FinalWin Prob.pScore
2844%87
85
2656%89
90
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
104.98196.3
UTA logo UTA
108.48371.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA85
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Okur Free Throw Technical85
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0UTAOkur Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)85
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0UTAJAZZ Rebound85
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLKirilenko BLOCK (6 BLK)85
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 0:05.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLKirilenko BLOCK (5 BLK)85
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
19.2%
87
80.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
22.6%
86
77.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLNelson Layup (10 PTS)85
33.9%
85
66.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0UTAPalacio Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)83
21.4%
85
78.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLStevenson 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)83
14.4%
85
85.6%
Q4 - 1:05UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
9.6%
85
90.4%
Q4 - 1:05UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)81
10.8%
84
89.2%
Q4 - 1:05UTAJAZZ Rebound81
15.3%
83
84.7%
Q4 - 1:05UTAMISS D. Williams Layup81
22.4%
83
77.6%
Q4 - 1:28UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
17.6%
83
82.4%
Q4 - 1:30ORLPalacio BLOCK (1 BLK)81
20.8%
83
79.2%
Q4 - 1:48UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
29.5%
83
70.5%
Q4 - 1:48UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)81
31.2%
82
68.8%
Q4 - 2:01UTAPalacio REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
38.6%
81
61.4%
Q4 - 2:02ORLMISS Stevenson Layup81
43.2%
81
56.8%
Q4 - 2:21ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
54.9%
81
45.1%
Q4 - 2:23UTAMISS D. Williams 21' Jump Shot81
49.8%
81
50.2%
Q4 - 2:43UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
37.9%
81
62.1%
Q4 - 2:53ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot81
42.9%
81
57.1%
Q4 - 2:57UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)81
53.1%
81
46.9%
Q4 - 3:21ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)81
38.2%
81
61.8%
Q4 - 3:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)79
32.8%
81
67.2%
Q4 - 3:37UTAMISS Palacio Free Throw 2 of 279
31.6%
81
68.4%
Q4 - 3:37UTAMISS Palacio Free Throw 1 of 279
27.0%
81
73.0%
Q4 - 3:50UTAJAZZ Rebound79
24.6%
81
75.4%
Q4 - 3:50UTAMISS Palacio 5' Running Jump Shot79
30.0%
81
70.0%
Q4 - 4:17ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)79
24.3%
81
75.7%
Q4 - 4:32ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q4 - 4:35UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 277
17.4%
81
82.5%
Q4 - 4:35UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 277
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 4:58ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q4 - 4:58ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q4 - 5:02ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q4 - 5:03UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup75
10.6%
81
89.4%
Q4 - 5:30UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q4 - 5:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 275
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q4 - 5:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 275
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q4 - 5:47UTAPalacio Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
11.5%
81
88.5%
Q4 - 5:47UTAMISS Palacio Free Throw 1 of 275
12.4%
80
87.6%
Q4 - 5:47UTAPalacio REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
11.4%
80
88.6%
Q4 - 5:47UTAMISS Kirilenko 19' Jump Shot75
14.1%
80
85.9%
Q4 - 6:08UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
13.0%
80
87.0%
Q4 - 6:11ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
14.3%
80
85.7%
Q4 - 6:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)75
17.4%
80
82.6%
Q4 - 6:38UTAMISS Palacio 20' Jump Shot75
15.9%
80
84.1%
Q4 - 7:03UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q4 - 7:04ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot75
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q4 - 7:13ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
19.3%
80
80.7%
Q4 - 7:16UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot75
17.8%
80
82.2%
Q4 - 7:40ORLHoward Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)75
14.8%
80
85.2%
Q4 - 8:01ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
13.4%
80
86.6%
Q4 - 8:03UTAMISS Collins 19' Jump Shot73
12.5%
80
87.5%
Q4 - 8:24UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q4 - 8:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
11.4%
80
88.6%
Q4 - 8:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
13.3%
80
86.7%
Q4 - 8:35UTAMISS Boozer 20' Jump Shot73
12.4%
80
87.6%
Q4 - 8:58UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
10.5%
80
89.5%
Q4 - 9:00ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 273
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q4 - 9:00ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q4 - 9:15ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
11.8%
80
88.2%
Q4 - 9:18UTAMISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot72
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q4 - 9:41ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
9.4%
80
90.6%
Q4 - 10:01ORLMagic Rebound70
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 10:01UTAMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q4 - 10:15UTAJAZZ Rebound70
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q4 - 10:15UTAMISS McLeod 20' Jump Shot70
7.9%
80
92.1%
Q4 - 10:28ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)70
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q4 - 10:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 10:33UTAMISS Boozer 17' Fadeaway Jumper67
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q4 - 10:55ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)67
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 10:55ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)66
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 11:19UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (15 PTS)65
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 11:39ORLArroyo 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)65
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA63
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLArroyo 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTAMISS Collins Tip Shot61
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0UTAMISS Okur Layup61
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMilicic Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)61
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)59
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0UTAJAZZ Rebound59
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0UTAMISS Collins 18' Jump Shot59
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 1:07ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 1:07ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 1:27UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)57
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 1:27UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 257
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 1:42ORLHoward 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 2:07UTAKirilenko Layup (12 PTS) (Collins 3 AST)55
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 2:11UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 2:13ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot55
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 2:34UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 2:34UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 2:36UTAPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 2:37ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 2:37ORLMISS Milicic Tip Shot55
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 2:39ORLMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot55
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 2:58UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)55
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 3:06UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 3:07ORLMISS Milicic Tip Shot55
6.8%
68
93.2%
Q3 - 3:08ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
7.7%
68
92.3%
Q3 - 3:10ORLMISS Augmon Free Throw 2 of 255
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 3:10ORLMISS Augmon Free Throw 1 of 255
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 3:28UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 3:28UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 255
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 3:28UTAJAZZ Rebound55
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 3:28UTAMISS Palacio 18' Jump Shot55
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 3:47UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 3:50ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 3:50ORLOkur BLOCK (2 BLK)55
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 3:53ORLMISS Augmon Free Throw 2 of 255
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 3:53ORLAugmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 4:09UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)54
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 4:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)54
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q3 - 4:35ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (13 PTS)54
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q3 - 4:37ORLMISS Stevenson 11' Running Jump Shot52
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 4:57UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 4:57UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q3 - 5:01ORLD. Williams STEAL (1 STL)52
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 5:12UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q3 - 5:12UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 5:35ORLNelson 17' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)52
15.6%
60
84.4%
Q3 - 6:07UTAPalacio 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)50
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q3 - 6:36ORLStevenson 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)50
16.2%
58
83.8%
Q3 - 6:48ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
14.3%
58
85.7%
Q3 - 6:51UTAMISS Okur 19' Jump Shot48
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q3 - 7:06ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
12.7%
58
87.3%
Q3 - 7:26UTAOkur 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Palacio 4 AST)46
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 7:38UTAOkur Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)46
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q3 - 7:50UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
14.5%
55
85.5%
Q3 - 7:52ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot46
15.2%
55
84.8%
Q3 - 8:07UTACollins 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)46
17.4%
55
82.6%
Q3 - 8:28ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q3 - 8:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q3 - 8:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)44
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q3 - 8:28ORLKirilenko BLOCK (4 BLK)44
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q3 - 8:35UTACollins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)44
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q3 - 8:46UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q3 - 8:48ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Bank Shot44
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q3 - 9:04UTACollins 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)44
17.7%
53
82.3%
Q3 - 9:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
19.8%
51
80.2%
Q3 - 9:18ORLBattie Dunk (4 PTS)44
19.8%
51
80.2%
Q3 - 9:21ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot42
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q3 - 9:40UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)42
17.6%
51
82.4%
Q3 - 9:40UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q3 - 10:03ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)42
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q3 - 10:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)39
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q3 - 10:20UTAMISS D. Williams 22' Jump Shot39
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q3 - 10:43ORLStevenson Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)39
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q3 - 11:03UTAKirilenko 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)37
13.2%
49
86.8%
Q3 - 11:18UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
14.8%
47
85.2%
Q3 - 11:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot37
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q3 - 11:41UTAOkur Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)37
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL37
14.7%
47
85.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound37
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot37
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Palacio 3 AST)37
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLDooling Driving Layup (5 PTS)37
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
19.0%
44
81.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot35
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 1:07ORLOutlaw 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)35
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q2 - 1:32UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)33
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 1:50ORLOutlaw Foul Turnover (P1.T11)33
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 2:03UTAOkur Layup (13 PTS)33
16.6%
44
83.4%
Q2 - 2:04UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q2 - 2:06UTAMISS Palacio 18' Jump Shot33
19.8%
42
80.2%
Q2 - 2:30UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q2 - 2:30ORLKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)33
19.0%
42
81.0%
Q2 - 2:46UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 2:52UTABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q2 - 2:54ORLMISS Augmon 4' Jump Hook Shot33
19.0%
42
81.0%
Q2 - 3:01ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 3:03UTAMISS Okur 13' Jump Shot33
20.5%
42
79.5%
Q2 - 3:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 3:11ORLMISS Stevenson Layup33
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 3:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)33
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 133
19.3%
42
80.7%
Q2 - 3:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)31
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 3:20ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot31
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 3:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)31
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 3:30UTAMISS Kirilenko 17' Jump Shot31
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 3:52ORLHoward Layup (9 PTS)31
15.6%
42
84.4%
Q2 - 4:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)29
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 4:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 229
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 4:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 229
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 4:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 4:12ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot29
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 4:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 4:23UTAMISS Harpring 16' Jump Shot29
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 4:39ORLHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)29
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 4:52UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 4:52UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 229
15.0%
41
85.0%
Q2 - 5:05ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
15.0%
41
85.0%
Q2 - 5:05ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
14.6%
41
85.4%
Q2 - 5:19UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 5:19UTABoozer Layup (6 PTS)27
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 5:22UTAMISS McLeod 17' Jump Shot27
16.2%
39
83.8%
Q2 - 5:45UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q2 - 5:47ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot27
15.5%
39
84.5%
Q2 - 5:54ORLMagic Rebound27
16.7%
39
83.3%
Q2 - 5:54ORLBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)27
15.5%
39
84.5%
Q2 - 5:59UTAMcLeod Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
16.7%
39
83.3%
Q2 - 6:14ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
15.5%
39
84.5%
Q2 - 6:14ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 6:27UTABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q2 - 6:27UTABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)25
14.6%
38
85.4%
Q2 - 6:31UTAMcLeod REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
15.5%
37
84.5%
Q2 - 6:33ORLOstertag BLOCK (3 BLK)25
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 6:50UTAMcLeod 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)25
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 7:04ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
21.2%
34
78.8%
Q2 - 7:04ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 7:28UTAHarpring Dunk (6 PTS) (McLeod 3 AST)23
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 7:33ORLBrown STEAL (1 STL)23
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 7:43ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q2 - 7:45UTAMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 223
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 7:45UTABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
21.6%
32
78.4%
Q2 - 7:49ORLArroyo 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
22.9%
31
77.1%
Q2 - 7:56ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 7:59UTAMISS McLeod 18' Jump Shot21
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 8:23ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 8:33ORLMagic Rebound19
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 8:34UTAMISS Ostertag 6' Hook Shot19
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 8:56UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
16.5%
31
83.5%
Q2 - 8:58ORLMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot19
17.0%
31
83.0%
Q2 - 9:04ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 9:05UTAMISS Brown 19' Fadeaway Jumper19
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q2 - 9:13UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
17.0%
31
83.0%
Q2 - 9:17ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot19
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 9:24ORLMagic Rebound19
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 9:25ORLOstertag BLOCK (2 BLK)19
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 9:35ORLMagic Rebound19
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 9:36ORLOstertag BLOCK (1 BLK)19
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 9:50ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 9:52UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 119
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 9:56UTAJAZZ Rebound19
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q2 - 9:56UTAMISS Harpring Layup19
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 10:10UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 10:13ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot19
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q2 - 10:28UTABoozer 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST)19
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 10:37UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q2 - 10:38UTAMISS Brown 13' Fadeaway Jumper19
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q2 - 11:05ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
23.9%
27
76.1%
Q2 - 11:05ORLBattie 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
23.9%
27
76.1%
Q2 - 11:08ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot17
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q2 - 11:25UTAHarpring 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)17
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q2 - 11:35ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q2 - 11:35ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
23.5%
25
76.5%
Q2 - 11:41ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q2 - 11:45UTAMISS Boozer Layup15
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA15
20.5%
25
79.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound15
20.5%
25
79.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMISS McLeod 23' Jump Shot15
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0ORLArroyo Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)15
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)15
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0ORLOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)15
26.5%
22
73.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
27.5%
22
72.5%
Q1 - 1:08ORLDooling 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)15
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 1:30UTABoozer 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 1:48ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q1 - 1:48ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 212
25.8%
20
74.2%
Q1 - 1:48ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 1:53UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 2:14ORLArroyo Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)12
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 2:20ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q1 - 2:21UTAMISS Palacio Driving Layup12
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 2:25UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 2:27ORLKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)12
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 2:47UTAPalacio 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)12
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q1 - 3:03ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 3:03ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 211
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 3:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 3:06ORLMISS Augmon 7' Jump Shot11
27.1%
18
72.9%
Q1 - 3:22ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 3:23UTAMISS Okur Layup11
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 3:36ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)11
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 3:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 3:39ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot11
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 3:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 3:51UTAMISS Collins 15' Jump Shot11
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 4:09ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 4:09ORLOutlaw Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)11
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 4:12ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot9
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 4:26UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 4:46ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)9
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 5:00ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 5:03UTAMISS Okur 19' Jump Shot9
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 5:21ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS)9
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 5:32ORLMagic Rebound7
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 5:32ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot7
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 5:50UTAOkur Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)7
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 6:07UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 6:08ORLMISS Dooling 6' Running Jump Shot7
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 6:24UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)7
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 6:30UTAJAZZ Rebound7
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 6:30UTAMISS Okur 17' Jump Shot7
28.7%
14
71.3%
Q1 - 6:55UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 6:56UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 17
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 7:07UTAPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 7:10UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot7
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 7:28ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)7
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 7:41UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 7:41UTAKirilenko 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 7:44UTAMISS Okur 18' Jump Shot4
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 8:01ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS)4
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 8:15UTAKirilenko Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 8:33ORLStevenson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)2
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 8:42UTAOkur Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)0
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 8:49ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P2.T4)0
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 9:17UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
28.4%
8
71.6%
Q1 - 9:17UTAOkur Tip Shot (4 PTS)0
28.4%
8
71.6%
Q1 - 9:21UTAMISS Okur 5' Jump Shot0
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 9:37UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 9:40ORLKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)0
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 9:59UTAOkur 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)0
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 10:23ORLCollins STEAL (1 STL)0
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:50UTAKirilenko Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)0
34.8%
4
65.2%
Q1 - 10:52UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 10:55ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot0
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 11:14ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 11:15UTAMISS Collins Layup0
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 11:26ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 11:39UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 11:39UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
38.5%
1
61.5%
Q1 - 11:48ORLBattie Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Collins vs. Howard: Tip to Battie0
41.6%
0
58.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 47.2%
UTA
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
30
50%
UTA
11
22
50%
Midrange
ORL
14
38
37%
UTA
13
42
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
6
33%
50%
UTA
4
6.0
6
67%
100%
Free Throws
ORL
21
32
66%
UTA
30
42
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1856%9.0 / 16
D. Stevenson1447%7.0 / 15
C. Arroyo1458%7.0 / 12
J. Nelson1042%5.0 / 12
K. Dooling1042%5.0 / 12
H. Turkoglu850%4.0 / 8
T. Battie4100%2.0 / 2
B. Outlaw4100%2.0 / 2
D. Milicic233%1.0 / 3
S. Augmon18%0.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Okur2255%11.0 / 20
A. Kirilenko1869%9.0 / 13
D. Williams1558%7.5 / 13
J. Collins1255%6.0 / 11
C. Boozer650%3.0 / 6
M. Harpring650%3.0 / 6
M. Palacio528%2.5 / 9
K. McLeod330%1.5 / 5
D. Brown338%1.5 / 4
G. Ostertag0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
69
+19
-12
88
UTA
73
+18
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 47.2%
UTA
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
103.6
ORL 104.9
UTA 108.4 +3.5
Pace
88.1
88.3
ORL 96.3 +24.7
UTA 71.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
17.4
ORL 15.0 +5.2
UTA 20.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
46.7%
ORL 43.2% +0.3%
UTA 42.9%
TO %
16.2%
16.6%
ORL 12.0%
UTA 11.1% +0.9%
ORB %
28.6%
32.4%
ORL 32.6% +5.6%
UTA 27.0%
FTrt
36.9
39.7
ORL 43.2
UTA 60.0 +16.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
64.6%
ORL 41.9%
UTA 78.6% +36.7%
STL %
7.3%
7.2%
ORL 7.4% +3.8%
UTA 3.6%
BLK %
7.2%
10.3%
ORL 4.7%
UTA 19.1% +14.4%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
50.0%
ORL 47.2%
UTA 48.9% +1.7%
Rim FG%
57.7%
56.5%
ORL 50.0%
UTA 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
37.5%
ORL 36.8% +5.8%
UTA 31.0%
3P %
37.6%
33.6%
ORL 33.3%
UTA 66.7% +33.4%
FT %
73.0%
71.9%
ORL 65.6%
UTA 71.4% +5.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
38.3%
ORL 40.5% +9.1%
UTA 31.4%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
46.8%
ORL 51.4% +8.6%
UTA 60.0%
3P Att. %
12.9%
14.9%
ORL 8.1%
UTA 8.6% +0.5%
Game TotalsORLUTA
Possessions8183
Possession Minutes20.227.8
Points8590
Rebounds4139
Assists1322
Steals63
Blocks313
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (5)10 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)29 (1)
Field Goals31-7428-70
At-the-Rim FG15-3011-22
Midrange FG14-3813-42
2-Point FG29-6824-64
3-Point FG2-64-6
Free Throws21-3230-42
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
42.2
18
56%
14
2
1
1
4
3
8
6
6-12
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
29.4
14
47%
2
2
1
0
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
6-14
43%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
25.8
10
42%
0
3
1
0
4
5
0
0
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
25.7
8
50%
3
3
0
0
0
6
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
20.4
4
100%
5
0
1
0
1
5
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
24.8
14
58%
5
3
1
0
2
1
0
5
6-6
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
21.3
10
42%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
20.6
2
33%
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 38
17.0
1
8%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-4
25%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
12.7
4
100%
5
0
1
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#41 · C · 7'1" 260 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
47%
41
13
6
3
12
0
14
27
21-32
66%
29-68
43%
2-6
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.