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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 18, 2018
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Timberwolves31%10782
1Rockets69%114102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 23.1
30.6
34.2
13
44%
8
3
1
1
1
3
1
7
1-2
50%
6-11
5-11
55%
45%
0-3
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 28.6
25.0
32.7
11
71%
4
2
0
2
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 22.4
23.8
38.9
5
25%
10
0
1
1
1
0
2
8
0-2
0%
1-6
7-12
17%
55%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
22.9
29.3
8
82%
5
0
1
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.9
19.4
31.0
8
48%
1
1
1
1
1
4
0
1
2-3
67%
3-6
3-8
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 38.1
29.1
23.1
8
39%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 21.9
28.6
10.3
2
20%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 28.2
24.2
8.7
2
13%
6
1
0
0
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
49%
0-2
0%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.9
19.0
10.3
16
71%
8
2
2
0
0
1
2
6
4-5
80%
3-5
1-1
60%
49%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.5
17.4
18.4
9
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
1-1
100%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 33.3
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 29.5
Marcus Georges-Hunt
G · 6'5" 226 · 24.1
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 20.8
Amile Jefferson
F · 6'9" 224 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 32.8
34.9
30.6
15
48%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-4
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
3-10
30%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 28.6
30.8
33.2
12
28%
4
7
3
1
3
3
0
4
7-8
88%
1-8
5-9
13%
53%
1-10
10%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 33.0
29.8
27.5
27
68%
3
8
3
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
7-13
3-6
54%
52%
3-5
60%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
28.7
27.0
8
67%
16
1
0
1
1
1
4
12
0-0
-
4-6
5-8
67%
63%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 33.0
22.9
28.8
6
47%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.3
28.9
24.6
9
32%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
2-10
20%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 32.2
26.3
21.7
21
59%
12
1
0
0
1
0
3
9
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
5-12
42%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 36.8
16.2
11.8
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.6
12.0
8.9
0
0%
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Aaron Jackson
G · 6'3" 183 · 32.0
3.2
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Zhou Qi
F-C · 7'1" 210 · 22.3
3.2
6.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
3.2
5.5
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
8.8
0
1-2
56%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.6
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.