Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, October 22, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 53% | 118 | 123 | |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 47% | 116 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 75% | 116 | 121 | |
| 30 | Magic | 25% | 106 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 53% | 115 | 134 | |
| 25 | Wizards | 47% | 113 | 135 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 29% | 111 | 115 | |
| 9 | Celtics | 71% | 119 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 42% | 110 | 114 | |
| 3 | 76ers | 58% | 113 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 37% | 109 | 112 | |
| 16 | Bulls | 63% | 113 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 36% | 108 | 91 | |
| 27 | Rockets | 64% | 113 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Spurs | 26% | 108 | 96 | |
| 5 | Nuggets | 74% | 117 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 66% | 119 | 110 | |
| 20 | Kings | 34% | 113 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 49% | 117 | 115 | |
| 11 | Lakers | 51% | 118 | 105 | |
Thursday, October 21, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 44% | 114 | 87 | |
| 10 | Hawks | 56% | 116 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 58% | 111 | 95 | |
| 15 | Heat | 42% | 108 | 137 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 42% | 113 | 113 | |
| 12 | Warriors | 58% | 116 | 115 | |
Wednesday, October 20, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 59% | 112 | 94 | |
| 26 | Pistons | 41% | 108 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 55% | 109 | 122 | |
| 25 | Hornets | 45% | 108 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 48% | 112 | 134 | |
| 14 | Knicks | 52% | 113 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 43% | 111 | 98 | |
| 18 | Raptors | 57% | 113 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 34% | 107 | 121 | |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 66% | 113 | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 35% | 110 | 106 | |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 65% | 116 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 63% | 112 | 117 | |
| 21 | Pelicans | 37% | 107 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 30% | 106 | 97 | |
| 24 | Spurs | 70% | 114 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 12% | 101 | 86 | |
| 1 | Jazz | 88% | 119 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 38% | 112 | 110 | |
| 3 | Suns | 62% | 116 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 32% | 114 | 124 | |
| 6 | Blazers | 68% | 121 | 121 | |
Tuesday, October 19, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 40% | 110 | 104 | |
| 2 | Bucks | 60% | 113 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 43% | 110 | 121 | |
| 11 | Lakers | 57% | 113 | 114 | |
Friday, October 15, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 100 | ||
| Heat | - | - | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 110 | ||
| Pacers | - | - | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 108 | ||
| Pistons | - | - | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 113 | ||
| Knicks | - | - | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 105 | ||
| Bulls | - | - | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 114 | ||
| Bucks | - | - | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 98 | ||
| Spurs | - | - | 126 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 97 | ||
| Warriors | - | - | 119 | ||
Thursday, October 14, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 92 | ||
| Hawks | - | - | 127 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 101 | ||
| Nets | - | - | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 113 | ||
| Thunder | - | - | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 112 | ||
| Kings | - | - | 116 | ||
Wednesday, October 13, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 74 | ||
| Suns | - | - | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 127 | ||
| Hornets | - | - | 59 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | - | - | 102 | ||
| Magic | - | - | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 107 | ||
| Pacers | - | - | 109 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 100 | ||
| Knicks | - | - | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 99 | ||
| Thunder | - | - | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 120 | ||
| Jazz | - | - | 124 | ||
Tuesday, October 12, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 113 | ||
| Wizards | - | - | 108 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 111 | ||
| Lakers | - | - | 99 | ||
Monday, October 11, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 92 | ||
| Raptors | - | - | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 103 | ||
| Heat | - | - | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 92 | ||
| Grizzlies | - | - | 127 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 104 | ||
| 76ers | - | - | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 96 | ||
| Jazz | - | - | 127 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 107 | ||
| Blazers | - | - | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 128 | ||
| Clippers | - | - | 100 | ||
Sunday, October 10, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 101 | ||
| Magic | - | - | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 102 | ||
| Cavaliers | - | - | 101 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 110 | ||
| Bucks | - | - | 130 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 123 | ||
| Lakers | - | - | 94 | ||
Saturday, October 9, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | - | - | 117 | ||
| Wizards | - | - | 99 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 111 | ||
| Celtics | - | - | 113 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 91 | ||
| Grizzlies | - | - | 87 | ||
Friday, October 8, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 109 | ||
| Cavaliers | - | - | 100 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 115 | ||
| Nets | - | - | 119 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 85 | ||
| Bulls | - | - | 121 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 109 | ||
| Spurs | - | - | 105 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers | - | - | 114 | ||
| Mavericks | - | - | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 114 | ||
| Nuggets | - | - | 112 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 114 | ||
| Warriors | - | - | 121 | ||
Thursday, October 7, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 128 | ||
| Hornets | - | - | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 113 | ||
| 76ers | - | - | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 113 | ||
| Rockets | - | - | 106 | ||
Wednesday, October 6, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 105 | ||
| Suns | - | - | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 105 | ||
| Pistons | - | - | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 99 | ||
| Hawks | - | - | 96 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 86 | ||
| Pelicans | - | - | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 101 | ||
| Mavericks | - | - | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 116 | ||
| Warriors | - | - | 118 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 113 | ||
| Clippers | - | - | 98 | ||
Tuesday, October 5, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 104 | ||
| Knicks | - | - | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 77 | ||
| Grizzlies | - | - | 87 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 119 | ||
| Rockets | - | - | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 95 | ||
| Bulls | - | - | 131 | ||
Monday, October 4, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | - | - | 107 | ||
| Raptors | - | - | 123 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | - | - | 97 | ||
| Celtics | - | - | 98 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 99 | ||
| Heat | - | - | 125 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 114 | ||
| Timberwolves | - | - | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 113 | ||
| Thunder | - | - | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz | - | - | 85 | ||
| Spurs | - | - | 111 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 121 | ||
| Blazers | - | - | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | - | - | 106 | ||
| Kings | - | - | 117 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 102 | ||
| Clippers | - | - | 103 | ||
Sunday, October 3, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 123 | ||
| Lakers | - | - | 97 | ||