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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
May 21, 2022
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Heat30%98103
1Celtics70%106109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 24.8
41.5
31.8
31
69%
10
6
4
1
1
1
2
8
1-1
100%
15-21
5-9
71%
54%
0-1
0%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 37.0
37.8
25.7
17
72%
7
1
3
1
1
1
2
5
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
34.1
28.0
16
67%
4
2
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
58%
4-7
57%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.2
29.0
27.6
11
48%
1
6
4
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
2-7
29%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 32.7
19.5
35.6
8
45%
3
2
2
2
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
7-13
38%
50%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.0
20.4
22.1
5
40%
0
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
3-5
60%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.3
20.2
24.6
8
27%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-6
0%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.9
19.4
26.7
3
38%
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
10.3
14.0
8
90%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
4.3
9.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
59%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 32.8
3.5
11.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
3.9
0
1-1
52%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
3.3
0
0-0
44%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 41.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 25.6
41.7
36.5
40
79%
9
1
1
1
1
7
2
7
9-12
75%
11-11
5-10
100%
54%
3-9
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.0
41.7
35.5
20
65%
14
3
0
1
3
3
2
12
3-3
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
55%
3-5
60%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.2
40.7
36.7
10
32%
6
4
0
1
0
6
1
5
3-4
75%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
1-7
14%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.2
36.6
38.5
16
61%
4
7
0
2
0
4
1
3
3-5
60%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
1-4
25%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 30.1
10.8
10.0
1
57%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
62%
0-0
-
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
39.0
32.8
10
64%
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
2-4
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
14.0
15.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.3
13.3
21.4
3
150%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-1
100%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.6
0.4
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-1
0%
Juwan Morgan
F · 6'8" 232 · 25.1
0.4
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 26.9
0.4
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
0.4
1.7
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
1-1
100%
Malik Fitts
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 24.4
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.