Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, March 6, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Nets | 64% | 97 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Heat | 58% | 97 | 106 |
 | 25 | Bobcats | 42% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Hornets | 37% | 95 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Magic | 44% | 87 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Lakers | 43% | 91 | 96 |
Sunday, March 5, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 49% | 102 | 105 |
 | 16 | Raptors | 51% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 49% | 99 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 41% | 97 | 115 |
 | 4 | Mavericks | 59% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Timberwolves | 53% | 93 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bulls | 43% | 93 | 72 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 39% | 89 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 40% | 95 | 81 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 60% | 99 | 113 | |
Saturday, March 4, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 30% | 94 | 100 |
| 7 | Nets | 70% | 100 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Heat | 80% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Knicks | 23% | 93 | 103 |
 | 19 | Bucks | 77% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 8% | 78 | 81 |
| 2 | Spurs | 92% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 28% | 91 | 94 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 72% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Pistons | 57% | 93 | 94 |
| 9 | Lakers | 43% | 91 | 105 |
Friday, March 3, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 47% | 98 | 113 |
| 21 | 76ers | 53% | 99 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 65% | 101 | 102 |
| 27 | Hawks | 35% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 44% | 94 | 98 |
| 11 | Celtics | 56% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 52% | 97 | 108 |
| 28 | Knicks | 48% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 41% | 93 | 78 |
| 13 | Rockets | 59% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 19% | 89 | 76 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 81% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 61% | 94 | 103 |
| 26 | Jazz | 39% | 90 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 13% | 90 | 118 |
| 4 | Suns | 87% | 104 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 51% | 99 | 106 |
| 22 | Warriors | 49% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 70% | 99 | 98 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 30% | 92 | 96 | |
Thursday, March 2, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 38% | 92 | 92 |
| 17 | Bulls | 62% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 40% | 88 | 89 |
| 4 | Spurs | 60% | 91 | 98 |
Wednesday, March 1, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 31% | 98 | 113 |
| 18 | Raptors | 69% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 46% | 94 | 99 |
| 13 | Wizards | 54% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 47% | 95 | 97 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 53% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 55% | 99 | 103 |
| 12 | Celtics | 45% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 18% | 86 | 99 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 82% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 60% | 89 | 90 | |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 40% | 86 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 37% | 90 | 106 |
| 16 | Rockets | 63% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 63% | 94 | 87 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 37% | 90 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 38% | 90 | 104 |
| 23 | Jazz | 62% | 94 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 22% | 96 | 110 |
| 2 | Suns | 78% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 69% | 97 | 93 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 90 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 21% | 86 | 67 | |
| 8 | Clippers | 79% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 28% | 89 | 94 |
| 22 | Warriors | 72% | 97 | 98 |
Tuesday, February 28, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 36% | 87 | 100 |
| 19 | Bulls | 64% | 92 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 45% | 95 | 104 | |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 55% | 96 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 22% | 88 | 87 |
| 9 | Lakers | 78% | 98 | 102 |
Monday, February 27, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 53% | 94 | 102 | |
| 27 | Hawks | 47% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 58% | 92 | 84 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 42% | 89 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 22% | 96 | 94 |
| 5 | Heat | 78% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 37% | 89 | 98 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 63% | 93 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 60% | 98 | 111 |
| 13 | Rockets | 40% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 20% | 90 | 92 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 80% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 12% | 84 | 93 |
| 4 | Spurs | 88% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 34% | 94 | 110 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 66% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 11% | 85 | 91 |
| 6 | Kings | 89% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 22% | 91 | 87 |
| 7 | Clippers | 78% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 43% | 91 | 117 |
| 22 | Warriors | 57% | 93 | 108 |
Sunday, February 26, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 24% | 87 | 78 |
| 1 | Pistons | 76% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 60% | 90 | 89 |
| 28 | Magic | 40% | 87 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 56% | 86 | 99 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 44% | 84 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 40% | 89 | 101 |
| 8 | Nets | 60% | 92 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 33% | 94 | 112 |
| 9 | Lakers | 67% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 54% | 90 | 88 | |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 89 | 75 |
Saturday, February 25, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 19% | 92 | 113 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 81% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 41% | 94 | 102 |
| 17 | 76ers | 59% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 22% | 95 | 89 |
| 12 | Wizards | 78% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 51% | 97 | 99 |
| 26 | Hawks | 49% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 16% | 94 | 106 | |
| 5 | Heat | 84% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 19% | 87 | 75 |
| 4 | Spurs | 81% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 45% | 87 | 100 | |
| 22 | Jazz | 55% | 89 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 15% | 93 | 121 |
| 3 | Suns | 85% | 106 | 136 |
Friday, February 24, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 54% | 98 | 89 | |
| 29 | Magic | 46% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 25% | 89 | 117 |
| 13 | Pacers | 75% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 38% | 96 | 102 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 62% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 64% | 97 | 94 | |
| 28 | Knicks | 36% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 52% | 86 | 83 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 48% | 85 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 52% | 92 | 102 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 48% | 91 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 61% | 92 | 95 |
| 18 | Bulls | 39% | 89 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 42% | 94 | 116 |
| 19 | Bucks | 58% | 97 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 33% | 91 | 88 |
| 11 | Rockets | 67% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 63% | 93 | 102 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 89 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 37% | 94 | 83 |
| 12 | Clippers | 63% | 98 | 102 |
Thursday, February 23, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 22% | 84 | 83 |
| 1 | Pistons | 78% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 31% | 86 | 87 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 69% | 92 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 42% | 95 | 85 |
| 8 | Lakers | 58% | 98 | 106 |
Wednesday, February 22, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 44% | 87 | 82 |
| 25 | Hornets | 56% | 89 | 76 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 51% | 96 | 107 |
| 19 | 76ers | 49% | 95 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 44% | 100 | 114 | |
| 26 | Hawks | 56% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 19% | 85 | 93 |
| 8 | Nets | 81% | 96 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 72% | 103 | 103 |
| 29 | Knicks | 28% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 35% | 92 | 91 |
| 16 | Bulls | 65% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 37% | 90 | 102 |
| 14 | Rockets | 63% | 94 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 17% | 92 | 94 |
| 4 | Suns | 83% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 52% | 92 | 110 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 91 | 106 |
Tuesday, February 21, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 34% | 90 | 78 |
| 15 | Wizards | 66% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 21% | 89 | 92 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 79% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 29% | 86 | 75 | |
| 12 | Pacers | 71% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 11% | 85 | 87 |
| 1 | Pistons | 89% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 53% | 93 | 89 | |
| 21 | Bucks | 47% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 27% | 89 | 88 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 73% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 26% | 90 | 91 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 74% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 19% | 90 | 78 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 81% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 24% | 93 | 84 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 76% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 44% | 91 | 103 |
| 19 | Jazz | 56% | 93 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 31% | 94 | 77 |
| 6 | Kings | 69% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 17% | 87 | 82 |
| 10 | Lakers | 83% | 99 | 99 |