Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, June 12, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 2 | Cavaliers | 20% | 107 | 120 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%231D428A;}%20.st1{fill:%23FDB927;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M350,199.9c0,82.8-67.1,149.9-149.9,149.9s-150-67.1-150-149.9S117.2,50,200.1,50S350,117.1,350,199.9'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M298.2,101.8c-26.2-26.2-61.1-40.6-98.1-40.6s-71.8,14.4-98.1,40.6c-26.2,26.2-40.6,61.1-40.6,98.1%20s14.4,71.8,40.6,98.1c26.2,26.2,61.1,40.6,98.1,40.6s71.8-14.4,98.1-40.6c26.2-26.2,40.6-61.1,40.6-98.1S324.3,128.1,298.2,101.8%20M107.2,107.1c24.8-24.8,57.7-38.5,92.8-38.5c35,0,68,13.7,92.8,38.5s38.5,57.7,38.5,92.8c0,18.9-3.9,37.1-11.4,53.8%20c-15.9-5.4-31.5-11.4-46.9-18.3c-2-0.9-4-1.8-6.1-2.7l-6-2.8l-3-1.4l-3-1.4l-6-3c-1.9-1-3.9-2-5.9-3.1l-2.9-1.5%20c-1-0.5-1.9-1.1-2.9-1.6l-5.8-3.2l-5.7-3.4c-15.2-8.9-29.9-18.9-43.7-29.8c-6.9-5.5-13.6-11.3-20-17.3c-3.2-3.1-6.3-6.2-9.3-9.3%20c-0.8-0.8-1.5-1.6-2.2-2.4c-0.8-0.8-1.4-1.6-2.2-2.5c-0.8-0.9-1.4-1.6-2.1-2.5l-0.1-0.1c-0.3-9.6-0.4-15.4-0.4-15.4l-6.5-1.5v8.8%20h-5.6V130l-7,1.6l0.1,3.4l-3.3,1.8c0.1,2.8,0.2,6.3,0.2,10.7c-2.7,4.6-31.7,54.9-53.5,70.3C69.5,212,69,206,69,199.9%20C68.9,164.9,82.5,131.9,107.2,107.1%20M279.6,264.3l-13.6,0.5l-11-28.6l2.1,1.1l6.1,3c2,1,4,1.9,6.1,2.9c0.6,0.3,1.2,0.6,1.7,0.8%20L279.6,264.3z%20M276.3,246.4c5.5,2.5,11,4.9,16.4,7.1l4.5,10.1l-13.6,0.5L276.3,246.4z%20M262,264.9l-13.8,0.5l-14.4-40.8%20c0.9,0.5,1.8,1.1,2.7,1.5l3,1.6c1.9,1.1,3.9,2.2,5.9,3.3l4.5,2.4L262,264.9z%20M244.1,265.5l-12.3,0.4l-18-53.6%20c2.8,1.8,5.5,3.6,8.3,5.3l5.8,3.6l0.8,0.5L244.1,265.5z%20M227.7,266l-12.9,0.5l-21.4-68.4c4.9,3.7,9.9,7.2,15,10.7L227.7,266z%20M210.6,266.6l-12.4,0.4l-25.3-85.4c1.8,1.5,3.6,3.1,5.4,4.6c3.2,2.7,6.4,5.3,9.7,7.8L210.6,266.6z%20M194.2,267.2l-13.8,0.5%20l-30.2-108.1c2.7,2.9,5.4,5.8,8.2,8.6c2.9,2.9,6,5.8,8.9,8.6L194.2,267.2z%20M176.4,267.8l-11.9,0.4l-16.6-63.5%20c-0.5-16.4-1-31.5-1.3-43.7L176.4,267.8z%20M160.5,268.2l-10.3,0.4c-0.7-15.1-1.3-31-1.7-46.4L160.5,268.2z%20M306,277.4%20c-0.9,1.3-1.8,2.4-2.7,3.6l-152.5-3l-0.1-1.4L306,277.4z%20M301.5,263.5l-3.5-7.8c5.8,2.3,11.6,4.5,17.5,6.7%20c-0.1,0.2-0.3,0.5-0.4,0.7L301.5,263.5z%20M139.3,167.6v8.1h-6.2v7.5h6.2v8.1h-6.2v7.5h6.2v15.1h-6.2v7.5h6.2V237h-6.2v7.5h6.2V269%20l-5.7,0.2V155h5.6v5.1H133v7.5L139.3,167.6L139.3,167.6z%20M80.3,253.8l17.1-57.6c6.9-9.2,14.5-20.8,22.5-35.2L89.3,270.5%20C85.9,265.1,82.9,259.5,80.3,253.8%20M77.9,248.1c-3-7.7-5.3-15.6-6.8-23.8c4.8-3.8,11.6-10.1,19.8-19.9L77.9,248.1z%20M123.6,162.4%20c0,11.5-0.2,25.6-0.5,40.5l-17.6,67.2l-12.2,0.4L123.6,162.4z%20M122.7,219.8c-0.5,16.6-1.1,33.9-1.9,49.8l-11.3,0.4L122.7,219.8z%20M99.3,284.1l20.6,0.8c-0.4,6.3-0.9,12.4-1.3,18c-3.9-3.2-7.8-6.5-11.3-10.1C104.5,290,101.8,287.1,99.3,284.1%20M200.1,331.1%20c-16.4,0-32.2-3-47-8.7c-0.6-8.9-1.2-19.7-1.7-31.5l-11.9-4v29.3c-1.9-1-3.8-2-5.7-3.2v-27.8l5.7,0.2v0.2h6.2l11.1,0.4l138.1,4.9%20c-0.6,0.6-1.1,1.2-1.6,1.7C268.1,317.5,235.1,331.1,200.1,331.1'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 1 | Warriors | 80% | 119 | 129 |
Friday, June 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 56% | 113 | 116 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 44% | 111 | 137 |
Wednesday, June 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 56% | 113 | 118 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 44% | 111 | 113 |
Sunday, June 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 20% | 105 | 113 |
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 117 | 132 |
Thursday, June 1, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 24% | 106 | 91 |
| 1 | Warriors | 76% | 116 | 113 |
Thursday, May 25, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 58% | 108 | 135 |
 | 15 | Celtics | 42% | 105 | 102 |
Tuesday, May 23, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 24% | 102 | 99 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 76% | 112 | 112 |
Monday, May 22, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 60% | 105 | 129 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C2CCD2;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st0'%20points='289.4,53%20270.4,86.8%20267.1,113.8%20233.1,174.2%20188.6,174.2%20221.8,115.6%20221.8,53%20187.4,53%20169.2,86.5%20166,113.8%20117.6,200%20125.8,220.3%20155.9,220.3%20142.2,255.1%20116.4,227.4%20119.5,268.1%2075,269.9%20110.4,294.9%2085.2,332.5%20125.9,319.2%20142.6,359.5%20155.4,315.6%20200.9,327.3%20171.5,293.3%20207.6,263.5%20170.3,265.9%20210.7,220.3%20263.7,220.3%20322.4,116.3%20322.4,53%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20points='289.4,53%20270.4,86.8%20267.1,113.8%20233.1,174.2%20188.6,174.2%20221.8,115.6%20221.8,53%20187.4,53%20169.2,86.5%20166,113.8%20117.6,200%20125.8,220.3%20155.9,220.3%20142.2,255.1%20116.4,227.4%20119.5,268.1%2075,269.9%20110.4,294.9%2085.2,332.5%20125.9,319.2%20142.6,359.5%20155.4,315.6%20200.9,327.3%20171.5,293.3%20207.6,263.5%20170.3,265.9%20210.7,220.3%20263.7,220.3%20322.4,116.3%20322.4,53%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='282.3,83.1%20298.4,83.1%20309.6,62.1%20294.1,62.1%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='181.2,83.2%20198.5,83.1%20209.6,62.1%20192.8,62.1%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='177.1,109.6%20192.7,109.6%20194.1,91.6%20179.1,91.6%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='277.8,109.6%20293.5,109.6%20294.9,91.6%20279.8,91.6%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M274.5,120.4l-35.2,62h-84.5l35.2-62h-16.6l-42.5,75h47.2l-35.7,79.9l-14.8-16.5l0.8,19.4l-23.9,1.4l19.2,13.5%20L110,313.4l22.1-7.2l9.1,21.9l6.9-23.8l24.6,6.3l-15.8-18.4l19.5-16.1l-30.2,1.4l55.5-82H249l41.8-75L274.5,120.4L274.5,120.4z%20M136.3,297.8c-4,0-7.2-3.2-7.2-7.1c0-4,3.2-7.1,7.2-7.1s7.1,3.2,7.1,7.1C143.4,294.6,140.2,297.8,136.3,297.8'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 5 | Spurs | 40% | 102 | 115 |
Sunday, May 21, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 25% | 101 | 111 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 75% | 111 | 108 |
Saturday, May 20, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 105 | 120 |
| 14 | Spurs | 31% | 98 | 108 |
Friday, May 19, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 48% | 109 | 130 |
| 5 | Celtics | 52% | 110 | 86 |
Wednesday, May 17, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 47% | 109 | 117 |
| 5 | Celtics | 53% | 110 | 104 |
Tuesday, May 16, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 12% | 95 | 100 |
| 1 | Warriors | 88% | 111 | 136 |