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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 25, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Wizards38%9389
11Cavaliers62%9784
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
46.9
40.5
30
52%
6
6
4
2
1
2
1
5
7-11
64%
7-16
6-13
44%
46%
3-8
38%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
37.1
33.3
4
18%
6
2
0
1
3
3
3
3
0-0
-
2-10
2-5
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
37.0
41.7
21
65%
7
1
2
1
0
3
0
7
4-5
80%
4-10
6-13
40%
45%
3-4
75%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.1
35.3
39.2
21
53%
9
1
2
2
1
1
3
6
1-2
50%
7-14
6-13
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.4
29.4
24.7
5
91%
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
1-1
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.1
36.7
33.8
6
36%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.3
14.7
10.6
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
2.9
6.8
2
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.1
13.2
0
1-3
50%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.7
2.3
0
0-1
43%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.7
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.0
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.3
43.6
30.3
16
41%
4
2
4
1
0
0
1
3
5-8
63%
4-13
4-9
31%
44%
1-3
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.3
43.5
39.2
26
41%
9
2
2
1
3
10
2
7
11-15
73%
6-19
9-18
32%
50%
1-6
17%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
39.0
17.5
24
93%
16
2
1
0
2
3
5
11
2-2
100%
11-12
3-5
92%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.0
33.1
26.9
4
33%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.9
29.7
25.4
9
30%
7
2
0
0
4
1
5
2
3-4
75%
3-13
5-9
23%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
17.0
34.6
2
13%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
45%
0-1
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
16.0
23.3
3
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
11.3
25.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.7
6.8
13.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
7.6
0
0-1
43%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.4
2.7
0
0-0
46%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.