	18	8	36	23-27	85%	33-56	59%	12-30	40%

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20 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 28	39.7	20	48%	6	14	1	0	4	4	2	4	2-4	50%	9-16	56%	0-4	0%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	38.6	25	66%	1	4	1	0	2	2	0	1	5-5	100%	4-9	44%	4-8	50%
Ryan Dunn #0 · PF · 6'7" 216 · 22	27.3	13	59%	7	0	2	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Oso Ighodaro #4 · C · 6'11" 235 · 23	24.4	3	50%	4	2	0	1	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Grayson Allen #8 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 30	23.1	4	33%	4	1	2	0	4	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 35	23.6	5	63%	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	3-6	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	23.5	17	85%	6	4	2	0	0	0	1	5	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 32	18.9	11	61%	1	2	1	2	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-8	38%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 29	15.4	10	63%	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 32	1.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	1.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Bridges #15 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cody Martin #17 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vasilije Micić #18 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	INACTIVE
Nick Richards #2 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Inflammation
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	38	31	10	3	13	17	9	29	13-19	68%	27-45	60%	15-42	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	PHX

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.23 61.3%

PHX

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

65%

PHX

76%

Midrange

OKC

47%

PHX

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

18.0

40%

60%

PHX

22.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

OKC

85%

PHX

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Williams	33	63%	16.5 / 26
C. Holmgren	22	61%	11.0 / 18
A. Caruso	19	86%	9.5 / 11
A. Wiggins	17	53%	8.5 / 16
K. Williams	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Williams	12	86%	6.0 / 7
I. Joe	5	31%	2.5 / 8
D. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Flagler	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	25	66%	12.5 / 19
D. Booker	20	48%	10.0 / 21
C. Gillespie	17	85%	8.5 / 10
R. Dunn	13	59%	6.5 / 11
R. O'Neale	11	61%	5.5 / 9
T. Jones	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Plumlee	5	63%	2.5 / 4
G. Allen	4	33%	2.0 / 6
O. Ighodaro	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Lee	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Washington	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Bridges	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 13 114.8	OKC 123.8 +14.0 PHX 109.8
Pace	5 100.9 21 98.2	OKC 105.9 +8.4 PHX 97.5
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 4 15.1	OKC 13.6 −1.2 PHX 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 6 56.1%	OKC 59.3% +2.4% PHX 56.9%
TO %	1 10.9% 16 13.4%	OKC 10.9% −2.7% PHX 13.6%
ORB %	21 24.2% 26 22.6%	OKC 21.6% +1.6% PHX 20.0%
FTrt	28 22.0 19 24.1	OKC 31.4 +9.6 PHX 21.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 6 67.3%	OKC 53.3% PHX 73.8% +20.5%
STL %	1 10.2% 28 7.3%	OKC 10.9% +1.1% PHX 9.8%
BLK %	2 11.9% 17 9.2%	OKC 4.4% PHX 5.4% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 5 57.8%	OKC 61.3% +5.3% PHX 56.0%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 3 67.3%	OKC 64.9% PHX 76.5% +11.6%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 1 48.2%	OKC 47.4% PHX 50.0% +2.6%
3P %	6 37.4% 3 37.8%	OKC 40.0% +4.3% PHX 35.7%
FT %	1 81.9% 2 81.0%	OKC 85.2% +16.8% PHX 68.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 30 21.8%	OKC 43.0% +23.5% PHX 19.5%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 30 34.2%	OKC 22.1% −10.1% PHX 32.2%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 9 44.0%	OKC 34.9% PHX 48.3% +13.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.02 and 3.02.

Game Totals	OKC	PHX
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	125	112
Rebounds	44	38
Assists	24	31
Steals	11	10
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	13 (2)
Fouls	18	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	29 (4)
Field Goals	45-86	42-87
At-the-Rim FG	24-37	13-17
Midrange FG	9-19	14-28
2-Point FG	33-56	27-45
3-Point FG	12-30	15-42
Free Throws	23-27	13-19
Fast Break Pts	27	10
2nd Chance Pts	16	10
Points in Paint	54	40
Pts off Turnovers	25	10
Bench Points	29	47
Biggest Lead	20	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg