FinalWin Prob.pScore
1436%91
106
1364%95
111
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
106.0100102.9
MIA logo MIA
109.910198.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI106
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHIMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot106
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)106
1.4%
110
98.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 2106
1.7%
109
98.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)106
1.6%
109
98.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)105
1.4%
109
98.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)104
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)104
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
2.3%
107
97.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
3.2%
107
96.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
7.1%
107
92.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot104
5.1%
107
94.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
4.9%
107
95.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot104
8.8%
107
91.2%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
7.1%
107
92.9%
Q4 - 1:00CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Turnaround Jump Shot104
8.8%
107
91.2%
Q4 - 1:19CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)104
15.0%
107
85.0%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot104
12.8%
107
87.2%
Q4 - 1:39CHIWalker STEAL (4 STL)104
10.1%
107
89.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)104
17.0%
107
83.0%
Q4 - 1:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)104
18.4%
106
81.6%
Q4 - 2:02CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)104
23.4%
105
76.6%
Q4 - 2:02CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)103
22.0%
105
78.0%
Q4 - 2:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)102
18.7%
105
81.3%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2102
21.8%
104
78.2%
Q4 - 2:36CHINocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)102
15.6%
104
84.4%
Q4 - 2:46MIAWade 13' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)99
8.5%
104
91.5%
Q4 - 3:08CHINocioni 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)99
11.9%
102
88.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)97
9.4%
102
90.6%
Q4 - 3:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
15.3%
100
84.7%
Q4 - 3:35CHIMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot97
16.8%
100
83.2%
Q4 - 3:43CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)97
20.6%
100
79.4%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 297
19.8%
100
80.2%
Q4 - 3:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)97
17.4%
100
82.6%
Q4 - 3:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)97
20.3%
99
79.7%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Anderson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot97
25.0%
99
75.0%
Q4 - 4:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)97
20.1%
99
79.9%
Q4 - 4:06CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot97
22.1%
99
77.9%
Q4 - 4:21CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
27.1%
99
72.9%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
24.8%
99
75.2%
Q4 - 4:50CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)97
19.8%
99
80.2%
Q4 - 4:58MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)94
10.6%
99
89.4%
Q4 - 4:58MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)94
11.3%
98
88.7%
Q4 - 4:58MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)94
14.5%
97
85.5%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot94
18.3%
97
81.7%
Q4 - 5:15CHIWalker STEAL (3 STL)94
16.2%
97
83.8%
Q4 - 5:41MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)94
21.4%
97
78.6%
Q4 - 6:09CHIDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 8 AST)94
27.3%
95
72.7%
Q4 - 6:30MIAO'Neal Dunk (23 PTS)91
17.6%
95
82.4%
Q4 - 6:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)91
21.7%
93
78.3%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS O'Neal Layup91
26.1%
93
73.9%
Q4 - 6:50CHIO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)91
21.7%
93
78.3%
Q4 - 7:06MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)91
28.8%
93
71.2%
Q4 - 7:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)91
34.0%
91
66.0%
Q4 - 7:24CHIMISS Gordon Driving Layup91
36.1%
91
63.9%
Q4 - 7:37CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
41.3%
91
58.7%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 191
40.3%
91
59.7%
Q4 - 7:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)91
47.3%
89
52.7%
Q4 - 7:51CHIMISS Nocioni 13' Jump Shot91
49.7%
89
50.3%
Q4 - 8:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
53.1%
89
46.9%
Q4 - 8:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
54.4%
88
45.6%
Q4 - 8:22CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)91
59.4%
87
40.6%
Q4 - 8:22CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)90
58.3%
87
41.7%
Q4 - 8:35MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P6.T17)89
53.2%
87
46.8%
Q4 - 9:01CHIChandler Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)89
45.6%
87
54.4%
Q4 - 9:02CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
40.1%
87
59.9%
Q4 - 9:04CHIMISS Gordon Driving Layup87
35.9%
87
64.1%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)87
40.1%
87
59.9%
Q4 - 9:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
34.2%
87
65.8%
Q4 - 9:29CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
36.0%
87
64.0%
Q4 - 9:35CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
40.1%
87
59.9%
Q4 - 9:37MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup87
38.3%
87
61.7%
Q4 - 9:55CHIGordon Driving Layup (31 PTS)87
34.2%
87
65.8%
Q4 - 9:58CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
29.2%
87
70.8%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup85
27.7%
87
72.3%
Q4 - 10:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)85
24.7%
87
75.3%
Q4 - 10:19CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
26.1%
87
73.9%
Q4 - 10:30CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
29.5%
87
70.5%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Walker 7' Hook Shot85
28.0%
87
72.0%
Q4 - 10:54CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)85
24.6%
87
75.4%
Q4 - 11:04CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
18.1%
87
81.9%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
17.1%
87
82.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
15.0%
87
85.0%
Q4 - 11:27CHIMISS Nocioni 18' Jump Shot82
15.9%
87
84.1%
Q4 - 11:44CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)82
18.1%
87
81.9%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS O'Neal Layup82
17.1%
87
82.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
14.9%
87
85.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound82
14.9%
87
85.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot82
17.1%
87
82.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)82
15.8%
87
84.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAPayton Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)79
11.0%
87
89.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0CHIWade STEAL (3 STL)79
13.2%
85
86.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
15.7%
85
84.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
16.2%
84
83.8%
Q3 - 1:02MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
19.1%
83
80.9%
Q3 - 1:04CHIMISS Nocioni 20' Jump Shot79
20.1%
83
79.9%
Q3 - 1:09CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
22.4%
83
77.6%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot79
21.4%
83
78.6%
Q3 - 1:26CHIDuhon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)79
19.1%
83
80.9%
Q3 - 1:35CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
22.4%
83
77.6%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Payton 17' Fadeaway Jumper79
21.4%
83
78.6%
Q3 - 2:05CHINocioni Layup (13 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)79
19.3%
83
80.7%
Q3 - 2:17CHIBulls Rebound77
16.8%
83
83.2%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot77
15.9%
83
84.1%
Q3 - 2:38CHIHinrich 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q3 - 2:54MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)75
12.2%
83
87.8%
Q3 - 2:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
10.1%
83
89.9%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
11.5%
83
88.5%
Q3 - 3:10CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q3 - 3:10CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
9.2%
83
90.8%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q3 - 3:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)73
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q3 - 3:28CHIMISS Chandler 14' Jump Shot73
11.3%
81
88.7%
Q3 - 3:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)73
12.7%
81
87.3%
Q3 - 3:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)73
13.6%
80
86.4%
Q3 - 3:51MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)73
14.7%
79
85.3%
Q3 - 4:07CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 4:25MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)71
15.3%
78
84.7%
Q3 - 4:41MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
19.9%
75
80.1%
Q3 - 4:43CHIBulls Rebound71
23.2%
75
76.8%
Q3 - 4:43CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 271
20.3%
75
79.7%
Q3 - 4:43CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 271
22.1%
75
77.9%
Q3 - 4:43CHIBulls Rebound71
23.2%
75
76.8%
Q3 - 4:46CHIMISS Nocioni 14' Jump Shot71
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q3 - 4:57CHIBulls Rebound71
23.2%
75
76.8%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot71
22.2%
75
77.8%
Q3 - 5:12CHIHinrich Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T11)71
20.4%
75
79.6%
Q3 - 5:14CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
23.5%
75
76.5%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot71
22.5%
75
77.5%
Q3 - 5:36CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
20.4%
75
79.6%
Q3 - 5:47MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q3 - 6:00CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)68
17.8%
73
82.2%
Q3 - 6:18MIAO'Neal Layup (19 PTS)65
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q3 - 6:36CHIGordon 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Nocioni 4 AST)65
15.9%
71
84.1%
Q3 - 6:41CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)62
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 6:57CHIAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)62
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
12.6%
71
87.4%
Q3 - 7:27MIAHEAT Rebound62
14.1%
69
85.9%
Q3 - 7:28CHIMISS Nocioni 16' Jump Shot62
14.7%
69
85.3%
Q3 - 7:29CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)62
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q3 - 7:31CHIMISS Sweetney Layup62
14.7%
69
85.3%
Q3 - 7:33CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)62
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q3 - 7:34CHIMISS Sweetney Layup62
14.7%
69
85.3%
Q3 - 7:50CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)62
16.3%
69
83.7%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
15.6%
69
84.4%
Q3 - 8:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 8:03CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot62
15.1%
69
84.9%
Q3 - 8:17MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)62
16.7%
69
83.3%
Q3 - 8:28CHIWade STEAL (2 STL)62
20.9%
66
79.1%
Q3 - 8:35CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
23.9%
66
76.1%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot62
23.0%
66
77.0%
Q3 - 8:51CHIGordon 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Sweetney 3 AST)62
20.9%
66
79.1%
Q3 - 8:53CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)60
18.8%
66
81.2%
Q3 - 8:55CHIMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot60
17.1%
66
82.9%
Q3 - 9:06CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
18.8%
66
81.2%
Q3 - 9:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 260
18.5%
66
81.5%
Q3 - 9:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
17.6%
66
82.4%
Q3 - 9:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
20.4%
65
79.6%
Q3 - 9:30CHINocioni 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)60
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q3 - 9:34CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
16.7%
65
83.3%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup58
16.0%
65
84.0%
Q3 - 9:54MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
14.6%
65
85.4%
Q3 - 9:55CHIMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 158
14.9%
65
85.1%
Q3 - 10:15MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)56
13.3%
65
86.7%
Q3 - 10:29CHISweetney Layup (4 PTS)56
14.8%
63
85.2%
Q3 - 10:31CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)54
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 10:33CHIWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)54
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 10:45CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 11:07CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nocioni 3 AST)54
11.9%
63
88.1%
Q3 - 11:25MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)51
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 11:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 11:28CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot51
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 11:34CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot51
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 11:48CHIO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)51
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot51
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)51
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHIGordon Driving Layup (15 PTS)51
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T13)49
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWalker Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)47
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q2 - 1:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q2 - 1:04CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q2 - 1:27CHIPiatkowski 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)47
13.2%
56
86.8%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
10.2%
55
89.8%
Q2 - 1:45CHINocioni Tip Shot (9 PTS)44
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q2 - 1:48CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
10.0%
54
90.0%
Q2 - 1:50CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
9.6%
54
90.4%
Q2 - 2:05MIADoleac Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)42
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q2 - 2:09CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)42
12.0%
52
88.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)42
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q2 - 2:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
12.0%
52
88.0%
Q2 - 2:18CHIMISS Gordon Driving Layup42
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 2:39CHIDeng 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)42
14.8%
50
85.2%
Q2 - 2:57MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)40
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 3:06CHIO'Neal BLOCK (5 BLK)40
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 3:22CHIWalker STEAL (2 STL)40
18.5%
46
81.5%
Q2 - 3:31CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q2 - 3:33CHIMISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot40
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
20.5%
46
79.5%
Q2 - 3:53MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
24.5%
43
75.5%
Q2 - 3:55CHIO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)40
25.2%
43
74.8%
Q2 - 4:11CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw Technical40
26.8%
43
73.2%
Q2 - 4:11MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)40
26.8%
43
73.2%
Q2 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
26.2%
43
73.8%
Q2 - 4:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 4:22CHIWade BLOCK (2 BLK)40
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 4:36MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS)40
26.9%
43
73.1%
Q2 - 4:56CHINocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)40
29.2%
41
70.8%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)37
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 5:28CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 5:29CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 5:30CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 5:43MIAO'Neal 11' Hook Shot (10 PTS)34
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 5:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
26.8%
36
73.2%
Q2 - 5:59CHIO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)34
27.5%
36
72.5%
Q2 - 6:09MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T10)34
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 6:29CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T9)34
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 6:57CHINocioni Layup (4 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)34
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 7:03CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
25.2%
36
74.8%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Walker Layup32
24.5%
36
75.5%
Q2 - 7:14MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 7:16CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
23.7%
36
76.3%
Q2 - 7:31CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
25.2%
36
74.8%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
24.5%
36
75.5%
Q2 - 7:54CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)32
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 8:00CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
19.7%
36
80.3%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot29
19.2%
36
80.8%
Q2 - 8:13MIAHEAT Rebound29
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Payton 8' Jump Shot29
19.2%
36
80.8%
Q2 - 8:33CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 8:33CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
17.8%
36
82.2%
Q2 - 8:39CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
16.7%
36
83.3%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot27
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 8:48CHIDoleac STEAL (1 STL)27
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 9:06MIAWalker 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)27
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 9:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q2 - 9:23CHIMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot27
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 9:40MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)27
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 9:45MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 9:47CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)27
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 10:06MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)27
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25.1%
30
74.9%
Q2 - 10:13CHIMISS Harrington 6' Jump Shot27
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q2 - 10:33MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)27
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 11:00CHIDuhon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)27
29.0%
28
71.0%
Q2 - 11:20MIADoleac 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)24
25.0%
28
75.0%
Q2 - 11:32MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Wade Layup24
28.3%
26
71.7%
Q2 - 11:39MIAHEAT Rebound24
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q2 - 11:40CHIMISS Duhon 8' Running Jump Shot24
27.5%
26
72.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Posey 52' 3PT Jump Shot24
28.3%
26
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)22
24.8%
26
75.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0CHIGordon Driving Layup (6 PTS)22
29.0%
23
71.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T8)20
26.6%
23
73.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0CHIDeng Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)20
25.2%
23
74.8%
Q1 - 1:04MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)20
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q1 - 1:10MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 1:12CHIO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)20
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 1:21CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot20
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q1 - 1:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 1:41CHIMISS Nocioni 12' Jump Shot20
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 1:57MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)20
26.7%
23
73.3%
Q1 - 2:16CHIDeng Layup (2 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)20
28.9%
21
71.1%
Q1 - 2:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
26.9%
21
73.1%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 218
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 2:54CHIGordon 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
27.0%
20
73.0%
Q1 - 3:13MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)16
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 3:20CHIPayton STEAL (1 STL)16
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 3:23CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 3:25CHIMISS Nocioni 17' Jump Shot16
24.0%
20
76.0%
Q1 - 3:31MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 3:35CHIWalker STEAL (1 STL)16
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 3:56MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 3:56MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 4:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 4:05CHIO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)16
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 4:20MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)16
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 4:27CHIMISS Sweetney 8' Hook Shot16
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 4:33CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper16
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 4:52CHIAllen 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)16
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 5:05MIAWade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 5:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
26.6%
16
73.4%
Q1 - 5:13CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 5:32MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)14
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 5:52CHIAllen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)14
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 5:59CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup12
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 6:21CHISweetney 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)12
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 6:44MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T3)10
25.2%
14
74.8%
Q1 - 7:04CHIHinrich 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)10
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 7:15MIAHaslem Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 7:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 7:35CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 7:38CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 7:40CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 7:46CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 8:03CHIAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 8:23MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)6
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 8:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 8:28CHIMISS Sweetney 9' Hook Shot6
21.6%
12
78.4%
Q1 - 8:38MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 8:58CHINocioni 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)6
23.8%
10
76.2%
Q1 - 9:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
22.6%
10
77.4%
Q1 - 9:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
24.9%
7
75.1%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 9:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
24.9%
7
75.1%
Q1 - 9:30CHIMISS Nocioni 20' Jump Shot4
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 9:44MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 10:02CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
27.9%
5
72.1%
Q1 - 10:11MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 10:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 10:19CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 10:25CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot2
26.1%
5
73.9%
Q1 - 10:51CHIAllen Dunk (2 PTS) (Sweetney 1 AST)2
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 11:10MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 11:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.2%
3
74.8%
Q1 - 11:26CHIMISS Sweetney 15' Jump Bank Shot0
25.6%
3
74.4%
Q1 - 11:42MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
26.5%
3
73.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Sweetney: Tip to Williams0
29.5%
0
70.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
12
20
60%
MIA
17
25
68%
Midrange
CHI
15
42
36%
MIA
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
MIA
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
CHI
13
17
76%
MIA
32
39
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon3567%17.5 / 26
K. Hinrich1959%9.5 / 16
A. Nocioni1845%9.0 / 20
M. Allen1063%5.0 / 8
C. Duhon660%3.0 / 5
L. Deng650%3.0 / 6
T. Chandler583%2.5 / 3
M. Sweetney422%2.0 / 9
E. Piatkowski3150%1.5 / 1
O. Harrington0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3054%15.0 / 28
S. O'Neal2768%13.5 / 20
J. Williams1771%8.5 / 12
A. Walker1036%5.0 / 14
J. Posey1071%5.0 / 7
G. Payton650%3.0 / 6
U. Haslem583%2.5 / 3
M. Doleac4100%2.0 / 2
S. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
84
+12
-16
96
MIA
84
+12
-17
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
105.5
CHI 106.0
MIA 109.9 +3.9
Pace
94.7
90.9
CHI 102.9 +4.7
MIA 98.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
16.3
CHI 14.0 +0.7
MIA 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
52.5%
CHI 52.8% +1.5%
MIA 51.3%
TO %
16.2%
16.6%
CHI 14.4% +0.9%
MIA 15.3%
ORB %
21.6%
24.8%
CHI 21.3%
MIA 23.1% +1.8%
FTrt
39.7
42.7
CHI 19.3
MIA 50.6 +31.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.9%
50.2%
CHI 50.0% +1.4%
MIA 48.6%
STL %
6.0%
7.7%
CHI 5.0%
MIA 10.9% +5.9%
BLK %
6.9%
7.9%
CHI 6.9%
MIA 12.9% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
53.9%
CHI 55.2%
MIA 57.2% +2.0%
Rim FG%
55.3%
62.8%
CHI 60.0%
MIA 68.0% +8.0%
Mid FG%
41.2%
44.0%
CHI 35.7%
MIA 45.5% +9.8%
3P %
39.5%
33.3%
CHI 50.0% +23.7%
MIA 26.3%
FT %
74.2%
65.5%
CHI 76.5%
MIA 82.1% +5.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.9%
36.9%
CHI 22.7%
MIA 32.5% +9.7%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
36.7%
CHI 47.7%
MIA 42.9% +4.9%
3P Att. %
26.0%
26.4%
CHI 29.5% +4.9%
MIA 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points106111
Rebounds4046
Assists2018
Steals511
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)37 (2)
Field Goals40-8837-77
At-the-Rim FG12-2017-25
Midrange FG15-4215-33
2-Point FG27-6232-58
3-Point FG13-265-19
Free Throws13-1732-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
44.5
35
67%
2
3
1
0
2
2
0
2
6-7
86%
7-13
54%
5-10
50%
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
41.9
18
45%
16
4
1
1
2
3
2
14
0-0
-
6-15
40%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
38.8
19
59%
1
8
0
0
4
6
0
1
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
3-5
60%
F · 6'10" 255 · 28
20.8
10
63%
4
0
1
1
4
4
1
3
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
C · 6'8" 270 · 23
13.8
4
22%
5
3
0
1
0
2
5
0
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 24
27.4
5
83%
7
0
2
1
1
6
2
5
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
25.9
6
60%
2
2
0
0
2
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
21.7
6
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36
1.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 185 · 26
C · 7'1" 265 · 24
#1 · G · 6'4" 209 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
55%
40
20
5
4
16
0
10
30
13-17
76%
27-62
44%
13-26
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.