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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat58%97106
25Bobcats42%94105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.3
45.1
32.0
24
62%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
6-11
3-5
55%
50%
4-8
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.0
41.5
29.1
35
63%
12
3
1
0
0
3
2
10
3-11
27%
16-23
7-12
70%
58%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
40.0
29.7
16
78%
13
1
0
1
1
2
4
9
4-5
80%
6-8
4-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
25.0
15.4
5
25%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
0-3
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.1
15.2
19.2
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.6
36.7
26.2
6
34%
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
1-6
2-3
17%
51%
0-1
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
36.4
31.3
16
45%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-7
3-7
14%
48%
4-10
40%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.1
11.6
16.5
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
8.0
16.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.1
5.7
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
2.4
0
0-1
49%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.7
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.3
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.3
48.1
32.1
24
53%
6
11
1
2
0
4
3
3
6-6
100%
9-20
4-10
45%
42%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
45.7
30.8
26
67%
15
2
6
2
2
1
3
12
8-12
67%
9-14
5-9
64%
52%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.7
45.5
33.9
19
87%
3
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
4-9
75%
41%
4-6
67%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.1
38.0
29.2
7
29%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
2-9
22%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.4
26.9
23.2
10
38%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-13
5-9
38%
51%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.8
21.4
18.5
6
51%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.3
18.2
11.6
4
33%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.3
10.9
19.2
9
78%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
10.3
18.3
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.1
6.3
0
1-2
46%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
5.3
0
0-1
43%
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
3.7
0
0-0
41%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.2
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.4
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.