Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	27%	111	105	108.2	97	89.0
	1	Thunder	73%	119	112	114.3	98	107.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	44.1	44	81%	15	5	2	0	2	4	6	9	5-5	100%	12-18	67%	5-7	71%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	43.0	8	33%	7	3	1	2	1	1	1	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-8	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	42.0	28	48%	4	3	0	1	4	4	2	2	5-5	100%	7-14	50%	3-13	23%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	36.9	13	50%	5	3	1	0	3	1	2	3	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	29.1	2	14%	4	2	2	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-5	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	19.7	4	25%	4	3	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	15.3	3	38%	8	0	2	0	2	4	3	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	9.9	3	75%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	51%	49	20	10	3	15	22	16	33	12-13	92%	27-51	53%	13-46	28%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	44.1	44	81%	15	5	2	0	2	4	6	9	5-5	100%	12-18	67%	5-7	71%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	43.0	8	33%	7	3	1	2	1	1	1	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-8	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	42.0	28	48%	4	3	0	1	4	4	2	2	5-5	100%	7-14	50%	3-13	23%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	36.9	13	50%	5	3	1	0	3	1	2	3	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	29.1	2	14%	4	2	2	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-5	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	19.7	4	25%	4	3	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	15.3	3	38%	8	0	2	0	2	4	3	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	9.9	3	75%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	51%	49	20	10	3	15	22	16	33	12-13	92%	27-51	53%	13-46	28%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	38.9	31	62%	6	7	2	2	5	1	1	5	6-6	100%	11-20	55%	1-3	33%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	37.5	18	50%	9	4	1	0	0	1	2	7	6-8	75%	3-9	33%	2-5	40%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	33.7	14	78%	8	1	1	2	1	3	1	7	1-3	33%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	33.1	15	75%	7	2	1	1	1	4	2	5	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	28.2	12	75%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-8	50%

Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	23.9	13	59%	4	2	0	0	2	0	1	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-6	50%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	17.7	4	67%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	11.3	3	38%	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	10.4	2	50%	2	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	60%	43	23	7	6	14	16	8	35	18-23	78%	29-53	55%	12-29	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.01 50.5%

OKC

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

20

30

67%

OKC

20

34

59%

Midrange

DEN

7

21

33%

OKC

9

19

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13

19.5

46

28%

42%

OKC

12

18.0

29

41%

62%

Free Throws

DEN

12

13

92%

OKC

18

23

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	44	81%	22.0 / 27
J. Murray	28	48%	14.0 / 29
A. Gordon	13	50%	6.5 / 13
C. Braun	8	33%	4.0 / 12
R. Westbrook	4	25%	2.0 / 8
P. Watson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Strawther	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Porter	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	62%	15.5 / 25
J. Williams	18	50%	9.0 / 18
I. Hartenstein	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Holmgren	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Caruso	13	59%	6.5 / 11
L. Dort	12	75%	6.0 / 8
C. Wallace	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Wiggins	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Williams	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 109.3 4 114.2	DEN 108.2 OKC 114.3 +6.0
Pace	7 96.5 2 99.9	DEN 89.0 OKC 107.6 +18.6
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.4 30 14.0	DEN 16.2 OKC 13.4 −2.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 51.4% 9 52.2%	DEN 47.9% OKC 57.3% +9.4%
TO %	13 15.2% 1 11.5%	DEN 13.5% OKC 13.2% −0.3%
ORB %	4 27.9% 9 25.6%	DEN 31.4% +11.9% OKC 19.5%
FTrt	8 27.3 6 29.0	DEN 13.4 OKC 28.0 +14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 58.7% 10 56.0%	DEN 50.0% OKC 56.1% +6.1%
STL %	8 7.8% 1 10.7%	DEN 10.3% +3.2% OKC 7.1%
BLK %	12 7.9% 4 11.7%	DEN 5.7% OKC 11.8% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 53.2% 7 55.2%	DEN 50.5% OKC 59.6% +9.1%
Rim FG%	15 59.7% 9 62.4%	DEN 66.7% +7.9% OKC 58.8%
Mid FG%	9 42.0% 6 43.9%	DEN 33.3% OKC 47.4% +14.1%
3P %	12 34.5% 13 33.7%	DEN 28.3% OKC 41.4% +13.1%
FT %	10 76.4% 4 80.1%	DEN 92.3% +14.0% OKC 78.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 31.4% 5 30.8%	DEN 30.9% OKC 41.5% +10.5%
Mid Att. %	8 28.9% 10 30.2%	DEN 21.6% −1.5% OKC 23.2%
3P Att. %	10 39.7% 12 39.0%	DEN 47.4% +12.1% OKC 35.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	OKC
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.9
Points	105	112
Rebounds	49	43
Assists	20	23
Steals	10	7
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	22	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (6)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	35 (1)
Field Goals	40-97	41-82
At-the-Rim FG	20-30	20-34
Midrange FG	7-21	9-19
2-Point FG	27-51	29-53
3-Point FG	13-46	12-29
Free Throws	12-13	18-23
Fast Break Pts	9	18
2nd Chance Pts	15	10
Points in Paint	50	50
Pts off Turnovers	14	14
Bench Points	10	22
Biggest Lead	12	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg