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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
May 19, 2021
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Spurs
96
16Grizzlies
100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.7
39
25
10
13
11
2
1
1
3
3
10
2-2
100%
4-14
5-10
29%
49%
0-3
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.8
38
23
20
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
10-11
91%
5-21
6-11
24%
51%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.6
32
23
10
10
2
0
1
5
2
4
6
2-4
50%
4-6
4-6
67%
61%
0-0
-
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.6
31
24
11
11
1
0
1
0
0
2
9
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
53%
1-2
50%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
17
25
8
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.8
30
17
9
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
3-6
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.8
27
16
20
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
5-14
2-4
36%
48%
3-7
43%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.3
13
12
6
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.7
10
24
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.3
3
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.4
15
1
2-4
47%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.3
14
0
1-3
50%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
12
1
1-3
48%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.5
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 23.7
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.8
41
34
20
6
6
1
1
0
4
1
5
2-6
33%
6-15
5-10
40%
53%
2-5
40%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
40
26
24
7
3
2
1
1
0
1
6
4-4
100%
10-18
4-9
56%
49%
0-3
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
38
26
23
23
1
0
1
3
0
5
18
3-6
50%
10-15
6-10
67%
62%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.7
32
23
9
6
2
0
1
4
3
1
5
1-1
100%
1-8
3-5
13%
56%
2-2
100%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.7
31
25
10
4
4
1
1
1
0
1
3
2-3
67%
1-2
3-6
50%
56%
2-4
50%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
25
23
7
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
54%
0-2
0%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.0
12
19
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.3
10
13
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
61%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 25.0
7
14
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.6
5
18
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.7
14
1
2-4
61%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
12
0
2-3
47%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.2
11
0
1-1
53%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
11
0
1-2
58%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 30.5
8
0
1-1
46%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.5
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.