Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, May 21, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Heat | 30% | 98 | 103 | |
1 | Celtics | 70% | 106 | 109 |
Friday, May 20, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | 33% | 101 | 126 | |
5 | Warriors | 67% | 108 | 87 |
Thursday, May 19, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 48% | 101 | 127 | |
6 | Heat | 52% | 102 | 102 |
Wednesday, May 18, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 34% | 102 | 87 | |
5 | Warriors | 66% | 108 | 112 |
Tuesday, May 17, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 48% | 102 | 107 | |
6 | Heat | 52% | 103 | 118 |
Sunday, May 15, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Bucks | 32% | 102 | 81 | |
1 | Celtics | 68% | 108 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 32% | 104 | 123 | |
4 | Suns | 68% | 110 | 90 |
Friday, May 13, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 46% | 105 | 108 | |
3 | Bucks | 54% | 106 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | 40% | 104 | 96 | |
8 | Warriors | 60% | 108 | 110 |
Thursday, May 12, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Heat | 40% | 102 | 99 | |
6 | 76ers | 60% | 106 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Suns | 51% | 108 | 86 | |
11 | Mavericks | 49% | 107 | 113 |
Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 32% | 102 | 110 | |
1 | Celtics | 68% | 109 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Warriors | 49% | 106 | 95 | |
9 | Grizzlies | 51% | 107 | 134 |
Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 44% | 103 | 85 | |
8 | Heat | 56% | 105 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 30% | 104 | 80 | |
2 | Suns | 70% | 112 | 110 |
Monday, May 9, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 48% | 105 | 116 | |
5 | Bucks | 52% | 106 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 31% | 103 | 98 | |
3 | Warriors | 69% | 110 | 101 |
Sunday, May 8, 2022
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Heat | 38% | 102 | 108 | |
6 | 76ers | 62% | 106 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Suns | 52% | 109 | 101 | |
9 | Mavericks | 48% | 108 | 111 |