Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, February 4, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Heat | 46% | 94 | 92 |
| 7 | Nets | 54% | 96 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Celtics | 52% | 94 | 91 |
 | 26 | Magic | 48% | 93 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Pistons | 58% | 91 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Lakers | 46% | 92 | 90 |
| 25 | Hornets | 54% | 93 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bucks | 37% | 88 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 15% | 93 | 91 | |
 | 2 | Mavericks | 85% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 23% | 94 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 35% | 90 | 77 |
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Friday, February 3, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Knicks | 33% | 96 | 90 |
 | 22 | Raptors | 67% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 96 | 94 |
| 27 | Hawks | 53% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Celtics | 54% | 95 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 64% | 98 | 102 |
 | 29 | Bobcats | 36% | 94 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 70% | 94 | 87 |
| 21 | 76ers | 30% | 87 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SuperSonics | 34% | 95 | 77 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 57% | 89 | 85 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 86 | 89 |
Thursday, February 2, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 30% | 94 | 73 |
| 5 | Heat | 70% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Warriors | 41% | 91 | 86 |
Wednesday, February 1, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 45% | 100 | 112 |
| 24 | Raptors | 55% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 56% | 94 | 106 |
| 26 | Magic | 44% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 32% | 91 | 85 | |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 68% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 45% | 92 | 79 |
| 19 | Pacers | 55% | 93 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 49% | 100 | 102 |
| 11 | Celtics | 51% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 43% | 96 | 102 |
| 29 | Bobcats | 57% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 18% | 81 | 74 |
| 1 | Pistons | 82% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 40% | 87 | 81 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 60% | 91 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 42% | 89 | 95 |
| 25 | Hornets | 58% | 91 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 32% | 90 | 84 |
| 10 | Rockets | 68% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 43% | 92 | 90 |
| 20 | Jazz | 57% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 76% | 92 | 86 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 83 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 43% | 102 | 107 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 57% | 104 | 111 | |
Tuesday, January 31, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 63% | 100 | 123 |
| 21 | 76ers | 37% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 41% | 94 | 79 |
| 15 | Wizards | 59% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 61% | 93 | 84 |
| 9 | Nets | 39% | 89 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 66% | 100 | 130 |
| 27 | Knicks | 34% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 23% | 88 | 94 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 77% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 46% | 96 | 91 |
| 14 | Kings | 54% | 98 | 98 |
Monday, January 30, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 46% | 99 | 101 |
| 28 | Hawks | 54% | 100 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 63% | 99 | 103 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 37% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 34% | 92 | 114 |
| 6 | Heat | 66% | 97 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 24% | 82 | 77 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 76% | 91 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 36% | 90 | 93 |
| 25 | Hornets | 64% | 95 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 38% | 89 | 85 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 62% | 93 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 63% | 89 | 79 |
| 22 | Jazz | 37% | 85 | 70 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 95 | 116 |
| 17 | SuperSonics | 70% | 101 | 111 | |
Sunday, January 29, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 53% | 100 | 123 |
| 24 | Raptors | 47% | 99 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 48% | 100 | 106 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 52% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 52% | 97 | 79 |
| 23 | Bucks | 48% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 53% | 93 | 101 |
| 15 | Rockets | 47% | 92 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 41% | 92 | 89 |
| 26 | Magic | 59% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 23% | 88 | 93 |
| 1 | Pistons | 77% | 98 | 102 |
Saturday, January 28, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 93 | 97 |
| 13 | Wizards | 77% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 26% | 94 | 76 |
| 15 | 76ers | 74% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 23% | 82 | 95 | |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 77% | 91 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 26% | 92 | 99 |
| 18 | Bulls | 74% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 17% | 81 | 88 |
| 4 | Spurs | 83% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 21% | 85 | 89 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 79% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 47% | 98 | 104 | |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 53% | 99 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 49% | 95 | 79 |
| 16 | Clippers | 51% | 96 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 91 | 83 |
| 14 | Warriors | 75% | 99 | 98 |
Friday, January 27, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 70% | 105 | 110 |
| 29 | Hawks | 30% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 47% | 91 | 93 |
| 15 | Pacers | 53% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 38% | 96 | 74 |
| 8 | Celtics | 62% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 40% | 94 | 94 |
| 27 | Knicks | 60% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 58% | 96 | 91 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 42% | 93 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 31% | 84 | 89 |
| 1 | Pistons | 69% | 90 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 47% | 96 | 79 |
| 18 | Bulls | 53% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 40% | 98 | 87 |
| 21 | Bucks | 60% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 33% | 91 | 105 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 67% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 43% | 85 | 96 |
| 23 | Rockets | 57% | 87 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 58% | 91 | 83 | |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 88 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 36% | 97 | 105 |
| 7 | Lakers | 64% | 102 | 106 |
Thursday, January 26, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 33% | 91 | 119 |
| 14 | 76ers | 67% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 43% | 99 | 107 |
| 5 | Heat | 57% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 64% | 101 | 104 |
| 17 | SuperSonics | 36% | 96 | 97 | |
Wednesday, January 25, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 45% | 98 | 104 |
| 22 | Raptors | 55% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 58% | 99 | 106 |
| 29 | Hawks | 42% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 44% | 97 | 89 |
| 15 | Celtics | 56% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 47% | 99 | 106 |
| 27 | Knicks | 53% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 17% | 87 | 102 |
| 1 | Pistons | 83% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 49% | 87 | 84 |
| 25 | Hornets | 51% | 88 | 68 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 26% | 86 | 78 |
| 23 | Rockets | 74% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 31% | 82 | 87 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 69% | 88 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 38% | 94 | 113 | |
| 18 | Jazz | 62% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 63% | 96 | 97 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 49% | 93 | 77 | |
| 20 | Clippers | 51% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 58% | 98 | 102 |
| 11 | Warriors | 42% | 96 | 93 |
Tuesday, January 24, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 42% | 97 | 103 |
| 15 | 76ers | 58% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 67% | 101 | 102 |
| 26 | Magic | 33% | 95 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 34% | 90 | 66 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 66% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 35% | 89 | 82 |
| 4 | Heat | 65% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 56% | 89 | 107 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 44% | 87 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 22% | 85 | 76 |
| 9 | Spurs | 78% | 95 | 104 |
Monday, January 23, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 65% | 95 | 94 |
| 30 | Hawks | 35% | 90 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 41% | 91 | 78 | |
| 18 | Celtics | 59% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 37% | 90 | 97 |
| 24 | Bucks | 63% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 29% | 97 | 101 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 71% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 51% | 90 | 78 | |
| 21 | Jazz | 49% | 89 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 36% | 95 | 96 |
| 13 | Warriors | 64% | 99 | 93 |
Sunday, January 22, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 37% | 90 | 89 |
| 7 | Spurs | 63% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 51% | 93 | 93 |
| 11 | Wizards | 49% | 92 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 34% | 89 | 86 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 66% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 45% | 96 | 92 |
| 23 | Clippers | 55% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 23% | 95 | 99 |
| 4 | Heat | 77% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 16% | 80 | 97 |
| 1 | Pistons | 84% | 93 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | SuperSonics | 19% | 98 | 152 | |
| 3 | Suns | 81% | 109 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 76% | 95 | 95 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 86 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 30% | 96 | 104 |
| 6 | Lakers | 70% | 103 | 122 |