FinalWin Prob.pScore
1624%86
98
376%95
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
106.59297.9
DET logo DET
118.59287.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET98
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILMISS Welsch Free Throw 1 of 297
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETMISS Delk 17' Jump Shot97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MILWelsch 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11DETDelk Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MILMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:55DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)93
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 3:06MILFord 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)93
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 3:20DETBillups Layup (20 PTS) (Hamilton 8 AST)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MILHamilton STEAL (1 STL)91
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 3:47DETMcDyess Layup (13 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)91
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:06MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)91
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 4:12DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)88
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 4:30MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)88
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 4:39DETWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T7)88
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 4:45DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 4:46MILMISS Redd Layup88
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 4:54MILBucks Rebound88
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 4:55DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 5:03DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 5:04DETMISS Prince 13' Hook Shot88
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 5:25MILSmith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)88
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 5:31DETDelk Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)86
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 5:41MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)86
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 5:51MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 5:52DETMISS Delk 3PT Jump Shot86
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 6:13MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)86
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:13MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)85
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 6:27DETMcDyess Layup (11 PTS)84
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 6:28DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 6:30DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot84
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 6:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 6:48MILMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 284
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 6:48MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 284
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 7:17DETDelk 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)84
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 7:20DETPISTONS Rebound84
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 7:21DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot84
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 7:41MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)84
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 8:06DETBillups Driving Layup (18 PTS)82
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 8:24MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)82
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 8:40DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)80
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 8:40DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 280
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:01MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 9:01MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 279
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:01MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 9:03MILMISS Ford 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:13MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 9:16MILMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)79
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:24MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 9:26DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot79
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:48MILFord 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 9:54MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 9:55DETMISS Evans 17' Jump Shot77
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 10:15MILMagloire 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 10:19MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 10:20MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 275
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:20MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 275
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 10:31MILBucks Rebound75
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 10:32MILMISS Ford 14' Running Jump Shot75
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 10:57DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)75
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 11:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 11:11MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot75
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 11:18MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 11:21DETMISS Wallace Dunk75
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 11:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 11:37MILMISS Redd Layup75
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 11:41MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 11:43MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot75
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 11:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)75
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 11:49MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot75
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET75
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot75
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETHunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)75
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)75
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)72
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 1:03MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)72
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q3 - 1:19DETHunter 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 1:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)69
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 1:41MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot69
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 1:41MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 1:41MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 1:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 1:43MILMISS Bogut Layup67
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 1:56MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 1:58DETMISS Hunter 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 2:14MILBell Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)67
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 2:29DETPrince Dunk (20 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)67
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 2:33MILHunter STEAL (2 STL)67
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 2:50DETHunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)67
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 2:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 3:01MILMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot67
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q3 - 3:13DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)67
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q3 - 3:13DETPISTONS Rebound67
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q3 - 3:15DETMISS Hunter 18' Jump Shot67
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 3:38DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q3 - 3:40MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot67
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q3 - 3:52DETHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q3 - 3:52DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 3:58MILWilliams 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q3 - 4:03DETHunter Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)65
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 4:25MILSmith 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)65
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 4:42DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)63
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 4:42DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)63
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 4:43DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot63
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 5:08MILSimmons 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 5:29MILBucks Rebound61
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 5:30DETMISS Wallace Dunk61
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 5:46MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 5:46MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 5:52MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 5:54DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 6:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 6:05MILWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)59
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 6:11DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)59
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 6:29MILFord 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 6:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 6:46DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 7:01MILWallace STEAL (2 STL)56
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 7:03MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 7:05DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot56
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 7:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 7:13MILMISS Ford 10' Fadeaway Jumper56
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 7:29DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)56
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 7:49MILSimmons 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 8:07DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)54
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 8:29MILSimmons 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)54
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 8:50MILBucks Rebound52
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 8:51DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 8:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 8:57MILMISS Bogut 10' Hook Shot52
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 9:22DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 9:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 9:28MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot52
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 9:41DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 9:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)52
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 9:47MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)52
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 10:07DETPrince Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)52
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 10:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 10:13MILMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot52
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q3 - 10:27MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 10:29DETMISS Hamilton Layup52
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q3 - 10:57MILRedd 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 11:16DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 11:16DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 11:33MILFord 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)50
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 11:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q3 - 11:43DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot48
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL48
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound48
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot48
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILBucks Rebound48
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot48
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0MILRedd Layup (15 PTS)48
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0MILMISS Simmons 13' Jump Shot46
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)46
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q2 - 1:05MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q2 - 1:05MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q2 - 1:24DETPrince Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q2 - 1:39MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)44
5.5%
56
94.5%
Q2 - 1:57DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)41
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 2:06DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
5.6%
53
94.4%
Q2 - 2:08DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot41
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 2:25MILFord 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
5.6%
53
94.4%
Q2 - 2:46DETMcDyess Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)39
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q2 - 2:52MILMagloire Reverse Dunk (5 PTS)39
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 2:56MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 2:58DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 3:12DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q2 - 3:13MILMISS Bogut 20' Jump Shot37
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 3:33DETEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)37
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 3:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 3:40MILMISS Bogut Layup37
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 3:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 3:45MILMISS Magloire 10' Hook Shot37
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 3:56MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 3:58MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 4:19DETEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
7.4%
48
92.6%
Q2 - 4:19DETEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)37
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 4:23DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
8.3%
46
91.7%
Q2 - 4:25MILWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)37
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q2 - 4:26MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 4:29MILMISS Magloire 9' Hook Shot37
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q2 - 4:52MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 4:54DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 237
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q2 - 4:54DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 4:55DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q2 - 4:57MILMISS Bell Layup37
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 5:15DETEvans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)37
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 5:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 5:32MILMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot37
12.9%
42
87.1%
Q2 - 5:38MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 5:40DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 5:53MILMagloire Foul Turnover (P2.T7)37
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 6:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 6:08DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 237
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 6:08DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
12.9%
42
87.1%
Q2 - 6:18DETEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 6:20MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot37
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 6:39DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 6:39DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)37
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 6:59MILBell Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
16.6%
39
83.4%
Q2 - 7:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 7:06DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q2 - 7:39MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)35
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 7:47MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q2 - 7:49MILHamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)32
10.9%
39
89.1%
Q2 - 8:00MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q2 - 8:00DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 232
11.6%
39
88.4%
Q2 - 8:00DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)32
10.9%
39
89.1%
Q2 - 8:09DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 8:11MILMISS Williams Layup32
12.0%
38
88.0%
Q2 - 8:26DETMcDyess 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)32
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 8:43MILBogut Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)32
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 8:48MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 8:50DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot30
12.5%
36
87.5%
Q2 - 9:15MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)30
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 9:26MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 9:28DETMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
9.6%
36
90.4%
Q2 - 9:48MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)27
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 9:50MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 9:51MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 10:06DETPrince Driving Layup (8 PTS)25
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 10:28MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q2 - 10:33MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q2 - 10:34DETMISS Wallace Layup23
8.1%
34
91.9%
Q2 - 10:52DETDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q2 - 10:55MILMISS Bell 14' Running Jump Shot23
7.8%
34
92.2%
Q2 - 11:17DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)23
8.3%
34
91.7%
Q2 - 11:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)23
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q2 - 11:37MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot23
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 11:52DETHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)23
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL23
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound23
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
9.4%
32
90.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETWallace Dunk (9 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)23
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILPrince STEAL (1 STL)23
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETPrince Tip Shot (6 PTS)23
11.7%
30
88.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETMISS Prince Layup23
13.6%
28
86.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILWilliams 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)21
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q1 - 1:20MILSmith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)21
14.1%
25
85.9%
Q1 - 1:30MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q1 - 1:31DETMISS Hunter Layup19
12.6%
25
87.4%
Q1 - 1:45MILHunter STEAL (1 STL)19
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 1:57DETWallace Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q1 - 2:13MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T4)19
14.1%
23
85.9%
Q1 - 2:18MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15.2%
23
84.8%
Q1 - 2:19DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot19
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 2:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
14.1%
23
85.9%
Q1 - 2:21DETMISS Hamilton 11' Running Jump Shot19
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 2:39MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)19
14.1%
23
85.9%
Q1 - 2:52DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)16
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 3:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 3:08DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
13.8%
21
86.2%
Q1 - 3:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 3:23MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot16
13.3%
21
86.7%
Q1 - 3:41DETHamilton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q1 - 3:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q1 - 3:50MILMISS Magloire 12' Hook Shot16
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 4:06MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 4:07DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot16
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 4:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 4:25MILMISS Smith Layup16
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 4:36DETHamilton Dunk (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)16
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 4:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 4:40DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 5:07MILSimmons Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)16
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 5:17MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 5:20DETMISS Wallace 14' Turnaround Jump Shot14
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 5:47MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)14
14.8%
17
85.2%
Q1 - 5:49MILBucks Rebound11
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 5:50MILMISS Magloire 17' Jump Shot11
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 6:12DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)11
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 6:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 6:17DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot11
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 6:25MILRedd Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 6:38DETPrince Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)9
13.9%
14
86.1%
Q1 - 6:51MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
14.8%
12
85.2%
Q1 - 6:51MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
14.7%
12
85.3%
Q1 - 6:55DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 7:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 7:11MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot7
13.3%
12
86.7%
Q1 - 7:27DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)7
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 7:44MILSimmons 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)7
14.8%
10
85.2%
Q1 - 8:05DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)5
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 8:20MILBogut Foul Turnover (P1.T3)5
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 8:31MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 8:32DETMISS Billups Layup5
15.4%
8
84.6%
Q1 - 8:36DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 8:38MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)5
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 8:57DETBillups Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)5
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 9:01MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)5
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 9:24DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)5
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 9:40MILFord Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 9:45MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 9:47DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot5
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 10:02MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 10:12MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 10:14DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot2
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 10:33DETPISTONS Rebound2
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 10:34MILMISS Ford Layup2
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 10:44DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 11:11MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
17.5%
2
82.5%
Q1 - 11:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 11:16MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 11:36DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 11:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 11:42MILMISS Magloire 8' Hook Shot0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Magloire: Tip to Magloire0
18.5%
0
81.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
DET
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
10
25
40%
DET
18
26
69%
Midrange
MIL
21
48
44%
DET
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
DET
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIL
18
24
75%
DET
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2973%14.5 / 20
T. Ford1765%8.5 / 13
C. Bell1142%5.5 / 13
B. Simmons1045%5.0 / 11
A. Bogut836%4.0 / 11
J. Magloire836%4.0 / 11
J. Smith643%3.0 / 7
M. Williams650%3.0 / 6
J. Welsch375%1.5 / 2
J. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince2273%11.0 / 15
C. Billups2067%10.0 / 15
R. Hamilton1860%9.0 / 15
A. McDyess1372%6.5 / 9
R. Wallace1240%6.0 / 15
L. Hunter1071%5.0 / 7
M. Evans880%4.0 / 5
B. Wallace429%2.0 / 7
T. Delk225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
79
+18
-13
97
DET
83
+12
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
DET
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
107.3
MIL 106.5
DET 118.5 +12.0
Pace
89.8
85.6
MIL 97.9 +10.1
DET 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
17.3
MIL 14.7 +1.7
DET 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
47.8%
MIL 47.1%
DET 56.6% +9.5%
TO %
13.6%
12.7%
MIL 12.0%
DET 9.9% +2.1%
ORB %
26.6%
27.8%
MIL 31.1% +4.8%
DET 26.3%
FTrt
26.7
38.2
MIL 28.2 +5.3
DET 22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
58.1%
MIL 43.2%
DET 71.4% +28.2%
STL %
6.7%
7.5%
MIL 5.4%
DET 6.5% +1.1%
BLK %
4.4%
6.9%
MIL 5.2%
DET 8.2% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.0%
MIL 50.5%
DET 57.4% +6.9%
Rim FG%
54.7%
58.8%
MIL 40.0%
DET 69.2% +29.2%
Mid FG%
42.9%
37.4%
MIL 43.8%
DET 43.8%
3P %
41.9%
37.2%
MIL 50.0% +10.0%
DET 40.0%
FT %
78.5%
72.4%
MIL 75.0%
DET 78.9% +3.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
27.2%
MIL 29.4%
DET 31.3% +1.9%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
47.9%
MIL 56.5%
DET 38.6% +17.9%
3P Att. %
15.5%
24.9%
MIL 14.1%
DET 30.1% +16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.625.1
Points98109
Rebounds4241
Assists1630
Steals56
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)31 (1)
Field Goals37-8542-83
At-the-Rim FG10-2518-26
Midrange FG21-4814-32
2-Point FG31-7332-58
3-Point FG6-1210-25
Free Throws18-2415-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
38.5
8
36%
13
4
2
0
2
3
5
8
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
37.3
29
73%
4
2
0
0
3
1
2
2
7-7
100%
8-15
53%
2-3
67%
G · 6'0" 165 · 23
34.1
17
65%
3
3
0
0
4
5
1
2
6-6
100%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
31.6
10
45%
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
28.1
8
36%
8
0
1
1
2
2
2
6
2-5
40%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
27.1
11
42%
0
2
0
1
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-9
11%
3-4
75%
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31
25.0
6
43%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 23
12.3
6
50%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 30
1.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 208 · 26
1.5
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#7 · F · 6'11" 235 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
42
16
5
3
13
0
14
28
18-24
75%
31-73
42%
6-12
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.