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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Kings36%92109
6Nets64%9784
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.8
40.7
37.1
29
76%
4
10
2
1
0
2
0
4
6-7
86%
7-12
5-11
58%
46%
3-4
75%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.3
37.8
37.0
11
40%
3
3
3
2
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
3-9
5-11
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.9
36.4
34.8
21
97%
7
2
0
1
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
8-9
5-10
89%
50%
1-1
100%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.6
34.8
34.3
11
57%
8
4
0
1
1
0
0
8
5-6
83%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.1
34.8
36.8
7
34%
7
5
0
1
0
1
1
6
3-3
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
25.6
22.3
16
50%
10
2
3
1
2
1
4
6
2-2
100%
7-15
3-7
47%
46%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.2
14.2
18.7
7
45%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.9
5.2
5.2
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Sergei Monia
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
3.8
2.5
2
53%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
3.4
2.3
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.0
3.4
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.3
5.3
0
1-2
45%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.7
38.2
41.0
18
64%
8
1
2
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
6-9
6-12
67%
52%
2-5
40%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.1
36.2
37.7
21
43%
3
4
1
1
1
4
1
2
4-6
67%
7-19
7-15
37%
47%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.0
32.0
38.3
10
56%
4
11
2
2
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.3
25.1
28.7
0
0%
10
0
0
1
2
0
4
6
0-0
-
0-7
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.6
21.2
29.8
8
40%
7
1
0
0
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
52%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.2
22.1
17.1
13
60%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
6-9
1-3
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
18.1
11.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.1
17.1
14.5
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
45%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.9
10.2
10.7
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.9
6.6
3.3
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.7
6.6
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.5
6.6
1.7
8
86%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
5-6
83%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-2
50%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.