FinalWin Prob.pScore
1228%86
74
272%93
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
83.18996.6
DET logo DET
103.48982.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET74
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETMISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot72
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot72
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETMISS Delk Free Throw 2 of 272
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MILMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09DETEvans 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MILGadzuric Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)72
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44DETDelk 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MILGadzuric 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)70
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MILDelk STEAL (1 STL)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42DETBillups 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00MILMISS Bogut 17' Jump Shot68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MILMISS Ford Layup68
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 3:34DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 3:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 3:58MILMISS Bogut 19' Jump Shot68
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 4:04MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 4:06MILMISS Ford 21' Jump Shot68
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 4:30DETMcDyess Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)68
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 4:57MILMagloire Layup (11 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)68
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 5:18DETHamilton Layup (21 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)66
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 5:24MILWallace STEAL (3 STL)66
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 5:43MILBucks Rebound66
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 5:44DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot66
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 6:01MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 6:01MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 6:07MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 6:10DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot64
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 6:29MILWallace STEAL (2 STL)64
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 6:41DETMcDyess Follow Up Dunk (9 PTS)64
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 6:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)64
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 6:44DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot64
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 7:03DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 7:04MILMISS Bogut Layup64
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 7:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 7:14DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 7:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 7:31MILMISS Redd Layup64
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 7:45DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)64
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 7:47DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 7:50MILMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)64
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 8:04DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)64
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q4 - 8:11DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q4 - 8:13MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot64
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q4 - 8:23DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q4 - 8:23DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q4 - 8:28DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q4 - 8:30MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot64
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q4 - 8:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q4 - 8:39DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot64
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q4 - 8:57DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q4 - 8:58MILMISS Smith Layup64
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q4 - 9:20DETMcDyess Tip Shot (7 PTS)64
10.3%
70
89.7%
Q4 - 9:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q4 - 9:22DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
14.7%
68
85.3%
Q4 - 9:43DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
12.6%
68
87.4%
Q4 - 9:46MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q4 - 9:58MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q4 - 10:00MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q4 - 10:07DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)64
16.2%
68
83.8%
Q4 - 10:24MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)64
13.2%
68
86.8%
Q4 - 10:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
8.9%
68
91.1%
Q4 - 10:38DETMISS Hunter Layup61
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q4 - 11:05MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)61
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q4 - 11:16MILBucks Rebound58
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q4 - 11:18DETMISS Hunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q4 - 11:46MILBogut Layup (10 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)58
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET56
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)56
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot56
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot56
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILFord 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MILMISS Ford 13' Jump Shot54
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 1:02DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)54
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 1:02DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 1:26MILMagloire Layup (9 PTS)54
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 1:27MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 1:28MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot52
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 1:35DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)52
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 1:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)52
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 1:39MILMISS Ford Layup52
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 1:53DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)52
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 1:57DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 1:59MILMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot52
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 2:06MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 2:08DETMISS Hamilton 6' Jump Shot52
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 2:14DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 2:17MILMISS Magloire 8' Hook Shot52
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 2:34MILBucks Rebound52
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 2:35DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot52
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 2:56MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)52
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 3:03MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 3:05DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot50
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 3:18DETPISTONS Rebound50
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 3:19MILMISS Bogut 18' Jump Shot50
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 3:20MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 3:22MILMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)50
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 3:46DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)50
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 4:03MILBell Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)50
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 4:07MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 4:08DETMISS Wallace Layup47
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 4:34MILFord Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q3 - 4:43MILBucks Rebound45
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q3 - 4:45MILMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q3 - 5:03DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)45
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q3 - 5:03DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)45
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q3 - 5:09DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 5:10MILMISS Magloire 15' Jump Shot45
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 5:30DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)45
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 5:38MILWallace STEAL (2 STL)45
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q3 - 5:59DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)45
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q3 - 6:13MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T8)45
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 6:31DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q3 - 6:31DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 6:53MILRedd Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Magloire 2 AST)45
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 7:21DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 7:21DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 243
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 7:21DETBillups Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)43
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q3 - 7:21DETMISS Billups Free Throw Technical43
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q3 - 7:33MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)43
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q3 - 7:33MILBucks Rebound43
5.9%
55
94.1%
Q3 - 7:34MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot43
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q3 - 8:02DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)43
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 8:07DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q3 - 8:09MILMISS Magloire 5' Jump Shot43
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q3 - 8:10MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q3 - 8:13MILMISS Ford 14' Fadeaway Jumper43
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q3 - 8:26DETPrince 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS)43
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q3 - 8:50MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)43
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q3 - 8:58MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q3 - 9:00DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot40
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q3 - 9:11MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)40
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q3 - 9:29DETPrince 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)40
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q3 - 9:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)40
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q3 - 9:35DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q3 - 9:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)40
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q3 - 9:46MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot40
9.7%
48
90.3%
Q3 - 9:59MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q3 - 10:00DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 240
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q3 - 10:00DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q3 - 10:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)40
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q3 - 10:04MILPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)40
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q3 - 10:11MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 10:14DETMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot40
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q3 - 10:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)40
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q3 - 10:20MILMISS Bogut 3' Hook Shot40
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q3 - 10:31MILRedd Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)40
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 10:31MILBucks Rebound39
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q3 - 10:32MILMISS Magloire 8' Hook Shot39
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q3 - 10:53DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q3 - 10:53DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q3 - 11:19MILMagloire Layup (7 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)39
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q3 - 11:39DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)37
10.8%
45
89.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET37
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound37
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.3%
43
86.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)37
12.8%
43
87.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot37
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0MILFord Backcourt Turnover (P2.T5)37
12.8%
43
87.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)37
13.9%
43
86.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)37
16.0%
41
84.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILMISS Simmons 20' Jump Shot37
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 1:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 1:01DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 237
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 1:01DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
15.8%
41
84.2%
Q2 - 1:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 1:05MILPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)37
18.6%
40
81.4%
Q2 - 1:28MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 1:30DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot37
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 1:47DETPISTONS Rebound37
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 1:48MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot37
18.6%
40
81.4%
Q2 - 2:11MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 2:12DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
19.2%
40
80.8%
Q2 - 2:36MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)37
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 2:36MILBucks Rebound37
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 2:37MILWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)37
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 3:04DETHamilton Driving Layup (6 PTS)37
19.9%
40
80.1%
Q2 - 3:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 3:10MILMISS Ford Layup37
22.3%
38
77.7%
Q2 - 3:26DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)37
24.0%
38
76.0%
Q2 - 3:27DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 3:29DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 3:43MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 3:43MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 236
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 4:01DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
21.5%
38
78.5%
Q2 - 4:17MILRedd 5' Running Layup (6 PTS)36
23.5%
36
76.5%
Q2 - 4:40DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)34
21.5%
36
78.5%
Q2 - 4:59MILRedd Driving Dunk (4 PTS)34
25.7%
33
74.3%
Q2 - 5:15DETDelk 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)32
23.4%
33
76.6%
Q2 - 5:37MILBell Layup (4 PTS)32
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q2 - 5:40MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
23.4%
31
76.6%
Q2 - 5:42DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 5:44DETDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 5:47DETMISS Billups Layup30
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 5:51DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 5:54MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot30
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 6:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
23.4%
31
76.6%
Q2 - 6:15MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot30
21.8%
31
78.2%
Q2 - 6:37DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)30
23.4%
31
76.6%
Q2 - 6:53MILBogut Driving Dunk (8 PTS)30
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q2 - 7:07DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
25.2%
28
74.8%
Q2 - 7:07DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q2 - 7:27MILBell Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
27.1%
26
72.9%
Q2 - 7:33MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q2 - 7:35DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot26
24.6%
26
75.4%
Q2 - 7:58MILBogut Finger Roll (6 PTS)26
23.1%
26
76.9%
Q2 - 8:17MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q2 - 8:20DETMISS Prince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot24
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q2 - 8:36MILMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)24
19.5%
26
80.5%
Q2 - 8:51DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)24
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q2 - 8:53DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
24.9%
23
75.1%
Q2 - 8:55MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot24
25.6%
23
74.4%
Q2 - 8:58MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
27.1%
23
72.9%
Q2 - 9:00DETMISS Prince Tip Shot24
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q2 - 9:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q2 - 9:03DETMISS Delk 13' Jump Shot24
26.1%
23
73.9%
Q2 - 9:11MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)24
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q2 - 9:31DETWallace Layup (11 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)24
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q2 - 9:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q2 - 9:49MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 224
28.9%
21
71.1%
Q2 - 9:49MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
30.0%
21
70.0%
Q2 - 10:07MILBucks Rebound23
28.8%
21
71.2%
Q2 - 10:08MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot23
27.2%
21
72.8%
Q2 - 10:27DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
28.8%
21
71.2%
Q2 - 10:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q2 - 10:50MILMISS Smith 10' Hook Shot23
31.3%
19
68.7%
Q2 - 10:55DETHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)23
33.0%
19
67.0%
Q2 - 11:02MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q2 - 11:02MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
29.4%
19
70.6%
Q2 - 11:13MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
28.0%
19
72.0%
Q2 - 11:14DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot21
27.5%
19
72.5%
Q2 - 11:30MILWilliams 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q2 - 11:38MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q2 - 11:39DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot19
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL19
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot19
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot19
23.0%
19
77.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 219
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETPISTONS Rebound19
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot19
25.3%
18
74.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILSmith Layup (4 PTS)19
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 1:02MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 1:04MILWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)17
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 1:27MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 1:28DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot17
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 1:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 1:45MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot17
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 2:00DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 2:00DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 217
22.6%
17
77.4%
Q1 - 2:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 2:19MILMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
23.0%
17
77.0%
Q1 - 2:30DETWallace 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
24.1%
17
75.9%
Q1 - 2:52MILSmith 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)17
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 3:14DETWallace 7' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)15
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 3:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 3:24MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)15
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 3:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 3:45DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 115
27.1%
13
72.9%
Q1 - 4:00DETPISTONS Rebound15
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 4:02DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 4:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 4:20MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot15
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 4:34MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 4:35DETMISS Prince Layup15
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 4:55DETPISTONS Rebound15
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 4:57MILMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 5:05MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 5:08DETMISS Prince 7' Hook Shot15
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 5:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 5:11DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot15
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 5:31MILBogut 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)15
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 5:46DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)13
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 5:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
24.6%
11
75.4%
Q1 - 5:51MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)13
25.1%
11
74.9%
Q1 - 6:03DETPrince Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)13
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 6:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 6:12MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 6:33DETPrince Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)13
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 6:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 6:38MILMISS Simmons 20' Jump Shot13
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 6:56MILBucks Rebound13
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 6:58DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.6%
9
71.4%
Q1 - 7:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
26.6%
9
73.4%
Q1 - 7:03DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot13
27.8%
9
72.2%
Q1 - 7:29MILFord 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
26.7%
9
73.3%
Q1 - 7:32MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 7:34MILMISS Ford 12' Jump Shot11
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 7:43DETWallace 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)11
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 8:08MILFord 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)11
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 8:26DETWallace Layup (2 PTS)9
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 8:30MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)9
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 8:46DETBillups 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)9
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 9:01MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)9
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 9:11DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 9:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 9:19MILMISS Redd Layup7
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 9:24DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 9:42MILRedd 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 9:50MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 9:53DETMISS Hamilton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot5
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 10:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:02MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot5
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:18MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 10:19DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot5
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:34MILMagloire 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:48MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 10:50DETMISS Billups Layup3
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 11:09MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)3
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 11:29DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)0
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 11:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 11:31DETMISS Wallace Layup0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:48DETPISTONS Rebound0
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 11:50MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Magloire: Tip to Bogut0
22.0%
0
78.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.79 39.4%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
17
30
57%
DET
11
18
61%
Midrange
MIL
10
44
23%
DET
14
39
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
DET
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIL
8
10
80%
DET
24
34
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bell1354%6.5 / 12
M. Redd1134%5.5 / 16
J. Magloire1155%5.5 / 10
A. Bogut1038%5.0 / 13
J. Smith938%4.5 / 12
T. Ford829%4.0 / 14
B. Simmons638%3.0 / 8
D. Gadzuric4100%2.0 / 2
M. Williams233%1.0 / 3
J. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace2279%11.0 / 14
R. Hamilton2144%10.5 / 24
T. Prince1554%7.5 / 14
C. Billups1450%7.0 / 14
A. McDyess950%4.5 / 9
T. Delk563%2.5 / 4
B. Wallace440%2.0 / 5
M. Evans2100%1.0 / 1
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
79
+15
-10
94
DET
78
+14
-11
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.79 39.4%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
107.3
MIL 83.1 +20.2
DET 103.4
Pace
89.8
85.6
MIL 96.6 +14.1
DET 82.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
17.3
MIL 14.9 +2.5
DET 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
47.8%
MIL 37.9%
DET 45.3% +7.4%
TO %
13.6%
12.7%
MIL 11.6%
DET 10.9% +0.7%
ORB %
26.6%
27.8%
MIL 20.8%
DET 25.6% +4.8%
FTrt
26.7
38.2
MIL 11.5
DET 45.3 +33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
58.1%
MIL 45.2%
DET 54.8% +9.6%
STL %
6.7%
7.5%
MIL 6.7%
DET 7.9% +1.2%
BLK %
4.4%
6.9%
MIL 1.8%
DET 10.8% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.0%
MIL 39.4%
DET 49.5% +10.1%
Rim FG%
54.7%
58.8%
MIL 56.7%
DET 61.1% +4.4%
Mid FG%
42.9%
37.4%
MIL 22.7%
DET 35.9% +13.2%
3P %
41.9%
37.2%
MIL 30.8%
DET 33.3% +2.5%
FT %
78.5%
72.4%
MIL 80.0% +9.4%
DET 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
27.2%
MIL 34.5% +10.5%
DET 24.0%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
47.9%
MIL 50.6% +1.4%
DET 52.0%
3P Att. %
15.5%
24.9%
MIL 14.9%
DET 24.0% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points7492
Rebounds4249
Assists1417
Steals67
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)38 (5)
Field Goals31-8731-75
At-the-Rim FG17-3011-18
Midrange FG10-4414-39
2-Point FG27-7425-57
3-Point FG4-136-18
Free Throws8-1024-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
39.2
10
38%
7
3
0
0
1
4
0
7
0-0
-
5-13
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
36.3
11
34%
5
1
2
0
2
4
2
3
3-3
100%
4-14
29%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
33.1
6
38%
6
1
1
0
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 165 · 23
32.6
8
29%
2
3
1
0
3
2
2
0
0-0
-
4-13
31%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
28.5
11
55%
9
2
1
0
1
5
4
5
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31
26.0
9
38%
8
0
0
0
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
24.3
13
54%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'1" 198 · 23
13.0
2
33%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
2.4
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 30
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 208 · 26
2.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
#7 · F · 6'11" 235 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
39%
42
14
6
1
10
0
10
32
8-10
80%
27-74
36%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.