Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, December 3, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Heat | 39% | 104 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Timberwolves | 35% | 110 | 105 |
 | 7 | Nets | 65% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Magic | 41% | 109 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pelicans | 34% | 108 | 107 |
 | 17 | Mavericks | 66% | 114 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Celtics | 31% | 105 | 130 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Lakers | 51% | 112 | 115 |
Thursday, December 2, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Bulls | 52% | 109 | 119 |
 | 12 | Knicks | 48% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Bucks | 60% | 111 | 93 |
 | 20 | Raptors | 40% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Thunder | 21% | 100 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 14% | 101 | 103 |
| 2 | Suns | 86% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, December 1, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hawks | 53% | 112 | 114 |
| 11 | Pacers | 47% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Magic | 26% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 43% | 110 | 107 |
| 14 | Wizards | 57% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 51% | 108 | 87 |
| 10 | Celtics | 49% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 44% | 105 | 111 |
| 19 | Heat | 56% | 107 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Hornets | 29% | 111 | 125 |
| 4 | Bucks | 71% | 119 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 54% | 112 | 139 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 46% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 55% | 109 | 114 |
| 29 | Thunder | 45% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Clippers | 70% | 115 | 115 |
Tuesday, November 30, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 33% | 107 | 110 |
| 8 | Nets | 67% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 43% | 106 | 98 |
| 19 | Raptors | 57% | 109 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 46% | 111 | 96 |
| 2 | Suns | 54% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 34% | 105 | 92 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 44% | 112 | 117 |
| 25 | Kings | 56% | 114 | 92 |
Monday, November 29, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 14% | 98 | 96 |
| 4 | 76ers | 86% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 39% | 103 | 120 |
| 12 | Heat | 61% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 36% | 111 | 119 |
| 9 | Bulls | 64% | 116 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 44% | 108 | 89 |
| 27 | Rockets | 56% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 38% | 109 | 98 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 62% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 38% | 107 | 114 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 62% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 54% | 110 | 99 |
| 23 | Spurs | 46% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 111 | 107 |
| 2 | Jazz | 71% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 33% | 104 | 123 |
| 8 | Clippers | 67% | 111 | 104 |
Sunday, November 28, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 57% | 111 | 105 |
| 8 | Clippers | 43% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 52% | 110 | 118 |
| 12 | Pacers | 48% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 51% | 107 | 109 |
| 19 | Raptors | 49% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 47% | 111 | 101 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 53% | 112 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 29% | 106 | 106 |
| 21 | Lakers | 71% | 114 | 110 |
Saturday, November 27, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 28% | 105 | 121 |
| 5 | 76ers | 72% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 33% | 108 | 99 |
| 6 | Hawks | 67% | 115 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 47% | 114 | 113 |
| 8 | Nets | 53% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 19% | 100 | 92 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 81% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 53% | 108 | 107 |
| 10 | Bulls | 47% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 53% | 115 | 143 |
| 27 | Rockets | 47% | 114 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 34% | 107 | 120 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 66% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 17% | 104 | 105 |
| 1 | Jazz | 83% | 117 | 127 |
Friday, November 26, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 21% | 102 | 96 |
| 6 | Clippers | 79% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 47% | 114 | 115 |
| 19 | Hornets | 53% | 115 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 60% | 113 | 118 |
| 16 | Knicks | 40% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 74% | 112 | 123 |
| 30 | Magic | 26% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 43% | 106 | 97 |
| 14 | Pacers | 57% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 56% | 115 | 132 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 44% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 64% | 109 | 101 |
| 28 | Thunder | 36% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 59% | 111 | 88 |
| 23 | Spurs | 41% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 66% | 111 | 120 |
| 26 | Nuggets | 34% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 17% | 104 | 98 |
| 1 | Jazz | 83% | 118 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 110 | 103 |
| 2 | Warriors | 72% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 41% | 112 | 141 |
| 22 | Lakers | 59% | 116 | 137 |
Wednesday, November 24, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 67% | 113 | 120 |
| 23 | Cavaliers | 33% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 32% | 107 | 124 |
| 16 | Pacers | 68% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 69% | 115 | 106 |
| 30 | Magic | 31% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 45% | 110 | 123 |
| 5 | Celtics | 55% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 71% | 114 | 113 |
| 28 | Rockets | 29% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 49% | 110 | 126 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 51% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 17% | 102 | 93 |
| 4 | Bucks | 83% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 47% | 108 | 101 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 53% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 62% | 110 | 102 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 38% | 106 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 85% | 114 | 110 |
| 29 | Thunder | 15% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 60% | 115 | 124 |
| 21 | Spurs | 40% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 29% | 104 | 96 |
| 2 | Warriors | 71% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 117 | 121 |
| 24 | Kings | 49% | 116 | 125 |
Tuesday, November 23, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 71% | 111 | 100 |
| 27 | Pistons | 29% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 38% | 110 | 100 |
| 13 | Knicks | 62% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 32% | 108 | 100 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 46% | 111 | 112 |
| 10 | Clippers | 54% | 112 | 104 |
Monday, November 22, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 63% | 111 | 117 |
| 23 | Cavaliers | 37% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 109 |
| 15 | Wizards | 59% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 21% | 103 | 101 |
| 8 | Hawks | 79% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 19% | 103 | 90 |
| 5 | Celtics | 81% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 42% | 108 | 109 |
| 12 | Bulls | 58% | 111 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 15% | 102 | 92 |
| 3 | Bucks | 85% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 56% | 112 | 110 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 44% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 63% | 115 | 115 |
| 22 | Spurs | 37% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 19% | 105 | 119 |
| 1 | Jazz | 81% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 54% | 112 | 102 |
| 21 | Kings | 46% | 111 | 94 |
Sunday, November 21, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 38% | 107 | 91 |
| 9 | Clippers | 62% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 58% | 112 | 121 |
| 27 | Pistons | 42% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 35% | 106 | 103 |
| 10 | Bulls | 65% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 35% | 107 | 97 |
| 2 | Suns | 65% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 27% | 105 | 104 |
| 4 | Warriors | 73% | 114 | 119 |
Saturday, November 20, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 24% | 105 | 99 |
| 12 | Knicks | 76% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 34% | 105 | 94 |
| 17 | Pacers | 66% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 52% | 107 | 100 |
| 15 | Wizards | 48% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 30% | 111 | 105 |
| 5 | Hawks | 70% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 23% | 100 | 105 |
| 13 | Celtics | 77% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 15% | 102 | 108 |
| 2 | Bucks | 85% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 40% | 111 | 95 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 60% | 115 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 44% | 111 | 111 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 73% | 117 | 123 |
| 23 | Kings | 27% | 109 | 105 |