Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, October 28, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Pistons | 51% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bulls | 60% | 121 | 98 |
 | 30 | Knicks | 40% | 117 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Magic | 40% | 108 | 95 |
 | 8 | Raptors | 60% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Thunder | 17% | 110 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Bucks | 86% | 126 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Pelicans | 62% | 121 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Hornets | 13% | 111 | 96 |
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Sunday, October 27, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 47% | 115 | 92 |
| 18 | Thunder | 53% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Nets | 60% | 120 | 133 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Blazers | 39% | 116 | 121 |
 | 9 | Mavericks | 61% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Heat | 31% | 114 | 109 |
 | 11 | Timberwolves | 69% | 121 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 14% | 104 | 101 |
 | 3 | Lakers | 86% | 120 | 120 |
Saturday, October 26, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 18% | 110 | 131 |
| 2 | Bucks | 82% | 123 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 63% | 114 | 117 |
| 27 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 58% | 112 | 99 |
| 23 | Hawks | 42% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 64% | 118 | 118 |
| 29 | Knicks | 36% | 113 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 62% | 115 | 99 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 38% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 53% | 115 | 108 |
| 17 | Bulls | 47% | 114 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 12% | 109 | 123 |
| 1 | Rockets | 88% | 126 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Spurs | 72% | 122 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 25% | 108 | 81 |
| 5 | Jazz | 75% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 65% | 119 | 122 |
| 19 | Suns | 35% | 114 | 130 |
Friday, October 25, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 53% | 111 | 106 |
| 15 | Celtics | 47% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 65% | 120 | 121 |
| 30 | Hornets | 35% | 115 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 26% | 116 | 109 |
| 14 | Nets | 74% | 126 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 54% | 118 | 110 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 46% | 116 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 49% | 115 | 123 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 51% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 31% | 110 | 97 |
| 12 | Thunder | 69% | 117 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 31% | 115 | 107 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 69% | 122 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 49% | 118 | 122 |
| 21 | Kings | 51% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 40% | 108 | 86 |
| 3 | Lakers | 60% | 112 | 95 |
Thursday, October 24, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 43% | 111 | 117 |
| 23 | Pistons | 57% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucks | 43% | 109 | 117 |
| 2 | Rockets | 57% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 48% | 112 | 141 |
| 9 | Warriors | 52% | 113 | 122 |
Wednesday, October 23, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 60% | 110 | 125 |
| 28 | Hornets | 40% | 107 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 41% | 106 | 119 |
| 22 | Pacers | 59% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 26% | 106 | 85 |
| 12 | Magic | 74% | 115 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 42% | 110 | 127 |
| 17 | Nets | 58% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 34% | 101 | 101 |
| 16 | Heat | 66% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 31% | 105 | 93 |
| 3 | 76ers | 69% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 29% | 108 | 100 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 71% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 24% | 106 | 111 |
| 10 | Spurs | 76% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 32% | 105 | 95 |
| 6 | Jazz | 68% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 48% | 112 | 95 |
| 23 | Suns | 52% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 59% | 115 | 108 |
| 18 | Blazers | 41% | 111 | 100 |
Tuesday, October 22, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 35% | 103 | 122 |
| 8 | Raptors | 65% | 108 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 47% | 112 | 102 |
| 7 | Clippers | 53% | 113 | 112 |
Friday, October 18, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 112 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 123 | |
| Nets | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 144 | |
| Heat | - | - | 133 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 117 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 91 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 103 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 124 | |
Thursday, October 17, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 107 | |
| Magic | - | - | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 93 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 96 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 104 | |
| Nuggets | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 102 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 87 | |
Wednesday, October 16, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 116 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 100 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 128 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 124 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 126 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United | - | - | 110 | ||
| Kings | - | - | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 93 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 126 | |
Tuesday, October 15, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 118 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 119 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 86 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 106 | |
Monday, October 14, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 87 | |
| Heat | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 120 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 70 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 128 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 107 | |
| Suns | - | - | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 98 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 104 | |
Sunday, October 13, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 72 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United | - | - | 100 | ||
| Clippers | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 123 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 126 | |
| Magic | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 105 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 115 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 101 | |||
| Timberwolves | - | - | 131 | |
Saturday, October 12, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 77 | |
| Nets | - | - | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 134 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 118 | |
Friday, October 11, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 105 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 87 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 100 | |
| Magic | - | - | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 100 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 115 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 127 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 118 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 111 | |
Thursday, October 10, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 111 | |
| Rockets | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 114 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakers | - | - | 84 | ||
| Thunder | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haifa | - | - | 68 | ||
| Blazers | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 88 | |
| Kings | - | - | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 123 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 143 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 111 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 91 | |
Wednesday, October 9, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 117 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 98 | |||
| Wizards | - | - | 137 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 97 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 108 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 127 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 99 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 133 | |
Tuesday, October 8, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 129 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 86 | |||
| 76ers | - | - | 144 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 89 | |
| Heat | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakers | - | - | 94 | ||
| Grizzlies | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 104 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 106 | |
| Suns | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 105 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 94 | |
Monday, October 7, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 89 | |||
| Cavaliers | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 115 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 104 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 133 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 122 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 112 | |
Sunday, October 6, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haifa | - | - | 88 | ||
| Grizzlies | - | - | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 106 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 87 | |||
| Clippers | - | - | 127 | |
Saturday, October 5, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 106 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 130 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 123 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 125 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 81 | |||
| Jazz | - | - | 133 | |
Friday, October 4, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 109 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 132 | |
| Kings | - | - | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 89 | |||
| Nets | - | - | 137 | |
Monday, September 30, 2019
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 71 | |||
| Rockets | - | - | 140 | |