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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 26, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
101
18Celtics
93
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.3
46
39
27
10
8
3
2
1
6
0
10
6-10
60%
9-17
8-14
53%
54%
1-7
14%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.1
43
37
24
11
3
1
2
1
0
3
8
6-8
75%
6-14
5-11
43%
47%
2-5
40%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.8
27
21
12
11
0
1
0
3
0
4
7
4-5
80%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.6
16
31
8
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
2-7
29%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.6
7
33
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.8
38
24
15
10
0
2
1
3
0
1
9
8-8
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
44%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.6
23
6
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
37%
0-6
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.1
22
26
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-1
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.6
15
12
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-1
0%
37%
1-4
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.5
4
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37.0
3
0
0-1
48%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.2
3
0
0-0
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.4
0
0
0-0
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.4
40
30
16
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
1-5
20%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
22
21
4
3
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-4
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
17
32
2
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
4-9
17%
44%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.8
17
27
7
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-5
60%
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
15
25
8
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
52%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.2
37
25
21
5
9
1
1
0
4
0
5
12-12
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
47%
1-7
14%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.1
28
18
21
11
0
0
0
1
2
4
7
2-5
40%
8-13
3-6
62%
48%
1-4
25%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.1
21
22
11
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
3-5
60%
4-6
1-3
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.2
20
17
0
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.0
11
11
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.2
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.8
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Babb
G · 6'5" 225 · 25.2
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.