Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, April 17, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Raptors | 68% | 111 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Bucks | 42% | 100 | 106 |
 | 17 | Celtics | 58% | 103 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Pelicans | 41% | 104 | 111 |
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Monday, April 16, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Heat | 32% | 101 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, April 15, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 39% | 98 | 107 |
| 17 | Celtics | 61% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Thunder | 57% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Timberwolves | 43% | 108 | 101 |
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Saturday, April 14, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 36% | 102 | 92 |
| 5 | Warriors | 64% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wizards | 30% | 103 | 106 |
| 2 | Raptors | 70% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 33% | 100 | 103 |
| 6 | 76ers | 67% | 106 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelicans | 37% | 104 | 97 |
| 8 | Blazers | 63% | 108 | 95 |
Wednesday, April 11, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Timberwolves | 53% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Nets | 43% | 104 | 97 |
| 19 | Celtics | 57% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Knicks | 28% | 109 | 110 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 72% | 118 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 60% | 107 | 109 |
| 14 | Heat | 40% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 55% | 108 | 92 |
 | 24 | Magic | 45% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 39% | 108 | 95 |
| 7 | 76ers | 61% | 112 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pistons | 56% | 109 | 119 |
 | 27 | Bulls | 44% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 49% | 107 | 98 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 51% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Thunder | 86% | 113 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Lakers | 29% | 108 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 44% | 102 | 93 |
| 9 | Blazers | 56% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 83% | 115 | 83 |
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Tuesday, April 10, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Hornets | 52% | 110 | 119 |
| 19 | Pacers | 48% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 75% | 113 | 121 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 38% | 102 | 101 |
| 11 | Wizards | 62% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Mavericks | 71% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 43% | 107 | 79 |
| 3 | Jazz | 57% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 78% | 117 | 105 |
| 22 | Lakers | 22% | 107 | 99 |
Monday, April 9, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 68% | 111 | 108 |
| 22 | Pistons | 32% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 51% | 106 | 115 |
| 14 | Heat | 49% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 67% | 116 | 123 |
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 38% | 109 | 105 |
| 20 | Nets | 62% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 14% | 101 | 94 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 86% | 116 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 26% | 104 | 86 |
| 17 | Bucks | 74% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 16% | 95 | 85 |
| 5 | Spurs | 84% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Blazers | 37% | 109 | 82 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 63% | 113 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 46% | 113 | 113 |
| 15 | Clippers | 54% | 115 | 100 |
Sunday, April 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 26% | 96 | 112 |
| 17 | Celtics | 74% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 22% | 101 | 97 |
| 7 | 76ers | 78% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 49% | 108 | 123 |
| 18 | Hornets | 51% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 67% | 105 | 117 |
| 30 | Grizzlies | 33% | 99 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 65% | 108 | 112 |
| 21 | Lakers | 35% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 13% | 101 | 101 |
| 2 | Raptors | 87% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 79% | 118 | 117 |
| 29 | Suns | 21% | 107 | 100 |
Saturday, April 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 114 | 134 |
| 15 | Clippers | 51% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 61% | 111 | 115 |
| 24 | Knicks | 39% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 56% | 111 | 124 |
| 25 | Bulls | 44% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Thunder | 32% | 106 | 108 |
| 1 | Rockets | 68% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 25% | 108 | 126 |
| 3 | Warriors | 75% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Blazers | 37% | 100 | 105 |
| 5 | Spurs | 63% | 105 | 116 |
Friday, April 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 38% | 99 | 106 |
| 19 | Pistons | 62% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 60% | 111 | 137 |
| 26 | Magic | 40% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 33% | 109 | 130 |
| 7 | 76ers | 67% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 26% | 102 | 103 |
| 14 | Wizards | 74% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 36% | 101 | 104 |
| 21 | Celtics | 64% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 66% | 109 | 98 |
| 25 | Knicks | 34% | 103 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 25% | 104 | 73 |
| 2 | Raptors | 75% | 113 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 51% | 104 | 94 |
| 30 | Grizzlies | 49% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 72% | 115 | 122 |
| 29 | Suns | 28% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 49% | 112 | 113 |
| 20 | Lakers | 51% | 113 | 96 |
Thursday, April 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 52% | 110 | 106 |
| 9 | Pacers | 48% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 29% | 107 | 119 |
| 12 | Bucks | 71% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Blazers | 22% | 101 | 94 |
| 1 | Rockets | 78% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 42% | 111 | 115 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 58% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 32% | 104 | 95 |
| 3 | Jazz | 68% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 39% | 112 | 96 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 61% | 116 | 100 |
Wednesday, April 4, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 47% | 105 | 115 |
| 19 | Pistons | 53% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 48% | 102 | 100 |
| 24 | Magic | 52% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 63% | 105 | 115 |
| 25 | Hawks | 37% | 101 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 21% | 99 | 95 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 79% | 110 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 26% | 101 | 78 |
| 2 | Raptors | 74% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 59% | 107 | 112 |
| 21 | Lakers | 41% | 104 | 122 |