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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1776ers37%9284
18Bulls63%97117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 30.7
28.7
41.6
18
48%
0
3
1
2
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
6-15
10-23
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
27.2
37.2
7
46%
2
2
1
2
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
1-4
4-7
25%
53%
0-1
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
24.3
35.3
14
44%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
4-4
100%
5-13
7-17
38%
43%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
23.9
31.8
4
41%
5
0
0
1
3
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.1
19.9
14.9
2
20%
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
38%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.2
20.5
27.0
13
60%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
6-8
2-5
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 24.9
20.5
21.0
6
34%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
41%
0-2
0%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.2
19.6
7.3
9
74%
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
4
5-7
71%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 25.9
16.5
3.9
5
53%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
16.4
9.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
11.9
10.0
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 19.3
10.7
3.5
4
40%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.8
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.0
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.1
35.7
34.1
18
61%
5
2
2
1
0
4
0
5
2-4
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
45%
4-6
67%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
25.4
34.9
21
69%
4
6
2
1
1
3
0
4
5-5
100%
8-11
5-11
73%
45%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
21.4
31.7
12
86%
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-7
5-10
86%
50%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.4
19.0
30.8
6
44%
11
2
0
1
1
0
6
5
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
9.2
12.9
4
100%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.3
26.0
9.6
10
51%
12
2
1
0
4
1
4
8
4-4
100%
3-8
2-3
38%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.5
25.4
10.8
4
29%
1
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-1
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
22.4
7.8
16
62%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
7-12
1-3
58%
47%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.2
22.0
24.0
16
81%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
47%
2-4
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.0
18.8
25.2
6
50%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.3
9.5
15.8
4
40%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.4
5.2
3.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.0
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.