Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, February 16, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Bulls | 63% | 97 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, February 15, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | 76ers | 38% | 89 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Heat | 64% | 96 | 110 |
 | 26 | Magic | 36% | 92 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bucks | 26% | 88 | 77 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Celtics | 48% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Raptors | 55% | 100 | 96 |
 | 29 | Knicks | 45% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 58% | 94 | 95 | |
 | 28 | Bobcats | 42% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Hornets | 73% | 93 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 33% | 92 | 92 | |
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 67% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Mavericks | 74% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 52% | 102 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Lakers | 77% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, February 14, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 20% | 89 | 93 |
| 5 | Heat | 80% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 24% | 86 | 71 | |
 | 1 | Pistons | 76% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 38% | 97 | 91 | |
| 22 | Bucks | 62% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 53% | 96 | 105 |
| 20 | Bulls | 47% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 41% | 89 | 128 |
| 13 | Clippers | 59% | 92 | 97 |
Monday, February 13, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 90 | 91 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 70% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 53% | 95 | 96 |
| 28 | Hornets | 47% | 94 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 37% | 91 | 98 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 63% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 8% | 86 | 72 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 92% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Lakers | 67% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 51% | 94 | 81 |
| 17 | Warriors | 49% | 93 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 46% | 91 | 87 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 54% | 92 | 101 |
Sunday, February 12, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 92 | 81 |
| 22 | Raptors | 73% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 37% | 95 | 97 |
| 15 | Wizards | 63% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 58% | 89 | 92 |
| 14 | Pacers | 42% | 87 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 55% | 93 | 98 |
| 5 | Heat | 45% | 92 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 32% | 90 | 94 |
| 17 | Celtics | 68% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 26% | 89 | 79 |
| 9 | Nets | 74% | 97 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 24% | 88 | 83 |
| 12 | Rockets | 76% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 22% | 92 | 84 |
| 8 | Kings | 78% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 51% | 103 | 120 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 49% | 102 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 33% | 90 | 97 |
| 11 | Clippers | 67% | 96 | 91 |
Saturday, February 11, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 31% | 95 | 99 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 69% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 34% | 84 | 100 | |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 66% | 89 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 25% | 91 | 93 |
| 21 | Bucks | 75% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 28% | 84 | 88 |
| 10 | Rockets | 72% | 91 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 40% | 89 | 100 |
| 11 | Lakers | 60% | 92 | 99 |
Friday, February 10, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 52% | 99 | 89 |
| 16 | Wizards | 48% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 76% | 95 | 84 |
| 25 | Magic | 24% | 86 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 88 | 83 |
| 17 | Celtics | 77% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 49% | 90 | 83 |
| 7 | Nets | 51% | 91 | 73 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 49% | 100 | 88 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 51% | 101 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 39% | 94 | 95 |
| 15 | Pacers | 61% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 40% | 91 | 100 |
| 28 | Hornets | 60% | 94 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 44% | 85 | 94 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 56% | 87 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kings | 24% | 96 | 104 |
| 3 | Suns | 76% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 51% | 96 | 104 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 49% | 95 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 46% | 88 | 87 |
| 13 | Clippers | 54% | 89 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 33% | 100 | 91 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 67% | 105 | 99 | |
Thursday, February 9, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 33% | 94 | 76 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 67% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 31% | 92 | 80 |
| 8 | Kings | 69% | 99 | 98 |
Wednesday, February 8, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 97 | 125 |
| 23 | Raptors | 31% | 90 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 42% | 98 | 124 |
| 17 | Wizards | 58% | 101 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 85 | 69 |
| 15 | Pacers | 76% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 14% | 88 | 83 |
| 8 | Nets | 86% | 101 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 54% | 95 | 92 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 46% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 22% | 85 | 87 |
| 1 | Pistons | 78% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 33% | 91 | 89 |
| 21 | Bucks | 67% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 40% | 96 | 102 | |
| 24 | Hornets | 60% | 99 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 59% | 91 | 97 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 41% | 88 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 33% | 89 | 89 |
| 11 | Rockets | 67% | 95 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 28% | 91 | 102 |
| 4 | Suns | 72% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 35% | 93 | 110 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 65% | 98 | 107 |
Tuesday, February 7, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 77% | 97 | 98 |
| 27 | Hawks | 23% | 88 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 69% | 99 | 85 |
| 30 | Knicks | 31% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 23% | 90 | 87 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 77% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 49% | 90 | 96 |
| 12 | Kings | 51% | 91 | 104 |
Monday, February 6, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 44% | 90 | 87 |
| 19 | 76ers | 56% | 92 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 31% | 93 | 82 |
| 15 | Wizards | 69% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 28% | 86 | 91 | |
| 8 | Nets | 72% | 94 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | SuperSonics | 51% | 102 | 106 | |
| 28 | Bobcats | 49% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 27% | 93 | 98 |
| 5 | Heat | 73% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 46% | 89 | 107 |
| 21 | Jazz | 54% | 90 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 21% | 89 | 103 |
| 4 | Suns | 79% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 48% | 97 | 114 |
| 17 | Warriors | 52% | 98 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 27% | 91 | 86 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 73% | 99 | 89 |
Sunday, February 5, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 65% | 94 | 93 |
| 30 | Knicks | 35% | 90 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 57% | 99 | 115 |
| 23 | Raptors | 43% | 96 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 38% | 90 | 78 |
| 16 | Kings | 62% | 94 | 96 |
Saturday, February 4, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 46% | 94 | 92 |
| 7 | Nets | 54% | 96 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 23% | 95 | 85 |
| 15 | Wizards | 77% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 52% | 94 | 91 |
| 26 | Magic | 48% | 93 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 22% | 89 | 100 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 78% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 58% | 91 | 85 |
| 16 | Pacers | 42% | 88 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 46% | 92 | 90 |
| 25 | Hornets | 54% | 93 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 63% | 92 | 78 |
| 24 | Bucks | 37% | 88 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 15% | 93 | 91 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 85% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 87 | 104 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 81% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 23% | 94 | 101 |
| 4 | Suns | 77% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 35% | 90 | 77 |
| 17 | Warriors | 65% | 94 | 109 |
Friday, February 3, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 33% | 96 | 90 |
| 22 | Raptors | 67% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 96 | 94 |
| 27 | Hawks | 53% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 46% | 94 | 98 |
| 13 | Celtics | 54% | 95 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 64% | 98 | 102 |
| 29 | Bobcats | 36% | 94 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 70% | 94 | 87 |
| 21 | 76ers | 30% | 87 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SuperSonics | 34% | 95 | 77 | |
| 12 | Rockets | 66% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 44% | 91 | 79 |
| 19 | Jazz | 56% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 57% | 89 | 85 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 86 | 89 |