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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 17, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bucks40%100106
17Celtics60%103120
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 23.4
43.0
36.4
30
72%
9
8
1
1
1
3
1
8
4-9
44%
13-16
8-16
81%
52%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.7
37.1
36.9
25
79%
4
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
1-4
25%
6-8
5-11
75%
47%
4-6
67%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 27.3
37.0
29.5
12
86%
6
4
0
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-7
4-7
86%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.4
34.0
27.1
12
46%
7
4
1
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 26.4
22.5
27.6
2
33%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
18.6
24.1
10
71%
3
0
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
49%
0-1
0%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 25.4
12.3
6.7
11
56%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
1-1
100%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.1
10.1
19.6
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
8.8
6.5
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.2
5.9
10.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 40.6
5.1
13.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 27.6
4.6
7.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 21.1
1.0
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.2
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.1
37.8
32.8
23
73%
3
8
1
1
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
43%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
35.5
33.7
16
67%
5
4
2
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
53%
1-1
100%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.5
33.2
32.1
30
66%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
7-10
4-8
70%
52%
5-12
42%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 20.1
29.8
30.4
4
22%
7
3
4
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-7
5-9
29%
50%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.4
23.8
15.7
6
50%
6
1
0
0
2
0
4
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
30.3
25.9
18
64%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-7
43%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
3-6
50%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.5
20.5
18.2
11
69%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 27.9
16.5
14.3
12
72%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-3
67%
5-7
3-5
71%
53%
0-0
-
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.3
10.6
8.0
0
0%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-2
0%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.4
1.0
17.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.6
1.0
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 26.0
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.1
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.