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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Celtics52%9491
26Magic48%93100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.9
44.9
38.5
13
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
51%
1-4
25%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
40.8
36.8
37
52%
5
4
1
1
0
2
2
3
11-13
85%
13-27
6-12
48%
49%
0-3
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.2
39.1
24.8
7
44%
10
0
1
0
6
1
4
6
1-2
50%
3-7
3-5
43%
53%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.5
37.7
34.2
13
50%
5
6
5
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
53%
1-2
50%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
20.5
25.7
7
60%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.0
21.2
14.9
4
50%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
17.4
14.8
8
82%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
2-4
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.1
9.1
16.5
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.8
9.0
8.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
0.2
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.1
17.9
0
3-6
52%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.4
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.7
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.0
43.2
37.9
18
62%
6
7
1
1
1
2
1
5
7-8
88%
4-9
5-12
44%
47%
1-2
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.9
40.1
36.2
15
50%
6
5
2
1
1
5
1
5
1-2
50%
7-11
4-10
64%
46%
0-3
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.2
39.5
38.9
18
56%
8
1
0
1
0
2
1
7
4-7
57%
7-13
6-11
54%
54%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.8
34.2
34.0
12
73%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
4-6
5-10
67%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
26.8
30.6
14
71%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.7
20.6
20.8
10
46%
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.5
19.6
19.7
7
72%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.5
8.9
7.7
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.8
7.1
3.6
2
17%
5
0
0
0
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-1
17%
52%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.3
15.3
1
3-6
50%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.9
5.0
0
0-0
44%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.1
1.9
0
0-0
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.0
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.4
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.